Posted by Eric Berger at 12:21 PM
As of noon on Saturday the heaviest rains associated with today’s storms have moved through central Houston and are pushing off to the east.
Radar snapshot at 12:05 pm CT. (Intellicast)
Although forecasts for the timing of the heavy rains were accurate — I had pegged midnight Friday to noon on Saturday for the most intense rains — amounts were not. Instead of isolated areas of six or more inches, widespread areas of the metro region received that much. And isolated areas to the east-northeast of Houston, including Crosby, received a staggering 11 inches of rain during the last 24 hours.
Posted by Eric Berger at 6:46 AM
The forecast for this weekend remains pretty much the same as I’ve been describing it all week. Please remember this isn’t a guarantee. Nailing the precise timing of rain events like this is an inexact science, but we can have decent confidence in this forecast.
Breezy conditions, with strong southerly winds. Rains approach Houston from the west, perhaps reaching the western part of the metro sometime during the early afternoon hours, and the rest of the area during the mid- or late afternoon hours.
Rains move in from west to east, starting with light rain, building to steadier storms by roughly 7 to 10 p.m. Most areas will begin to see some rain. Additionally the strong southerly winds could push tides 1 to 2 feet above normal. A coastal flood advisory is in effect.
Heavier rains move into central Houston just before or after midnight on Friday. It’s not clear whether the biggest burst will come over inland counties or closer to the coast. 1 to 2 inches are possible. Thunderstorms likely.
According to NOAA, conditions for damaging winds, hail and isolated tornadoes are highest over central Texas. (NOAA)
Posted by Eric Berger at 2:51 PM
There have been a lot of questions about conditions on Friday night and Saturday so I thought I’d provide a brief update on what the latest forecast models indicate will happen. Please remember this isn’t set in stone. Nailing the precise timing of rain events like this is an inexact science, even two or three days out.
Rains move in from west to east, starting with light rain, building to steadier storms by roughly 9 p.m.
Heavier rains move into central Houston just before or after midnight on Friday. It’s not clear whether the biggest burst will come over inland counties or closer to the coast. 1 to 3 inches are possible. Thunderstorms likely.
Houston is included in an area that faces a marginal risk of strong winds and isolated tornadoes on Friday night and Saturday morning. (NOAA)
Posted by Eric Berger at 6:44 AM
Good morning, and welcome to my weekday morning update on conditions ahead for the greater Houston area.
It’s a pleasant morning across Houston with temperatures in the low 60s. After yesterday’s breeze the winds have fallen to only about 5 mph out of the north. High temperatures today under sunny skies will climb to about 80 degrees.
In short, it’s going to be spectacular.
Wednesday and Thursday will also be sunny, although a bit warmer, with highs in the low- to mid-80s. Nighttime lows should remain in the low 60s. Read More…