In brief: Houston is not out there setting records, but temperatures are definitely running well above normal for early October. However some modest relief is on the way with a weak front arriving on Thursday. Unfortunately it is unlikely to bring much rain, which we could use with another dry spell ahead.
Early October heat
The average high so far this month has been about 93 degrees, well above the normal of 85 to 87 degrees. The heat has not been record-setting, but it’s definitely been warm for this time of year. Thanks to the arrival of a weak front on Thursday we are going to see daily highs and lows come down a few degrees. We still will be slightly above normal, but thanks to drier air the mornings and evenings will definitely feel more pleasant after today.
Wednesday
Highs today will get into the low- to mid-90s for much of the region, away from the coast. Skies will be mostly sunny. On Tuesday afternoon, along the sea breeze, we saw the development of some isolated to scattered showers, and that pattern will remain in place today. Overall chances are fairly low, probably on the order of 20 percent. Paltry as that may be, however, they do represent our best rain chances for awhile. After today, and well into next week, overall daily rain chances look to be on the order of zero percent. We’ll have another fairly sultry night, with lows in the lower 70s.
Thursday
This will be a sunny day, and highs once again will likely reach the lower 90s. However, during the afternoon winds should start to increase from the northeast, and this will be the beginning of the influx of a drier air mass. Some time after midnight dewpoints will drop into the 50s, with air temperatures in the 60s for much of the region.
Friday
This will be a sunny day, with a high temperature in the upper 80s, and fine, dry air. Lows Friday night will drop into the 60s, but how far will depend on how far you live from the coast.
Saturday and Sunday
Our sunny weather, with modest humidity, continues. Highs will be in the vicinity of the upper 80s to 90 degrees. Lows will be in the upper 60s to 70 degrees. With sunny skies, rain chances remain near zero.
Next week
This pattern of late summer/early fall-like weather continues next week. Humidity won’t be low, but it won’t be super high, either. Clouds will be difficult to find. The forecast models are still hinting at the possibility of some kind of change toward the end of next week, or the weekend, but there is no strong signal yet for what is to come.
