Author: Eric Berger

Good morning! A second, stronger cold front moved into Houston overnight and this will set the stage for more winter-like conditions through the end of the work week. Then temperatures will begin to rise again this weekend, before the arrival of yet another front. So it goes in Houston, during the winter.

Wednesday

Today will be breezy as the cooler, dry air bulls into Houston behind the front. Expect gusts as high as 20 mph at times, perhaps even a bit stronger right along the coast. Skies should gradually clear out, with highs working themselves into the mid-60s or so for most areas. Winds should gradually subside this evening, as lows drop into the low- to mid-40s in the city of Houston—colder inland, and warmer along the coast.

Forecast low temperatures for Houston on Thursday morning. (Weather Bell)

Thursday

This should be the coldest day of the week. Combined with the cold air, a few clouds may help to limit high temperatures to about 60 degrees. It should be another chilly night, with lows dropping into the mid-40s in Houston.

Friday

After dominating our weather for a few days, high pressure should begin to slide off to the east, and this will eventually induce a more southerly flow. However, I think Friday will still see mostly sunny skies, and with its cold start highs probably will only get into the mid-60s. Lows Friday night will be warmer, perhaps dropping into the mid- to upper-50s.

When high pressure dominates during the winter, Houston typically has clear and calm conditions. (National Weather Service)

Saturday

The first half of the weekend will be warmer, with highs somewhere in the 70s, and mostly cloudy skies. As atmospheric moisture levels creep up, rain chances will rise during the afternoon and evening hours, perhaps to 40 or 50 percent. However, any rain that falls on Saturday evening or during the overnight hours will very probably be light, with overall accumulations for most areas likely around one-tenth of an inch. A cold front should push through during the overnight hours, although whether that happens around midnight, or later at sunrise on Sunday, is anyone’s guess right now.

Sunday

This should be a pleasant, breezy, sunny day with highs of around 70 degrees in the wake of the front. Lows on Sunday night should drop into the 40s for most.

Next week

And so it goes during winter. High pressure should dominate through Tuesday, or so, with its attendant sunny skies. Then we’ll be back into a warmer, more humid pattern until the next front arrives. It seems possible that this one—arriving around February 5 or 6—may have more oomph than the last few. Temperatures may flirt with freezing levels again in Houston, although that’s just speculation for now.

Good morning. For the last seven days, temperatures in Houston have averaged 10 to 15 degrees above normal for January, with mostly cloudy skies. Now, following a weak front on Monday, and a stronger one on Wednesday, Houston will return to somewhat more normal conditions for January, with cooler and clearer weather.

We’re seeing quite a variation in temperatures on Tuesday morning. (Weather Bell)

Tuesday

In the wake of Monday’s front winds are out of the northwest, but our air mass has modified only slowly, especially along the coast. As a result there is a wide variance in temperatures across Houston this morning, ranging from upper 40s for inland areas like Montgomery County, to the low 60s south of the city. This is because Monday’s front is lingering just offshore, and it may also allow for some clouds to form along the coast later today. Highs should get into the upper 60s or low 70s for most today, with winds shifting to come from the east. Overnight lows should drop into the 50s for most.

Wednesday

Another front will push into Houston on Wednesday morning, and this should bring somewhat more drier air. We can’t rule out some very light showers early Wednesday near the coast. However these will end with the front’s passage, and we should be left with a partly to mostly sunny day, with highs in the 60s. Wednesday night should be the coldest of the week, with temperatures dropping down to the low 40s in Houston.

Thursday morning should be the coldest of the week. (Weather Bell)

Thursday and Friday

High pressure will make for a pleasant end to the work week in Houston, with mostly sunny skies predominating. Highs on Thursday may not get much above 60 degrees after the cool start, and Thursday night should again see lows in the 40s. However, by Friday the onshore flow will push highs back into the upper 60s.

Saturday, Sunday, and beyond

The forecast for the weekend is coming into slightly better focus. We expect a warmish and probably cloudy day on Saturday, with high temperatures pushing up into the 70s. A chance of rain enters the forecast later in the day, when another front moves toward the region. Depending on the timing and movement of this front, we’re less confident about Sunday’s weather. Most likely, however, we’ll see partly to mostly sunny skies on Sunday after the front moves through. Monday and Tuesday of next week should see highs in the 60s, and lows in the 40s.

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On Wednesday in Houston, the fog never seemed to lift. On Thursday the fog eventually went away, but then a persistent drizzle never seemed to stop drizzling. So what gloom does Friday have to offer Houston? Today, we think, it will just be clouds. If you’re wondering when the sunshine will return, you’re going to have to hang on until Monday.

Friday

The front that stalled out over Houston on Thursday has finally moved into the Gulf of Mexico, but it’s not going very far, and there wasn’t all that much oomph left in it any way. So while winds have shifted to come from the north and northwest today across Houston, we won’t see too much drying out, and for all but western areas, skies will remain at least mostly cloudy. Highs should reach about 70 degrees for most areas, with the city dropping to 60 degrees tonight, with temperatures in the 50s for outlying areas. At least it probably won’t rain today—not something we can say for the entire weekend.

Saturday

Some fog will be possible on Saturday morning, but it won’t be like what we saw earlier this week. Skies will still be mostly cloudy, and as winds shift to come from the east moisture levels in the atmosphere will increase. I’m confident the morning will remain rain-free across Houston, but some light showers will be possible later in the day and overnight. Highs Saturday will likely climb into the upper 60s, with lows dropping only perhaps 5 to 10 degrees with little diurnal cooling.

NOAA rain accumulation forecast for now through Wednesday. (Weather Bell)

Sunday

We can probably expect a healthy amount of fog on Sunday morning as warmer air moves over cooler bodies of water. Rain chances will be healthy on Sunday, and the day may be a lot like what we just experienced on Thursday, with widespread light rain not leading to much in the way of accumulations. Highs will likely be in the mid-70s, with a very warm night in the mid-60s. So yeah, it’s a pretty bleh weekend.

Monday

Finally, on Monday, a stronger front will work its way into the Houston area. Our best guess on timing, at this point, is mid- to late morning. A broken line of showers, and perhaps a few thunderstorms, may accompany the front. But our atmosphere will dry out quickly with its passage, and skies should turn mostly sunny in its wake. Lows Monday night should fall to around 50 degrees.

Next week will first turn cool, and then cooler still. (Weather Bell)

The rest of next week

Next week should see a succession of at least partly sunny days. Another front later in the week should knock lows down into the 40s for most of the area. The models aren’t indicating anything too crazy in terms of precipitation, so compared to the week we’re now experiencing, next week looks pretty great.