Month: December 2015

A Tornado Watch remains posted for Houston and areas north through 4 PM. Thankfully, we’ve only seen one brief tornado warning issued today, just to the north of Navasota. Around Houston, it’s been fine thus far.

The radar shows a broken, but gradually intensifying line of thunderstorms to our west, moving toward the western parts of Harris County as of 1:30 PM. I do think the threat for tornadoes will remain on the low side through mid-afternoon.The best parameters for supercell thunderstorms are shifting to the north and east of Houston now, and while we could conceivably see a storm spin up a brief tornado, the best odds for that are moving into Louisiana.

1:30 PM radar shows a line of thunderstorms organizing west of Houston. It will move through over the next few hours. (NOAA)

1:30 PM radar shows a line of thunderstorms organizing west of Houston. It will move through over the next few hours. (NOAA)

 

That being said, with a developing line of thunderstorms, we could see strong, damaging straight line winds become an issue as it organizes moving through the region. So, remain weather aware with a method to receive weather warnings this afternoon. In addition to the severe weather, heavy rainfall is occurring in these storms. Some areas may see 1-2″ in a short time, so localized street flooding will be possible into this evening.

Temperatures drop 20-25 degrees behind the front. (Weather Underground)

Temperatures drop 20-25 degrees behind the front. Winter is coming. (Weather Underground)

 

Oh, and it will turn sharply colder after the line of storms to our west arrives. Temperatures may drop 25 degrees in an hour as the front arrives this afternoon. It will be in the low to mid 50s just about everywhere by evening.

So in sum: Tornado Watch still posted, but highest threat is shifting away. Strong to severe thunderstorms likely mid to late afternoon with heavy rain and gusty winds. Turning much colder as the front moves through.

The National Weather Service has gone ahead and posted a Tornado Watch for most of Metro Houston until 4 PM. It includes the City of Houston and points north and west. The watch does *not* include Matagorda, Brazoria, Galveston, or Chambers Counties. Everyone else, however, is under the watch. A Tornado Watch means that the atmospheric conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms that could produce tornadoes over the next several hours. The best chance of tornadic storms will be north of I-10, but I would advise that if you live in Houston, keep an eye on the weather.

A Tornado Watch includes most of Southeast Texas through 4 PM. (NOAA)

A Tornado Watch includes most of Southeast Texas through 4 PM. (NOAA)

Showers and thunderstorms have been impacting the area mostly west of I-45 and north of I-10 all morning. Thus far, everything has behaved nicely. That may begin to change as the cold front edges closer and we turn warmer and more unstable.

Obviously, with the tragic tornado event in the Dallas area last night, many folks will be a little extra on edge today. While the setup here in Southeast Texas is not as robust as it was in Dallas yesterday, it is still quite conducive for strong to severe thunderstorms and definitely the possibility of a few tornadoes. Whether you’re under the watch or not, you’ll want to have a method to receive weather warnings today and if a Tornado Warning is posted for your location, have a designated place to shelter in. No reason to panic, but certainly best to be prepared. We’ll be monitoring things throughout the day.

Hey all. Here’s a quick holiday weekend update on the possibility of severe weather Sunday in advance of a cold front.

NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center has upgraded the outlook for severe weather on Sunday for parts of the Houston area to “enhanced,” which means there is a greater likelihood of organized thunderstorm activity, some potentially intense. For areas marked in orange below there is a 30 percent chance of severe thunderstorms occurring within 25 miles of a given location.

Severe weather outlook for Sunday. (NOAA Storm Prediction Center)

Severe weather outlook for Sunday. (NOAA Storm Prediction Center)

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Merry Christmas, everyone! It sure doesn’t feel like a holiday out there, between the humidity and quarter-sized mosquitoes. And it’s going to get worse before it gets better. But it will get better.

TODAY

Although it’s moist at the surface, the mid- and upper-levels of the atmosphere are pretty dry. As a result we’re not going to see too much rain, if any today. The Sun might even peek out from time to time, but that’s just going to make things warmer. Today’s record high is 82 degrees, and we’re likely going to come close to that today.

SATURDAY

I expect Saturday to be a lot like today, albeit with stronger southerly winds during the late morning and afternoon hours. Skies will again be mostly cloudy, with slightly better rain chances. But I’d expect any rain to be very light. Read More…

We’ve got a few more warm — and potentially stormy — days before winter arrives in Houston.

TODAY

Overnight temperatures bottomed out this morning in the upper 50s across parts of Houston, but already a warm front has moved back in off the coast so it’s not chilly out. At all. Houston set a record high on Wednesday (81 degrees) and we’ll come close to, but probably not match today’s record of 82 degrees (set in 1955). Clouds and scattered rain chances should hold back temperatures just a bit.

CHRISTMAS

The forecast for Christmas comes straight from the Grinch.

Storm outlook for Christmas Day morning. (National Weather Service)

Storm outlook for Christmas Day morning. (National Weather Service)

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