In brief: Houston will continue to see very warm days, with highs generally in the upper 80s, for the rest of the month into early November. The only difference is that the modestly lower humidity we have seen this week will increase next week, and things are going to feel really humid for this late in the year. Rain chances remain possible later next week, but we’re unlikely to get the widespread drought relief we need.
Thursday
Calm winds and temperatures down near dewpoints in the lower 60s this morning are creating conditions to produce at least some patchy fog across parts of the area, but it will recede as temperatures warm up. We’re going toward the mid- to upper-80s for most locations today, with sunny skies and light easterly winds. Dewpoints will be low enough that the air feels at least somewhat dry outside. Low temperatures tonight will drop into the mid- to upper-60s for most locations, with the coast warmer as usual.
Friday
We’ll be a bit warmer on Friday, with much of the area in the upper-80s and a few locations potentially hitting 90 degrees. Sunny skies will prevail. The air will also feel a bit more humid, so this will be a pretty warm day overall. Lows on Friday night will only drop into the upper 60s.
Saturday and Sunday
Dewpoints drop back slightly for the weekend, so the air should again feel slightly drier. Days will still be quite warm, in the upper 80s for most locations. However, nights will be back into the mid-60s for most of Houston away from the coast. Skies will be almost uniformly sunny, so you should have no concerns about outdoor plans, except for atypical heat for late October.
Next week
We’ll see a continuation of warm, sunny days to start next week, with highs again in the upper 80s on Monday and Tuesday, and clear nights with lows in the upper 60s. However, the onshore flow should really start blowing and going at some point on Tuesday—we may see some fairly pronounced southerly winds—and this will act to boost humidity. We’re then likely to see partly cloudy and humid days during the second half of next week, with highs remaining in the upper 80s and nights in the low 70s. This is really incredibly warm for late October (including Halloween) into early November.
The only upside is that rain chances will finally return to the forecast by Wednesday or so. However, the overall likelihood of rain probably remains in the 30 percent range. In his post yesterday, Matt mentioned the possibility of a cold front by around next weekend, and there’s still a healthy chance of a front by Sunday (November 3) or Monday, but it’s something I would consider far from locked in.
I now declare, Houston has 180 days of Summer; May-Oct. You’ve been warned. Leave now, or forever hold your crying.
It’s my right as a Houstonian to cry all I want!
What’s ups with the crying nonsense! It is how Houston weather roll! Unpredictable! Getting used to it! It will not change no matter how much crying boohoo you do!
I miss you, boots & sweaters…
October has slowly but surely transitioned into a summer month over the years. 😕
It is called Octsummer.
I don’t understand what that map is indicating. It looks like it’s going to be over 90 in Michigan next week and super cold in LA. Deceiving to say the least.
If you read the map’s title and legend, you’d realize that it’s looking at Temperature Probability, not just temperature.
Its variation to normal historical temp, the darker the blue the lower the temp to normal and vice versa. It’s not saying the west coast will be cold, its saying it will be quite a bit cooler than normal, just like it will be quite a bit warmer than normal here.
It’s not a temperature forecast, but a probability of above or below average temperatures–two different items.
It is a confusing map. Those aren’t temperatures, they are percentages. The map indicates LA has an 70ish% chance of being colder than normal for this time of year, and Michigan has a 80 – 90% chance of being warmer than normal for this time of year.
Sorry, I didn’t see all these other replies. 🙂
It’s only confusing if you don’t actually read the title/heading.
😑
Go home, Summer, you’re drunk. 🙁
I follow a California weather YouTube channel and indeed the upcoming pattern change on the Pacific Coast and Intermountain West is looking to be very dramatic. There is an expectation of a notable fall-off in maximum and minimum temps even at lower elevations, and measurable snowfall in the Sierra Nevada and transverse ranges north of LA. In short, an abrupt transition from an extended summer-like pattern to an anomalously cooler and wetter pattern. I had my hopes up that as this system moves east we would see similar dramatic effects.
Dropped to 59-60 this morning in the League City area. Perfect fall weather here in SE TX. October feels great in the Deep Dirty South folks. Enjoy it!
MJO coming back around? 2 blocking lows become 2 blocking highs on the left and right coasts…11/3 ish. We finally get the low to come down to our latitude.
It’s time to rethink my Chewbacca costume.
Is it too early to make a prediction where this October may rank in terms of all time warmest for Houston?