Posted by Matt Lanza at 6:18 AM
Yesterday was Houston’s hottest day since May 20th. We hit 94° on Thursday, and that’s a preview of things to come. We have no real changes in our expectations that Cristobal (now a depression) will miss to our east. The main impact from Cristobal in Houston will be heat, thanks to drier air on the western fringe of the storm.
Expect a quiet Friday overall. We’ll start with some patchy low clouds or fog in spots but transition to partly to mostly sunny skies this afternoon. Highs will be in the low-90s for Houston, cooler at the coast and hotter inland. Yes, a few showers or slow moving downpours could again flare up with daytime heating, but we expect most of the area to stay dry.
Rinse and repeat. Cristobal will still be well off to our southeast at this time, and we should see mostly a repeat of Friday’s relatively nice (albeit hot) summer weather. Perhaps one or two will see a cooling downpour, but most will not. Highs will again average in the low- to mid-90s.
As long as Cristobal keeps tracking toward central or western Louisiana as expected, that would likely mean a dry and hot day on Sunday. Expect mid-90s.
Sunday will be rather hot, with mid-90s likely. (Weather Bell)
I try to view things as optimistically as possible, so I’ll just add here that while Sunday will likely be hot, it will be a little less humid than we have been of late. So we’ve got that going for us, which is nice.
Showers on Sunday? Probably not many. Part of Cristobal’s cloud canopy could be noticeable east of I-45, which could mute temperatures a little in those areas. But rain would probably stay in Louisiana on Sunday.
Posted by Eric Berger at 7:11 AM
Good morning. We’re approaching the longest day of the year—June 20—but we’ve already reached the earliest sunrise of the calendar year for Houston. From June 3 to June 17, sunrise will occur at 6:20 am CT before it starts to get later. Our sunsets will continue to get later until July 2. (Why is this? Well, it’s a bit complicated). Weather-wise, we’re looking at a lot of sunshine in the week ahead as long as Tropical Storm Cristobal stays east of Houston, which is looking increasingly likely.
100-degree temperatures are coming to West Texas today. They may reach East Texas next week. (Pivotal Weather)
We should see partly sunny skies today, which will allow high temperatures to nudge up to 90 degrees or slightly above. Some showers and thunderstorms will be possible today, but they’re not going to be as organized as we saw on Wednesday. Some models are hinting at the best chance of rain between Houston and Beaumont, but even then it’s a really scattered shot at showers. Most of us will just be dry and hot, with light winds out of the southeast.
Expect a similar day to Thursday, although perhaps a touch warmer. We expect to see high pressure building in from the west—the same high pressure that will probably help steer Cristobal east of the region—and this will set the region on a warming trend into the weekend and likely beyond.
Posted by Eric Berger at 7:01 AM
Good morning. Houston is seeing warm and humid conditions this week, as one would expect in June. However, we still have a ways to go in terms of summertime heat, and the region should reach the mid-90s by Saturday. The question remains about what happens after that, and it almost entirely depends on what happens with Tropical Storm Cristobal. At the moment, it still appears as though the storm and the bulk of its effects will probably stay east of Houston, but we’re far from being able to make a definitive call on that.
Today should produce the region’s best chance of showers and thunderstorms until at least Sunday. A combination of daytime heating, ample moisture in the atmosphere, and only moderate high pressure should allow for some storms to fire up this afternoon before fading this evening. High resolution models offer a mixed bag of solutions, bit given our recent pattern I’m fairly bullish on at least some moderately strong storms firing up closer to the coast and pushing inland later today. Areal coverage of these storms will probably be in the 30 to 50 percent range, so not everyone is going to get wet. Otherwise, expect partly sunny skies with highs of about 90 degrees.
Expect high temperatures to push into the mid-90s by Saturday. (Pivotal Weather)
Thursday, Friday, and Saturday
As high pressure settles into the area we should see a warming trend, with partly to mostly sunny skies through Saturday, and highs rising into the mid-90s. Under such a pattern we normally would expect only slight afternoon rain chances along the sea breeze.
Posted by Eric Berger at 7:23 AM
Good morning. The Houston region is looking ahead to a warm, mostly sunny week with scattered afternoon showers. Our forecast takes a sharp turn in uncertainty toward the weekend when a tropical depression in the Central Gulf of Mexico likely begins to move toward Texas or Louisiana. We’ll discuss that extensively below.
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Any clouds this morning should clear out later today, leading to mostly sunny skies with light winds. As high pressure builds over the area we may see the atmosphere squeeze out a few isolated showers this afternoon, but we expect they will be brief, with most people staying dry. If you are heading to the march to support George Floyd’s family this afternoon, the biggest weather consideration will be heat. With mostly sunny skies, temperatures will reach about 90 degrees. Lows tonight will be in the low 70s.
High temperature forecast for Tuesday. (Pivotal Weather)
Expect similar conditions on Wednesday, with the possibility of scattered showers, partly to mostly sunny skies, and highs of around 90 degrees.
Thursday through Saturday
The second half of the week will see warmer weather as high pressure continues to build over the area. We are likely to see high temperatures in the low- to mid-90s, with mostly sunny skies, and only slight rain chances during the afternoon hours. Nights will be warm and muggy, in the 70s.