Month: February 2017

Today will get off to a cool start, but conditions are going to warm up fairly quickly across Houston, and we’ll be warm—but not unpleasantly so—for the rest of the work week.

Wednesday and Thursday

As high pressure builds over the area, expect mostly sunny skies and highs of around 80 degrees, with some inland areas perhaps climbing into the low- to mid-80s. Still, we can expect conditions to cool down reasonably quickly during the evening hours, with overnight low temperatures in the 50s for inland areas, and 60s along the coast.

The GFS forecast for dewpoints at 7pm Friday evening shows the front having just moved through Houston. (Weather Bell)

Friday

Another warm day, with mostly sunny skies and highs of around 80 degrees. The difference will be that a cold front arrives on Friday afternoon or evening. At this time the front still looks dry, so I’m not expecting any rain along with its passage.

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Good morning. After Monday’s widespread rain, the region’s weather will now settle down for a while. The continuing story this week will be much the same as it’s been for this winter, warmer than normal temperatures. We’re almost certainly going to smash the record for total number of 80-degree days in “winter,” defined here as December through February. We’ve had 17 days with highs of 80-degrees or warmer this winter, and that ties the previous record set during the winters of 1995-96, 1956-57, and 1910-11. This week we’re likely to pick up at least one or two more 80-degree days before a front moves through.

However, with that said, this week’s weather should be quite pleasant. Despite the warmer days, it won’t be too humid, and nights will cool off. And this weekend? Oh my.

Today

A weak front will move through today, bringing some drier air out of the northwest. Although there’s a slight chance of rain with the front, most areas won’t see any precipitation and skies will remain mostly sunny for the most part. Highs today should be in the mid-70s, with lows tonight in the 50s—warmer for the coast, cooler for inland areas.

Wednesday and Thursday

High pressure will settle over Houston, bringing two sunny days to the region. Look for highs of around 80 degrees, and lows of around 60 degrees. As it won’t be overly humid, both days should feel pretty great.

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As anticipated, a line of heavy rain showers and severe thunderstorms is moving into western Houston this morning, and will move east through the entire metro area during the morning hours. The main threat from these storms is locally heavy rainfall, and some street flooding. A secondary threat is damaging winds, with gusts up to 50 mph possible. Severe thunderstorms appear to be most likely along, and north of Interstate 10.

A line of storms is moving through Houston, shown at 6:25am CT on Monday. (Intellicast)vere

These storms have developed along with an upper-level low pressure system, that will also be moving through the region today. The net effect of this is that heavy rainfall will occur with the main line of storms, and light to moderate showers may linger this afternoon. The flooding threat should end around noon, however, when the heavier storms clear the area. I’d expect rain accumulations for most area to be about 1 to 3 inches, with higher, isolated totals of 5 or more inches.

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As we’ve been indicating in previous forecasts, Monday is shaping up to be a rainy day in Houston—although we’re not expecting anything too extreme for the region.

It appears as though heavy showers will develop well to the west of the region on Monday morning, before sunrise. They should move into the Houston region between 6am and 9am CT, so there is definitely the potential for a wet mess on freeways and feeders for the Monday morning commute.

NOAA rain accumulation forecast for Monday and Monday night. (Weather Bell)

 

I anticipate most areas will see about 1.5 to 2.5 inches of rain on Monday, before showers and thunderstorms taper off during the evening or overnight hours. For Houston, the primary concern is smaller regions where heavy storms establish themselves, and slow down. A few parts of Houston could see 5 or more inches of rain on Monday, which could cause some street flooding. That’s what we’ll be watching for tomorrow morning, and as the day progresses. We will, of course, return with a full update early Monday.

Posted at 8:30am CT on Sunday by Eric

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After a day or two to remind us that Houston can have beautiful weather in the cool season, we’ll go gray today, with a little rain. We begin the march back to a warmer pattern as well.

Today

Radar shows sporadic rain across the area this morning. Some of what you’re seeing on radar may not actually be reaching the ground well north of Houston. The air is still a bit dry there yet.

Occasional showers and rumbles of loud thunder as of 6:35 AM are working their way east through the area. Nothing serious however. (GR Level 3)

 

We’ve also heard some thunder in and around Houston this morning. That should kick off to the east over the next couple hours. The rest of the day likely sees scattered rain, mainly in southern parts of the area. Some of it could be moderate to briefly heavy along the coast. And yes, rumbles of thunder will continue to be possible, but we aren’t expecting any severe weather from this system. It’s entirely possible some inland areas see nothing more than a few raindrops. Most of us will see gray, cloudy conditions for much of today.

Models show rainfall & some thunder working through the region today. The steadiest will be at the coast, and all rain should be through our area by mid to late afternoon. (Weather Bell)

 

Temperatures will grind upwards into the upper 60s to near 70 degrees this afternoon.

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