In brief: Cold conditions will hold on for about 24 more hours before a more southerly flow starts to moderate Houston’s conditions. This weekend looks mild, with periods of light rain, but also some sunshine on Sunday if you want to plan outdoor activities with some confidence. Colder, winter-like weather probably returns about a week from now.
A cold start
Air temperatures in the metro area this morning are generally in the upper 30s to 40 degrees, and with the wind chill tacked on it feels several degrees colder. The bottom line is that it’s a good morning to bundle up. A few of the usual suspects, such as Cleveland, Conroe, and Navasota well north of the Houston region have dropped to 32 degrees, or just below this morning. We will experience one more cold night before the region returns to relatively balmy conditions for this time of year, with milder nights in the upper 50s to lower 60s.
Wednesday
Skies are clear this morning, and will remain so all day. Winds will come consistently from the northwest today, but we won’t see the gusty conditions the region experienced on Tuesday afternoon and during the overnight hours. A few areas saw gusts of 40 mph or even higher as a second front blew in yesterday. Despite the sunshine, our high temperatures today will struggle to push beyond 60 degrees. The air will be very dry today and tonight, and temperatures should be as cold as Tuesday night, if not a few degrees colder. More areas in Montgomery county may experience a light freeze.
Thursday
Sometime after midnight, winds should turn southerly. By Thursday morning we’ll start to see dewpoints rising and this is the beginning of a more moderate pattern. Highs on Thursday should reach the mid-60s for most locations, with mostly sunny skies, and lows on Thursday night will probably only fall into the upper 50s.
Friday, Saturday, and Sunday
The weekend forecast is still a bit uncertain, but we’re starting to have a little more confidence. Daily high temperatures will generally range from the lower- to mid-70s, with mild nights generally in the lower 60s. Skies on Friday and Saturday should be mostly cloudy, but we could see some more sunshine on Sunday. As a front approaches the area, but likely stalls out, we probably will see some light to moderate rain on Friday night and at least the first half of Saturday. Accumulations will likely total a tenth of an inch, or two, so nuisance showers mostly. Rains should come to an end on Saturday afternoon. Sunday is probably your best bet for rain-free activities.
Next week
Rain chances return on Monday ahead of another front. Although this is a weaker front, at this point it appears likely to make it down through Houston and to the coast. In addition to perhaps 0.5 to 1 inch of rain on Monday and Monday night, this should bring slightly cooler weather on Tuesday and Wednesday. After that time, we probably will see a stronger front to bring daytime temperatures into the 60s, and lows into the 40s. We shall see!
Site note
Due to scheduling issues, it is possible that Thursday morning’s post will be an hour or two late. Thanks for understanding. Do not be alarmed! If Space City Weather does not post, the Sun shall still rise.
Frost on my truck this morning here in Friendswood. Average first frost date is December 10th so that was pretty much right on schedule. Quick trip to the National Weather Service website and after this mornings low we will be just a tad below normal for the month. This seems a little counter intuitive considering the warmer days but I guess it has been a normal start to our meteorological winter after a hot summer and very hot autumn. With that being said rainfall has not been normal…
Yesterday they and local stations were talking about winds and cold wind chills in the morning making it feel that much colder. Instead winds died, allowed light frost on rooftops here in league city. More model/forecast failure.
Models boast an accuracy rate of about 90% over 3 days, 80% over 7 days and they are right about 1/2 the time 10 days out. Those of us who spend a lot of time on the coast know good and well that when it comes to forecasting wind speed their accuracy is nowhere near that…
Wind was high and the air cold at 6:00 this morning, pretty spot on for the forecast.
quote: “Blah … Instead winds died, … blah”.
Much of the day, evening, and overnight, we had high winds up here in Magnolia – yea, it wasn’t constant, but off and on.
I checked some PWS sites around here (from time to time), and some were showing 20-40 mph gusts. So yea, those wind forecasts were spot on up here 👍
not much going on in the comment section when it’s cold out. Most people hate the heat confirmed.
Facts 💯
Surprised the Adam guy not here to announce his impending departure of Houston because of cold weather
No lie Harold LMAO!!!
Maybe he has departed?
That guy is perpetually two months away from finally getting out of town!
Enjoy this cold seasonable weather everybody. This will probably be the last time we see a cold front like this again until January or December of next year.
🌬 ❄⚘❄⚘❄
Ah…. the weather I’ve been longing for… since June!
Finally!! Yankee transplant powers, activate!!
I love the cold; now, if we can just get some rain to fix the huge cracks in my yard and the separating ground from my foundation.