In brief: Houston is fairly well locked into a summertime pattern for the foreseeable future, with high temperatures in the mid- to upper-90s. The only real question each day is the extent to which we see some afternoon showers and thunderstorms develop. Overall chances are low each day, in the 10 to 30 percent range, but that’s better than nothing. Wednesday afternoon may be interesting.
Tuesday
We have reached the point of summer in Houston where not much changes. High pressure has developed over much of the southern United States, and for us that means mostly sunny skies and hot temperatures. However, for much of the forecast period Houston will lie along the periphery of this high, so it means our rain chances each are not zero. (For example, as I write this, some spotty showers have developed near Lake Jackson in southern Brazoria County).
For today, we’ll see mostly sunny skies with highs in the mid-90s for much of Houston. Some inland areas will see upper 90s. Winds will be light, generally from the south at 5 to 10 mph. We’ll see some additional showers this afternoon, but overall chances are probably only 10 to 20 percent. Low temperatures tonight will drop to around 80 degrees.
Wednesday
This will be another hot and mostly sunny day. However, some of our model guidance indicates at a bit of a disturbance may work its way southward across the region, bringing a slightly better chance of showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday afternoon or evening. So let’s peg rain chances a little bit higher, perhaps 30 percent. We’ll see. Nights remain warm and sultry.
Thursday, Friday, and Saturday
Expect hot and mostly sunny weather, with highs in the mid- to upper-90s. Rain chances each day will be about 20 percent. Anything that develops is likely to do so during the afternoon hours, along the seabreeze. Skies may also appear hazy as we see an influx of Saharan dust—this would have the benefit of making for some nice sunsets.
Sunday and beyond
Rain chances improve a bit by Sunday and Monday, with perhaps a bit wider coverage of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. This is no guarantee, however, as high pressure is lurking. Mostly I just anticipate hot conditions, with highs in the upper-90s for much of the area away from the coast. July is going to do July things in Houston. My way too early forecast for the July Fourth holiday is hot and sunny, with partly clear skies for fireworks.
The night was sultry.
I’ve been loving these sea breeze showers. We just had a tiny one develop as I was leaving for work this morning.
Not much to say about Houston weather for the foreseeable future. 92 days (+ or – two weeks or so) until Fall Day 2024! I am holding out hope for an increasingly unlikely August cold front like we had in 1992 when the temps dropped to 60 degrees on August 17th during the Republican National Convention in the Astrodome.
We also had a nice early cool front in August of 2004 which sent overnight lows down into the low 60s for a few mornings during the middle of the month with highs only in the upper 80s. This was very similar to 1992. However since that has only happened twice in 32 years, I would say the odds of that happening this year are pretty low. However, it is a little more common for us to get a cool front in late August that can drop temperatures into the upper 60s for a night or two. That actually happened last August if you can believe that. Still I wouldn’t hold my breath for that happening this year either.
“..with partly clear skies for fireworks. ”
Sure, why not promote illegal fireworks?
There was no indication they were referring to illegal fireworks. They simply said, for fireworks. I hope your day and bad attitude improves lol.
Fireworks aren’t illegal
Setting off of fireworks and maybe even being in possession of fireworks are illegal within the Houston city limits. Check the City Of Houston ordinances. I am sorry to disappoint you,
There are a lot of people who read this forecast that live outside city limits. I live near Jersey Village, we are outside the limits and fireworks are legal here.
Many municipalities host huge events to celebrate the day of our independence with officially-sanctioned professional fireworks shows which are, in fact, perfectly legal.
I hope you get your coffee and feel better.
As much as I would like to pile on Ken J for his bizarre and presumptuous post, I will not.
Not a problem, Bruce, neither I, nor I expect anyone else, will have the slightest interest in anything you are likely to say.
Ken J and Yrral are just trolls, don’t let them get to you
Or maybe he’s talking about the legal ones … presented every year at Freedom Over Texas in the skies over Eleanor Tinsley Park by [checks notes] the city of Houston. https://www.houstontx.gov/july4/
What about that promotes “illegal” fireworks and not just fireworks? Overreact much? Def a bit of a stretch.
Eric, how can we access WBGT forecasts for our area without purchasing a subscription to a service like WeatherBell? I instruct the community and train master gardeners and want to teach them how to prepare for and keep themselves safe during extreme heat. Thank you for your helpful insights on this topic yesterday!
I hate when we get to the “copy + paste” part of summer. Heat and heat advisories as far as the eye can see…
It’s slightly better, temp-wise, away from the concrete jungle of Houston 👍 (Magnolia acreage here).
here we go again with the hide and seek storms and bad rain forecasts. Why not just say its gonna be partly cloudy with a 5% rain chance? that’s how it was all summer long last year and the year before. All this “some percent of chance” doesnt mean anything. We are basically going into another drought.
Is there a long term Heat Index website, other than the few day at the govt site?