Haves and have nots in the rain department around Houston yesterday

In brief: After yesterday’s smattering of decent rain in spots, Houston will continue to see at least spotty to scattered showers and storms the next several days. A cool front is expected to disrupt the warm and humid weather early next week, with some uncertainty on just how far through the area it gets. Also, don’t forget to turn back the clocks tomorrow night!

Houston saw a wide range of rainfall yesterday, with a couple of areas clearly cashing in, while others struggled. The big winners were in Richmond, Rosenberg, and just west of Sugar Land, where close to 4 inches fell. Galveston and Brazoria Counties did well also with a general 1 to 3 inches in most spots. Beaumont did well to our east, as did Brookshire to our west. All in all, I’d venture to guess that about 60 percent of you are pleased with what has fallen so far, while the other 40 percent are smarting a little.

Anywhere you see yellow, at least 2 to 3 inches of rain fell yesterday. (NOAA NSSL MRMS)

The good news is that we are not quite done with the rain yet, but the bad news is that it will be very spotty over the next few days.

Today through Sunday

Look for sun, clouds, and a smattering of showers each day. Exactly where and when these occur is impossible to predict, but the environment is supportive of at least a 30 to 40 percent rain chance each day. No need to alter plans, but have a spot in mind to scoot to if it rains for a brief time. Highs will be generally in the low to mid-80s with lows in the 70s and muggy conditions.

Don’t forget to change your clocks! (NWS Houston)

Oh, and don’t forget to set the clocks back an hour tomorrow night. I used to joke that I would have to adjust my temperature forecasts because of “one hour less daylight.” Meteorologist humor.

Anyway, have the umbrella handy but hopefully the rain won’t bother you too much.

Monday and beyond

Next week will be a bit of a tricky forecast. Monday should start off much like the weekend with high humidity, warm, and humid conditions. We’ll continue a chance of a shower or storm. On Monday night, a cold front will approach Houston. It should push through the area, but there are hints in model guidance that the front will probably stall near the coast or just offshore. Assuming that happens, we will turn slightly cooler and less humid on Tuesday and Wednesday. I’d expect highs in the 70s and lows in the 60s.

A cold front will likely stall near the coast on Tuesday, perhaps allowing the Houston area to turn a little cooler and less humid for a day or two. (NOAA WPC)

Nothing too special there, but it’ll feel refreshing at least! That front may actually come through with a little oomph on Tuesday morning, and I wouldn’t be shocked to see a line of thunderstorms douse everyone with a half-inch to inch of rain and some thunder.

After Wednesday, the front will probably push back onshore Thursday, ushering back in warm and somewhat humid conditions before the next front. When will that arrive? Maybe next weekend? We’ll see. Model guidance has been a little wonky in the extended range lately in terms of timing and strength of fronts, so I don’t want to overpromise anything.

Tropics

Yes, it’s November 1st, and yes Houston’s hurricane season is (historically) done. We don’t need to worry about the system in the Caribbean with a 70 percent chance of development.

A Caribbean disturbance has a decent chance of developing into a tropical system next week. While it is unlikely to come to the western Gulf, if you are planning a trip to Central America or the Caribbean next week, you should monitor this. (NOAA NHC)

However, it could be a player in the weather across the western Caribbean next week. We can’t get too specific on anyone’s forecast, but if you’ll be traveling to the western Caribbean or Central America next week, keep tabs on things at our companion site, The Eyewall.

9 thoughts on “Haves and have nots in the rain department around Houston yesterday”

  1. Just stopped at the halfway point for a brief break during the morning walk in Magnolia. Even though the Humidity and Dew Point are similar to yesterday, it’s a bit more tolerable because of a northwest wind blowing 3-5 MPH. Okay, off to finish the walk.

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  2. This fall is reminiscent of 1988, 1999, & 2010 where we have not had highs yet to drop below 70 degrees. We’re losing valuable time for window opening weather.

    At least the San Andeas like cracks in our lawns are closing up with the recent rains.

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    • The fall of 2016 was like that as well. At least where I live along the coast, we didn’t see highs in the 60s until November 19th. This Fall has been very similar to 2016.

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  3. Dude this humidity can go home. Absolutely disgusting. I certainly do not want to see anything having to do with winter holidays when it feels like this out. 🫠

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  4. I’m hoping since this fall is so warm that this winter will actually be steadily cool/chilly. Sometimes warm falls can lead to cold winters. I’m not talking about 2 or 3 brutally cold days and then the rest of the winter being warm like what we have seen the past few years. I’m talking about more days averaging cooler than normal than above.

    Oftentimes when we have winter in October and November, the actual winter turns out mostly mild to warm. But I understand that we may see a warm winter regardless because of La Nina. Also, in today’s climate everything seems to favor warmer than normal conditions most of the time as well.

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  5. I like your meteorologist humor! Once when it was Spring and we were going to get an extra hour of daylight – a coworker commented that she liked springing forward an hour because it gave the grass more time to grow!
    It takes all kinds!

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  6. I got 5/8″ since Wednesday afternoon. Maybe enough to keep things from dying but clearly need more. Keep the rain coming, Matt!

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