Good morning. Today I want to look back at this weekend’s oddball cold front, and ahead at what will be a very winter-like week.
Remember all the uncertainty last week about the will-it or wont-it make it cold front? It did make it through Houston late Friday and early Saturday — but only barely. Even this morning, two days later, if we look at temperatures we can see the front stalled about 50 miles or so to southeast of Houston. We only narrowly missed high humidity and 80-degree temperatures this weekend.
The cold front only barely made it through all of Texas this weekend. (Weather Bell)
Well, the front actually made it through Houston during the overnight hours.
This means Houston will have a cooler weekend, with highs in the 50s to low 60s today and Sunday, and lows around 50 for most of the area. The region will see on-again, off-again light showers during this time period as well, but I’m not expecting accumulations greater than about one-half inch for the metro area. The heavier showers will remain well to the northwest of Houston.
As of 9 a.m. the front had made it to all but extreme eastern and southern parts of Texas. (Weather Bell)
I hope everyone had a wonderful Thanksgiving! If you choose not to burn calories fighting shoppers today, you’ll have clouds and humidity to contend with in and around the Houston area.
I’ve been apt to describe this weather pattern as “obnoxious,” because it is. It’s a lot of clouds, a lot of humidity, tricky temperatures, and some light rain. It makes forecasting and planning for each day a little annoying. Anyway, today will be similar to Thanksgiving: Warm, humid, cloudy, and a few showers around (nothing major).
Forecast radar for 4 PM Friday from one computer model; a few showers around, heavier rain near Dallas. (Texas Tech)
We hit 77° on Thanksgiving, making it the warmest Thanksgiving Day in Houston since way back in 2012 when we also hit 77° that day. We’ll end up somewhere around that number today too.
Happy Thanksgiving! I’m thankful today for everyone who reads this weather site, subscribes by e-mail and otherwise follows along. Now lets get to what continues to be a messy forecast.
After a partly sunny morning we should see mostly cloudy skies this afternoon. Some light rain will be possible, especially on the west side of the city. Highs will climb in the upper 70s.
We’ll see mostly cloudy conditions will intermittent light to moderate rain through at least Monday or Tuesday. The atmosphere will not favor heavy rain in Houston, because of the proximity of high pressure to the east. I suspect accumulations between now and early next week will generally be 1 inch or less for most of the region, with totals on the higher end to the northwest of the city.
NOAA rain accumulation forecast for now through Wednesday. (Weather Bell)
Houston has a messy forecast ahead so lets dive right in.
TODAY and THANKSGIVING
Warm air is now moving into the Houston area off the Gulf of Mexico, and we’ll see a couple of warm, gray days with highs in the upper 70s and muggy overnight lows only falling to around 70 degrees. Light rain will also be possible on Thanksgiving, although probably not more than a tenth of an inch of rain or two, and most likely during the afternoon or evening hours.
FRIDAY, SATURDAY and SUNDAY
Here’s where the mess begins. Over in the Pacific Ocean Hurricane Sandra is expected to move north into Mexico, and then toward the Big Bend area of Texas. This will pump a lot of moisture into the state and create conditions favorable for heavy rains.
But when you look at the rain accumulation totals through the weekend they appear to be highest over central, and especially northern Texas.
NOAA rainfall accumulation forecast map for now through Sunday. (Weather Bell)