In brief: The forecast for this week is fairly boring. If you like dynamic change you’re out of luck, as our days for at least the next week will be rather warm, sunny, but with modestly drier air. Nights will be somewhat cool, but definitely not chilly. Although rain chances are essentially zero for the next seven days, but there starts to be some hope for precipitation after that.
A cool spell ends
The second half of last week produced the region’s first run of cooler-than-normal temperatures since early September, with a couple of days with high temperatures in the 70s, and a few nights in the 40s and 50s. This provided a nice preview of fall-like weather, but our daytime highs are headed back into the upper 80s later this week.
However our nights will remain a touch cooler, with slightly drier air from the northeast helping to cool us off into the low- to mid-60s most nights. As for rain, we’ve been talking about how dry things have been, and that is not going to change this week. However, I have some hope for some change in a little more than a week from now.
Monday
High temperatures will reach the mid-80s today, with sunny skies. Winds will generally be from the east, at about 5 to 10 mph. Skies will be mostly sunny, but with dewpoints in the 50s, the air will feel fairly dry. Low temperatures will drop into the lower 60s tonight. Clear skies should continue to prevail.
Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday
There won’t be much change in the weather this week after today. Each day will see mostly sunny skies, with high temperatures ranging from the lower 80s near the coast, upper-80s for much of the city, and about 90 degrees for inland areas. The air will be modestly dry, and this will help push highs so warm (90-degree days in late October are no unheard of, but they’re quite rare). Lows will drop into the low- to mid-60s for most locations away from the coast, so nights and evenings will be pleasant.
Saturday and Sunday
Not much changes this weekend. A (very) weak front may push highs back down into the mid-80s, and take a degree or two off nighttime temperatures. But we should continue to see sunny days and cool-ish nights. If you have outdoor plans for the weekend, you can make them with confidence.
Next week
The forecast for next week is uncertain. There are hints of a front in the Monday timeframe, or possibly later in the week, but I don’t have great confidence in any of that happening for sure. However, we may finally see a break from a pattern in which high pressure prevails. Most of our modeling guidance does suggest that Houston may start to see some better rain chances by around Wednesday or Thursday of next week. Now that’s nine or ten days into the future, so I would not set out your cisterns just yet. But it does provide some hope after a very dry fall.
Daytime highs have been above average but nighttime lows have been very pleasant. After a hot summer it certainly feels nice. Warmer than I like but for Houston, TX I will take it…
Please describe what the left scale of the graphic represents that goes from. C00 to 50?? Thanks in advance.
The graphic represents solutions from the ECMWF ensemble members. So each line would represent an individual model that contributes to the ensemble.
Less than 1″ of rain in the last 50 days, we need some relief from this drought… although I will admit, it has made some backyard construction pretty easy.
Left for our morning walk at 7:40 here in Magnolia. The temp was 55°F – Dew Point was about 50, Humidity about 75%, and Snow Depth of 0″.
Made for cool walk, so walked further. Heck even now at 8:40, it’s 60°F. Will walk again in a couple hours.
Fox 24 Hour Weather channel is reporting flash flooding in parts of New Mexico. Sadly, many folks have to be rescued, and 2 folks have succumbed to the flooding in Roswell.
Are we ever going to get fall? My idea of fall is highs in the high 70s and lows in the low 50s.
Probably not until November. The weather doesn’t stay like that consistently until mid November if we’re lucky.
Well, it’s probably best to move to LA or NYC for that. Probably fit in better there too.
Maybe they have better manners in New York or Los Angeles. That would be a nice change of pace seeing as how we don’t seem to able to handle differing opinions here.
Well, he does call himself: “Texas Heat”. Maybe he ‘carries’ as well?
My observation of Texans is that they are endearingly courteous and polite, so maybe he ain’t from around here?
It felt great at the Korn concert last night in the Woodlands. It dropped into the upper 50s. Didn’t sweat at all. Even though it’s warmer than normal during the day, I’ll still take this over August any day.
Rain just in time for Halloween. Perfect.
Sorry Matt, it’s a trick.