Rain chances increase over the next 24 hours before sunshine returns

Good morning. The fog is back across Houston, but it should begin to dissipate later this morning. Houston will then be warm and humid for another day and a half, before a front with some sticking power ushers in several days of very pleasant, spring-like weather that should last into the weekend.

Tuesday

After the fog clears this morning skies will remain cloudy, and we may see some scattered to isolated showers throughout the day. Otherwise, it will just be fairly humid, with highs likely reaching the low 80s in most locations. Conditions overnight will remain cloudy, with low temperatures possibly not dropping below 70 degrees for much of the metro area.

NOAA rain accumulation forecast for now through Wednesday. (Weather Bell)

Wednesday

After another warm morning, a front will approach the region. Rain chances will be fairly high during the morning hours, and I expect much of the region will likely see around 0.25 to 0.5 inches of rain before a drier air mass moves into the region. We may see some a few thunderstorms to the east of Interstate 45 where the atmosphere should be a little bit more unstable.

The drier air should reach Houston by around noon, give or take, and move offshore during the afternoon hours. Temperatures will drop as skies clear and the Sun goes down, with lows falling to around 50 degrees Wednesday night.

Thursday and Friday

Just a pair of lovely spring days, with sunny skies, highs near 70 degrees and lows in the upper 40s to around 50 degrees. Some brisk northerly winds may linger into Thursday morning out of the north, but those should begin to die down later in the day.

Saturday and Sunday

The sunshine party continues into the weekend, with mostly clear skies on Saturday, and at least partly clear skies on Sunday. Highs on Saturday will again be around 70 degrees, before getting into the mid-70s on Sunday as the overall flow turns more southerly.

Enjoy those spring-time temperatures while they last. (Weather Bell)

Next week

Most of next week looks warmer, with highs in the 70s and 80s, and lows in the 60s. There may be another front passing through by mid-week but that is far from a certainty.

Houston will see lovely spring-like weather later this week

Good morning. Light winds and a fairly moist atmosphere have combined to produce widespread fog across the region, with visibilities down to one quarter mile or less in some areas. This should remain until mid-morning, before finally burning off. Please take care on roadways in the meantime.

Monday

After the fog dissipates, skies will be partly to mostly sunny today, with temperatures rising to around 80 degrees. Winds will come from the south later this afternoon as the front that moved through Houston on Sunday returns back onshore. This will also bring a slight chance of showers this afternoon for areas south of Interstate 10, with higher resolution models hinting at the possibility of some isolated thunderstorms. Lows tonight will only drop into the 60s as a warm, and fairly humid air mass returns to the area.

A colder airmass lies northwest of Houston this morning, but it’s not coming closer today.

Tuesday and Wednesday

Warm conditions remain on these days, with highs of around 80 degrees and mostly cloudy skies. A very few, light showers are possible Tuesday evening, but the better rain chances will come on Wednesday morning as a cold front approaches and moves through the area. Accumulations look modest, perhaps 0.25 inches to 0.5 inches of rain for most, give or take. Right now it looks like the front will push through during the late morning hours of Wednesday, or by around noon. This should allow for clearing skies later in the day and a cooler night, with temperatures dropping to around 50 degrees.

Thursday and Friday

This will be a bonafide front and move more definitively offshore, and as a result we’ll see clear and cool weather. Look for highs around 70, and lows in the upper 40s to around 50 degrees, with clear skies to end the work week.

Friday night could be the coldest of the week for the region.

Saturday, Sunday and beyond

For now, it looks like the drier air will hold into much of the weekend, so we can probably expect partly to mostly sunny skies with highs in the low 70s and lows somewhere around 50 degrees. That sounds lovely, and we’ll hope that forecast holds.

Conditions will warm early next week before another front potentially moves through by Tuesday or Wednesday.

Houston’s weather to remain warm and humid until Sunday

Good morning! As we get closer to the weekend our overall pattern remains more or less the same, with three more partly to mostly cloudy warm days, a transition day on Sunday, and somewhat cooler weather next week. Overall the forecast is pretty boring, and after last year’s hurricane season and the recent winter storm, there’s nothing wrong with that.

On an unrelated note, I’ll be speaking during a couple of free, online events today you may find of interest. I’ll be speaking virtually about LIFTOFF at a Houston Writer’s event at 1pm CT, and interviewed about the book for the San Francisco-based Commonwealth Club at 5pm CT. The YouTube link for the Commonwealth event will go live at that time.

It’s a warm, sticky morning across the Houston area on Thursday. (Weather Bell)

Thursday

Southerly winds will continue to blow, bringing more warm and humid air into the region. As a result, we expect continued, mostly cloudy skies today with high temperatures reaching around 80 degrees. Winds will again be noticeable out of the south, blowing as high as about 20 mph. Like Wednesday night, lows will only drop into the upper 60s for most.

Friday and Saturday

We’ll see more of the same on Friday and Saturday, although winds may slacken just a bit, and there may be a few more breaks in the clouds as sunshine peeks through. Look for highs to again hit about 80 degrees, with warm nights and plenty of humidity to spare. Rain chances will be about 10 percent both days.

Sunday

The pattern changes as a cold front pushes toward the region, and this will lead to better rain chances from the period of Saturday night into Sunday night. Most of these showers will be light, with accumulations of 0.25 to 0.5 inches for most, and skies should otherwise be cloudy. Highs will reach the mid-70s or so, and right now the front looks to move into the city during the afternoon or evening hours. This will set the stage for a cooler night, likely in the 50s.

Monday’s cooldown will be brief next week. (Weather Bell)

Next week

The front will cool things off for the region on Monday, but by Tuesday the pattern will again warm again. The forecast models now seem increasingly confident in a second front pushing through on Wednesday, which should drive highs into the 60s for the second half of next week, with lows in the 40s and 50s. Wednesday’s front should bring another splash of rain into the forecast, but nothing that looks too serious at this time.

Brisk southerly winds will amplify warming trend for the region

After several days of partly to mostly sunny skies, clouds are back on the menu for Houston, along with increasing levels of humidity. Temperatures across the region are unlikely to fall below the 60s for most areas until Sunday night, by which time a front should drop us back into more seasonable conditions.

It’s a warm morning across Texas for early March. (Weather Bell)

Wednesday

A much warmer, southerly flow is in place over the region, and as a result temperatures this morning have only fallen into the low- to mid-60s across the region. In response to fairly tight pressure gradients, we’ll see onshore winds kick up again this afternoon, with gusts reaching about 25 mph out of the southeast. This humid air will allow temperatures to reach into the upper 70s, to 80 degrees, despite cloudy skies. Overnight temperatures won’t fall below the mid- 60s.

Thursday

Our sensible weather won’t change much on Thursday, although slightly increased moisture levels may allow for some very scattered, very light rain showers to develop. Highs will again be near 80 degrees with mostly cloudy skies.

Friday and Saturday

The continued flow of warmer air will lead to more days with highs of around 80 degrees on Friday and Saturday, although we may see a little bit more sunshine during the afternoon hours. Nights will remain warm and sticky, with the possibility of fog developing along and near the coast as warmer air moves over cooler shelf waters.

Sunday

At some point on Sunday our next cold front should arrive in Houston. For most of the day, however, we may see gray skies and fairly decent rain chances, with accumulations perhaps on the order of 0.25 to 0.5 inches. There may be a few thunderstorms. Highs likely will be the 70s, with a cooler night as lows drop to around 50 degrees in Houston.

Conditions will turn cooler next week. But how cool, and for how long? (Weather Bell)

Next week

The first several days of next week look cooler, but the global models seem undecided about whether a second, reinforcing front will make it through by around Wednesday. As a result, we don’t really know whether highs will be in the 60s or 80s for the second half of next week.