Houston remains, for the most part, a warm, humid city this morning. But that will soon change.
By around noon today much stronger winds will begin to bring drier air into the region, limiting highs this afternoon to the mid-60s with lower humidity. As the front moves in we may see some light- to moderate rain showers, but as I’ve been saying all week these rains are not going to produce any significant, widespread flooding. They also will not be continual, for hours on end. However they may be briefly intense. Some areas in West University Place received more than 2 inches of rain last night, while most of Houston saw little rain.
Texas is seeing scattered light- to moderate showers today and some of that should move into Houston later today. (Intellicast)
You may have seen the extreme weather in central Texas this morning — some areas near Austin received 10 inches of rain in two hours — and understandably had the concern that similar conditions are coming to the Houston region later today, tonight and on Saturday.
Flooding at the University of Texas on Friday. (Collin Meyers, KEYE-TV)
The short answer is, I don’t think so, at least not so extreme conditions. Read More…
The forecast for this weekend remains pretty much the same as I’ve been describing it all week. Please remember this isn’t a guarantee. Nailing the precise timing of rain events like this is an inexact science, but we can have decent confidence in this forecast.
Breezy conditions, with strong southerly winds. Rains approach Houston from the west, perhaps reaching the western part of the metro sometime during the early afternoon hours, and the rest of the area during the mid- or late afternoon hours.
Rains move in from west to east, starting with light rain, building to steadier storms by roughly 7 to 10 p.m. Most areas will begin to see some rain. Additionally the strong southerly winds could push tides 1 to 2 feet above normal. A coastal flood advisory is in effect.
Heavier rains move into central Houston just before or after midnight on Friday. It’s not clear whether the biggest burst will come over inland counties or closer to the coast. 1 to 2 inches are possible. Thunderstorms likely.
According to NOAA, conditions for damaging winds, hail and isolated tornadoes are highest over central Texas. (NOAA)
Good morning, and welcome to my weekday morning update on conditions ahead for the greater Houston area.
It’s one of the coolest fall mornings of the year across Houston, with temperatures generally in the mid-50s across the region. This is courtesy of a front that moved through on Wednesday, and we’ll have a pleasant day with highs only around 80 degrees.
Later Thursday and into Friday winds out of the south-southeast will increase, bringing a quick return of humidity to the area, and raising atmospheric moisture levels. This, in combination with a storm moving in from the west, will set the stage for a rainy Friday night and Saturday.
Heavy — but not extreme — rain is likely on Friday night and Saturday in this map of accumulated rainfall. (Weather Bell)