In brief: In today’s post we say goodbye to colder weather and hello to warmer conditions for awhile. Houston will see gradually increasing temperatures and humidity over the next week. However, cooler weather does appear to be on the horizon. I also explain why we hold our annual fundraiser in November.
Overall pattern
Temperatures this morning are generally 15 to 20 degrees warmer than on Tuesday, signaling that our brief incursion of Arctic air is over. Lows across Houston are generally in the mid- to upper-50s at sunrise, and this will likely be our coldest air for at least the next week as high pressure returns to dominate our pattern. We can expect mostly sunny skies and highs in the low- to mid-80s to prevail for awhile. This general pattern should prevail until the middle of next week, at which time a stronger front may be in the cards.
Wednesday
After today’s moderately chilly start, we will see high temperatures climb into the lower 80s this afternoon. We also will see more pronounced southerly winds, with gusts perhaps pushing as high as 20 mph. There will be a few clouds this afternoon, but mostly sunny skies will generally be the order of the day. With the warmer overall flow, temperatures tonight will only drop into the low- to mid-60s, so another step up even from this morning’s lows.
Thursday and Friday
Our warmer pattern continues. Expect highs mostly in the lower-80s, but some inland locations could push the mid-80s. Skies will be mostly sunny with the southerly winds noted above, and warm nights in the 60s. With dewpoints in the 60s the air will be modestly humid, but nothing too oppressive.
Saturday and Sunday
The weekend should bring a continuation of these trends. High temperatures will nudge upward, into the mid-80s for most locations. Skies remain mostly sunny and the models have trended downward with rain rain chances. For now I’d go with maybe 10 percent on Saturday, and 20 percent on Sunday. So very low, and probably not a factor in outdoor activities this weekend. Nights remain warm.
Temperatures will go up before they come down. (Weather Bell)
Next week
The first half of next week appears likely to be warm and muggy, with highs in the mid-80s and humidity levels creeping upward. This will lead to warmer nights as well, in the upper 60s, which is uncharacteristically warm for November. We may start to see a few isolated showers as well. Most of our model guidance is still pointing toward a stronger front arriving some time during the second half of next week. This should bring elevated rain chances in the Wednesday and Thursday time frame, followed by cooler temperatures. But the details of this front remain shrouded with some uncertainty.
Tomorrow I’ll dig a little deeper into this, and also hazard our first (and very tentative) forecast for the Thanksgiving holiday.
Fundraiser
We hold our annual fundraiser in November, because it is typically a quiet weather month. Matt and I very deliberately don’t seek any donations during the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season because we don’t want to appear as though we are trying to capitalize on bad weather. But just know that if you support the site now, you’re ensuring that we can provide quality information year-round, in the good weather times, and in the inevitably bad weather times. For more information on how to donate or purchase merchandise, please visit this page.
