March begins, and so does the march toward warmer temperatures

The mercury has dipped into the upper 30s at many locations this morning across Houston, and it is quite chilly. This will not be the last of the chilly weather this week, but it probably will be the last morning in the 30s for much of the metro area. In fact, this week may see the final mornings in the 30s this season. I’m not ready to guarantee this, but we are certainly moving from a winter-like pattern, with regular cold fronts, into spring. The next cold front will not arrive until at least next Monday, and it will be a modest one.

Tuesday

With clear skies and light winds today will be another winner across the metro area, as high temperatures warm to about 70 degrees. There’s not much more to say, other than to enjoy the beautiful conditions. Low temperatures on Tuesday night will likely drop into the upper 40s, so a few degrees warmer than Monday night.

For those headed to the Houston Livestock Show and Rodeo this evening to see Keith Urban, or just eat a fried something or other, there are no weather concerns. Temperatures will be in the mid-50s this evening as the sun sets, with light winds. The mercury will drop to around 50 degrees by the time the show ends.

Wednesday and Thursday

These will be two more days with mostly sunny skies, highs in the low 70s, and generally light winds. By Thursday night low temperatures will only be falling into the 50s across the region, but there will still be enough dry air for nights to be pleasantly cool.

Friday

By the end of the week, under the influence of a southerly flow, we’ll start to see moisture levels rise in the atmosphere and this will lead to more clouds and humidity. Expect highs in the mid-70s on Friday, but lows Friday night to only drop into the 60s. Some very light, isolated rain showers are possible Friday night.

Saturday, Sunday, and beyond

This weekend looks warm. Both days should see highs of around 80 degrees, with fairly humid air. But that’s where our certainty stops. Both Saturday and Sunday should see a mix of sunshine and clouds, but will clouds dominate? And will the atmosphere be perturbed enough to squeeze out a few scattered showers? For now I’m pretty pessimistic about any real rain chances this weekend, but I can’t rule them out. Nights will be warm in the 60s.

Next week should see continued warm weather before the next front probably works its way through on Monday or Monday night. This should drop temperatures 10 or 15 degrees, and bring a modicum of drier air.