Good morning. Houston remains in slightly-cooler-than normal pattern for early August, which is most welcome considering that this typically is the region’s warmest time of year. I don’t see a return to 100-degree days any time soon, but next week does look like it will be a little warmer, with slightly less cloud cover.
Wednesday and Thursday
These will be summery days, but with just enough cloud cover to take the edge off of high temperatures. Rain coverage will be lower than we saw on Monday and Tuesday, but there still could be a few showers today streaming in from the coast. Mostly, however, we’ll just see partly sunny skies with highs in the low- to mid-90s on both Wednesday and Thursday. Don’t get me wrong, these will still be hot days, but they should be below the criteria set for heat advisory days, and for August this weather is pretty, uhhh, temperate.
Friday and Saturday
After a cold front stalls north of the Houston region late this week, a couple of upper-level systems may move into the area that should prompt air at the surface to rise, and in turn this will increase our rain chances. This should push the likelihood of rain on both days to about 50 percent—with slightly better odds east of Houston, and slightly worse to the west. High temperatures on Friday and Saturday will depend on the extent of cloud cover and rain. A few areas may stay in the upper 80s, while sunnier locales jump up into the mid-90s.
At this point, Sunday should see slightly lower rain chances than Friday and Saturday. If you’re planning outdoor activities you can expect mostly sunny skies, with highs in the low- to mid-90s. But you’ll want to be prepared for the possibility of a quick shower or two.
Right now the models are trending a bit drier and warmer next week as high pressure may begin to exert more influence on our weather. Highs probably will rise into the mid-90s as we see more typical August-like weather.
Tropical Storm Debby formed yesterday in the northern Atlantic Ocean, and it is no threat to land. Further south, in the area of tropics that potentially threaten the Gulf of Mexico, conditions remain very calm for this time of year.
Models show almost no chance of anything forming within the next week, at least. This is great news as we get into what typically is the heart of hurricane season.