An unsettled atmosphere may bring storms later today and this evening

In brief: We’re interrupting your Sunday with a short update to call attention to the possibility of severe weather this afternoon and evening. Most people should not be impacted, but some may well be. If it starts to thunder and lighting, take cover.

Happy first day of hurricane season, everyone. We don’t have any tropical concerns right now, and we’ll have more to say about the upcoming season tomorrow. For now, I just want to briefly butt into your Sunday to call attention to the possibility of strong thunderstorms later today.

Right up front I want to be clear that this forecast is uncertain. Although there are some elements in place for severe weather, including some decent wind shear and convective available potential energy, not everything is in alignment. It’s sort of like baking a cake and skipping the baking powder and substituting for the eggs, and popping it in the oven. You’re just not sure what’s going to happen.

Severe weather outlook for Sunday and Sunday evening. (NOAA)

With that said, given the background conditions, there is the possibility of some strong and perhaps severe thunderstorms developing between mid-afternoon today and this evening. There are the usual threats here: briefly heavy rainfall, decently sized hail, and damaging winds. We also cannot entirely rule out a tornado, but the likelihood is low. Overall, the chances of severe weather are modestly higher north of Interstate 10.

Mostly, we are probably going to see mostly sunny skies this afternoon, with high temperatures in the low 90s. If you see storms, that’s probably going to be the exception rather than the rule. But the potential is there. Any inclement weather should calm down later this evening, and overnight. See you tomorrow morning with a full forecast.

10 thoughts on “An unsettled atmosphere may bring storms later today and this evening”

  1. In case no one has told you and Matt lately, y’all are amazing. Thank you and enjoy the rest of your weekend. 😊

    Reply
  2. I saw a post about possible northern lights sightings here (on camera). Will this really be possible and will we be able to see it with the storms?

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  3. “It’s sort of like baking a cake and skipping the baking powder and substituting for the eggs, and popping it in the oven.”

    So, some sort of funky kinda brownies I’m guessing?

    Reply
  4. In Spring Branch area – a few minutes ago it was raining (not a downpour but a legitimate shower) but the sky was clear blue. Total bluebird. Any thoughts on how that happened? Thanks!

    Reply

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