In brief: We should see two more days of some of summer’s hottest weather to date before a tropical disturbance brings clouds and rain chances Friday and Saturday. We start to heat back up again next week with another round of 100° risk possibly beginning on Tuesday.
Yesterday bested Monday for Houston’s hottest day of summer. We officially hit 100 degrees for the first time since August 22nd of last year. Congratulations. This is our 4th summer in a row with at least one 100 degree day. 2021 had none. For real.
Today and Thursday
More heat. More humidity. More ouch. We will probably threaten yesterday’s hottest day of summer record on either or both days.
Rain chances will be at a minimum.
Friday & Saturday
We continue to see plenty of signs that the tropical wave moving across the Gulf will “make landfall” in Southeast Texas on Friday. No development is expected (though the NHC did tag it at 10% yesterday evening). However, it will nudge up our rain chances substantially on both Friday and Saturday, especially near the coast and east of Houston. Rain chances will also spread inland too. But the best chance of some locally heavy rainfall will be south and east.
I’m not sure I would go cancelling outdoor plans just yet. You may still be able to squeak some windows in of drier weather on those days, particularly away from the coast. But stay tuned.
Temperatures will be held back due to clouds. Look for highs in the low-90s at best, possibly upper-80s in a couple spots, especially south and east.
Sunday & Monday
We should transition out of this pattern at the end of the weekend and on Monday. Look for highs to bounce back into the mid-90s or even a bit hotter by Monday.
Tuesday through Thursday
I would expect us to see another round of heat rivaling the hottest of summer beginning next Tuesday. Highs will approach 100 degrees in spots. Rain chances will again be minimal. Or so we think. If the ridge of high pressure over the Plains orients a little further north, it could crack the door to the Gulf open some more. If that happens, we could possibly see more cooling downpours each afternoon. We’ll see. More to come.
It hit 100 for one minute at IAH none of the other official climate sites were even close, just saying….
Yeah. My last check up, my primary care doctor was disappointed that I did not lose any weight in the last three months. I told him that I lost one pound.
My doctor put his fore finger in his mouth, pulled it out, pointed it up and twirled his finger. He responded, “Whoop-de-doo….”
Your point?
(MJV’s failed attempt at sarcasm…)
Jack S: The National Weather Service website as of right now is showing a high of 97°F for today and 96°F for tomorrow.
July 23rd
Record high: 101 in 2018
Record low: 64 in 1970
On the ABC-13 news yesterday evening, Travis Herzog said the NWS had reason to believe the Bush Airport temperature reading (ASOS station) was running “a little hot”. No other climate site exceeded 97°. He said that they were going to send a technician out today to inspect the station. Sure enough, the Bush Airport temperature sensor went offline from 10-10:30 AM so they probably changed something out. Could have been the sensor, or perhaps the fan aspirator inside the radiation shield. We’ll see if this makes any difference.
Interesting
JFS: I did hear him mention that. Intercontinental Airport opened for business sometime in 1969, I think. I’ve often wondered how comparable temperatures between Intercontinental Airport (1969-present) and downtown Houston (before 1969) are.
I am calibrating my HVAC efficiency using deg-hours. I can tell you it was 100 inside the 610 loop for about an hour. 99+ for even longer. Around 330-5P. Timing of which is characteristic of a simmering trapped air mass under a ridge.
PS about 2 meters off the ground and in the shade
What about a weekend planned in Galveston?
ewwww
100 degree days (roughly) in Houston (from perplexity.ai)
2021: 1
2022: 16
2023: 39
2024: 8
2025: 0 (as of mid July)
Tonga Eruption was in January 2022(?)
Could there be any correlation in that massive eruption water vapor finally leaving the atmosphere?
Of course there is.
Not really. The weather we experience during the summer here is based on weather we are stuck under dominant high pressure or low pressure. Houston has had many other summers in the past with multiple 100 degree days and 2011 still holds the record for the most I believe.
There really isn’t much of a correlation between the Hunga Tonga eruption and the amount of 100 degree days Houston experienced the past few summers. If anything, it would be our overnight lows that would be warmer instead of the high temperatures. That has definitely happened in recent years. But our average overnight lows have been going up long before the eruption happened.
yall are eerily nonchalant about that 10% of something forming in the gulf
No mystery there. We have entered the domination of the sub tropical ridge. Puny troughs stand no chance. Only the cat level blue ocean hurricanes can overcome this feature.
@ash … you probably missed it – this was predicted not long ago.
That’s the same storm system that recently passed across FL from its east coast into the Gulf. It hugged the Gulf coastline, then turned north into LA, dumping a bunch of rain along it’s path.
Then it turned going back to the east coast into the Atlantic. It’s a storm that has made a big circle back to its beginnings , and is going back the same Gulf path for more
And BRW, @ash … go read today’s article at TheEyewall – it’s detailed there.
Not worried.
Old 93L = a wannabe Dexter that can’t quite resurrect 🧟♂️
(+ current shear ✂️)
The comment section is so high brow-their weather awareness is better than the “tik tok crowd’s” awareness. Pat yourself on the back. You deserve it!
The comment section is making it their mission to find any explanation for climate change to discount the one scientists and professionals agree on.
Not sure if that’s better or worse than TikTok meteorologists…
I’m not convinced FH’s posts aren’t AI generated. Doesn’t seem like a human would write this sort of nonsense. Or maybe they would.
FR is saying very unsavory things on yesterday’s post. makes me sad.
Yea bruh, tiktok emoji meteoro = GOAT
Periodt.
skibbidy rizz the hurricane is going to wipe us out. ohio.
Those forecasts on fleek.
Toe tall lee
I miss seeing the Wet Bulb Globe Temperatures. Any chance you could share how those look for the upcoming week of heat?
100 degree days are not at all uncommon in Houston. We average about 6 per year give or take. In June of 1902 we broke triple digits 10 times!
Yep, and it also hit 100 degrees nine other times that same summer with many days in the upper 90s. And that was before the urban heat island effect. Just imagine how hot that summer would be in Houston’s modern urban heat island if it happened now. My guess is that it would probably come close to riveling the 2011 and 2023 summer.
Vidatox Mexico