Posted by Eric Berger at 6:56 AM
Good morning. It is not pleasant outside, with winds gusting to 30 mph pretty much across the entire region, and temperatures generally in the 30s. The combined result of this is wind chill temperatures in the 20s for pretty much everyone this morning. A freeze is expected tonight for all but the immediate coastal areas.
Wind chill temperatures are brisk this morning. (National Weather Service)
Some very light precipitation remains across the western part of the region, but this should continue to wane through sunrise this morning. However, this may produce a little bit of sleet that will not stick to the ground. Otherwise, we should see clearing skies throughout the morning and into the afternoon. Highs will only nudge up into the low 40s for most. Strong, northerly winds will blow throughout the day, although they should gradually wane this afternoon before falling off to 10mph or below after sunset—except for the immediate coast where they will blow a bit longer. Clear skies and dying winds will allow for ideal cooling Tuesday night, and nearly all of the area except for the coast will probably see a freeze. Lows may reach the mid-20s for Conroe and points north.
Forecast lows for Wednesday morning. (Weather Bell)
Partly sunny skies, with a high of around 50 degrees. As northerly winds finally die, we’ll begin to see some cloud development later in the day, and the possible return of some light showers during the afternoon or evening. Lows Wednesday night should drop into the 40s as rain chances increase to about 50 percent.
Posted by Eric Berger at 6:52 AM
A strong Arctic front will reach Houston later today, likely during the late afternoon hours, and usher in a freeze for much of the metro area. Most of Houston has yet to record a freeze this season—the low at Bush Intercontinental Airport so far has been 36 degrees. While this will definitely be earlier than normal for a freeze, the region has seen earlier freezes. The table below shows the average date, and earliest date, for official monitoring stations in the Houston region:
(National Weather Service)
Conditions today will be warm ahead of the front, with central and southern parts of the region likely climbing into the mid- to upper-70s. As the front sweeps through Houston this afternoon—probably between around 3pm and sunset from northwest to southeast—temperatures will immediately drop 10 to 20 degrees, and we’ll just go downward from there.
HRRR model forecast for temperatures at 6pm CT Monday. (Weather Bell)
A fast-moving band of light to moderate showers should accompany the front, and then light rain could persist throughout the evening and into early Tuesday morning. There is a slight chance that, if precipitation lasts into Tuesday morning in outlying areas, some of this light rain could turn into sleet or snow flurries. However, most likely the precipitation will end before the coldest air arrives. In the wake of the front, expect blustery conditions, with winds gusting up to 35mph, and a gale warning in effect for coastal waters.
Posted by Matt Lanza at 6:02 AM
Thursday provided some mostly welcome rain for a large swath of the region. For the city of Houston, anywhere from 1 to 3 inches of rain fell. Generally lesser amounts fell to the north and higher amounts to the south.
A wide range of rainfall totals on Thursday, with some spots seeing close to 5″ near Cinco Ranch. (Harris County Flood Control District)
The bullseyes were near Barker Reservoir and out through Cinco Ranch, where 4 to nearly 5 inches of rain was reported on Thursday. Another bullseye was noted from Friendswood through Kemah and San Leon, where 2 to 4 inches generally fell. Dreary weather hangs in today, but a nice weekend awaits.
The title of this post includes the word “drearies.” Debate whether or not that’s a real word, but you can guess what it means. Look for clouds all day today. In addition, the region should see periods of light rain or drizzle throughout the day. A period of steadier rain is possible for a time this morning or afternoon. You can see some of that moving across the state on radar.
Radar shows light to moderate rain across much of central Texas heading our way for later this morning and afternoon. (College of DuPage)
Additional rain totals today will range from about a tenth of an inch to perhaps up to a half-inch where the steadier rain falls. Temperatures will not move much, likely staying in the low- to mid-50s most of the day.
Showers should wrap up early this evening.
Clouds could be a bit stubborn on Saturday, but skies will either clear out before sunrise or they’ll clear out on Saturday morning. Either way, a mainly sunny afternoon is expected. After morning lows in the 40s, high temperatures will peak in the low- to mid-60s.
After a cool start (around 50°) on Sunday morning, look for sunshine and highs in the upper-60s to low-70s Sunday afternoon. Sunday will see plenty of sunshine, though clouds could increase later in the day.
Posted by Eric Berger at 7:00 AM
Good morning. It appears increasingly likely the Houston region will see its first real Arctic blast early next week, with a reasonable possibility for a freeze in central parts of the city, and possibly upper 20s north and west of Houston. While we are far from locking in temperatures yet, this is something to bear in mind for this weekend if you have plants outside that need to be winterized.
The first of two cold fronts is on the way to Houston, but this will be a bit of an odd duck. The front is going to move through today, likely pushing from the northwest to the coast roughly from noon to around 6pm. Instead of a line of showers and thunderstorms, we are more likely to see kind of a mass of light to moderate rain, which may congeal into heavier rain showers and thunderstorms south and southwest of Houston. Hard to say for sure, to be honest.
This HRRR forecast for wind gusts shows the front reaching the coast at 5pm CT Thursday. (Weather Bell)
Bottom line—if you live north or east of Houston you may not see much rain at all, but if you live in Sugar Land you might get 1 to 2 inches. While we will see winds shift with the front, and some drier air, cooler temperatures are going to lag several hours behind. As a result, highs today should get into the upper 70s, and fall to around 50 by Friday morning.
Some light showers may linger into Friday in the wake of Thursday’s front. Even after they stop, however, clouds will remain, and this will be a cold and gray day. Highs are unlikely to get out of the low 50s. Friday nights lows should drop into the 40s, but how far will depend upon your distance from the coast.