With highs generally in the mid-90s, and lows in the upper-70s, temperatures so far this month are running about 5 degrees above normal for early June. We’re probably going to remain in this warmer-than-normal pattern for about another week before we see the potential for temperatures to back off some next week, and rain chances to increase.
Tuesday
Some storms will be possible today, but like on Monday pretty much all of the action should be north-northeast of the region because that’s where the atmospheric disturbances will be most pronounced. The following forecast from the HRRR model is representative of this kind of thinking, showing the potential for isolated, but very gusty storms.
I think, for the most part, we can simply expect another mostly sunny and hot day in Houston, with high temperatures around 95 for most of the area and a few degrees cooler right along the coast.
Wednesday
Rain chances for the rest of Houston improve on Wednesday, when I think a good 30 or 40 percent of the region may see some rainfall as high pressure breaks down a bit. By no means is this a guarantee, but if you’ve been pining for rain for your grass, the odds do shoot up a bit. Highs should still be in the mid-90s.
Thursday and Friday
Hot and mostly sunny to end the week, with only very low rain chances. Mid-90s.
Saturday, Sunday, and Monday
Highs will stay in the low- to mid-90s for the weekend, with perhaps 20 percent rain chances daily. Moisture levels will be moderate, and we probably will see some daytime heating driving shower activity as high pressure does not totally dominate our weather.
Next week
As high pressure finally backs out of the area, forecast models continue to indicate some kind of pattern change about one week from now. We’re offering no guarantees, of course, but I think we’ll move into a more typical June pattern, which involves highs in the low 90s, and some decent rain chances each day in the 30 to 40 percent range. We’ll see!