In brief: A decaying front will provide the spark for some shower and thunderstorm chances today. Not everyone will see rain for sure, but a few locations may see heavy showers. After today we start drying out and heating up, with the weekend looking especially warm. Some locations will approach 100 degrees.
Wednesday
A weak front will stall out north of the Houston metro area today, but it should get close enough to perturb our atmosphere enough to make things interesting in terms of showers and thunderstorms. Later this morning, and during the afternoon hours, we will see boundaries setting up across the region that may collide with the sea breeze to produce some activity. Overall rain chances are probably on the order of 40 percent—so for many us we may see dark skies and possibly lightning nearby, but no rain. However, I do think there will be some pockets of the Houston area (more likely north of Interstate 10, but it really could be anywhere) that pick up a quick 1 to 3 inches of rain. We may also see some damaging winds, but for the most part I think the predominant threat is heavy rain.
Mostly cloudy skies and rain-cooled air should help keep a lid on temperatures this afternoon. Most of us will probably reach around 90 degrees, give or take a bit. Humidity will remain high, of course. Winds will generally be about 10 mph from the south, but stronger gusts will be possible within thunderstorms. Lows tonight will drop into the upper 70s.
Thursday and Friday
These should be a pair of mostly sunny days, with high temperatures in the low 90s. So, fairly typical as early June weather goes. However, at some point on Thursday or Thursday night, we should start to see increasing levels of haze (due to Saharan dust) over the area. This is mostly harmless, and actually benefits our soils. But for people who have sensitivity in breathing, it is certainly unwelcome. Another change on Friday is that we should also see more pronounced winds from the south, with gusts as high as 20 or 25 mph.
Saturday and Sunday
There’s no way to sugar coat this: The weekend looks hot as high pressure sets up over the area. Saturday will see highs in the mid-90s, and Sunday should jump up into the upper-90s. A few inland locations may touch 100 degrees. Hazy conditions should linger into the weekend. Nights will be sultry. A few showers may develop along the sea breeze both afternoons, but I’d peg the chances at somewhere near 10 percent. So, unlikely.
Next week
Some relief is at hand, however. The ridge of high pressure should retreat next week, opening us up to daily shower and thunderstorm chances. Accordingly I think we’re looking at highs of around 90 degrees next week, with partly to mostly cloudy skies, and perhaps an accumulation of 1 to 2 inches of rain. That’s a very rough guess, of course.
It’s a very comfortable 72 degrees with 50% humidity in my house right how. Such a great place to be until October.
Hey.
Torrid weather for only a few days,then the ridge takes a hike and the scattered t-storm brigade returns? Not bad
100%. Nothing worse than high pressure parked over us with no relief in sight.
There are people that celebrate high pressure parked over Houston because it will keep tropical systems away from the city
It wouldn’t be so bad if the dew points weren’t constantly near 80 degrees everyday where I live. I miss the days when dew points dropped into the mid to low 70s most summer afternoons. The extra humidity the hot Gulf has been releasing makes just 89 to 90 degrees feel miserably oppressive.
Ok I’m non sequitur on how Saharan dust benefits our soils. As soon as I read that I was reminded of the late Sam Kinnison screaming at the guy about sand and nothing grows in it. 😅😂
Saharan dust can benefit the soil by providing essential nutrients like phosphorus. A number of articles describes how it nourishes Amazon’s plants.
Of course, it can be harmful to small children, older adults, and people with lung conditions.
Forbes just published an article about the goods and bads of the Saharan dust. There’s also an article published in 2015 by NASA, providing details.
That was a hilarious skit from him 😂🤣
Perhaps this weekend we should convert to the metric system. That way, it will only be 38 degrees outside.
I hope we don’t get any thunderstorms because they close the pool when there is lightning around.
But at least school is out and it is summer! No better time to be a kid in Houston!
heard a bit on npr this am re weather forecasting by AI…any comments on value/likelihood of being of value ??
In SW Houston we just had about an inch in half an hour. An isolated cell dropped about half an inch yesterday, so not bad for the week.
Wow, that pouring rain on Memorial at Shepherd was super fun. It took me an hour and a lot of maneuvering through flooding streets to get 6 miles. 👎🏻
3/4″ here in Katy (Clay Rd. @ Barker Cypress) Nice!