The forecast for Thanksgiving is finally coming into better focus

In brief: We’re increasingly confident that a fairly robust cold front will arrive on Thanksgiving Day in Houston, bringing colder and much more seasonable weather. The good news is that there is unlikely to be any meaningful rain with the front. Today’s post breaks down what to expect on the holiday.

Hi all, just jumping in on a Sunday because we’ve finally got a little clarity on the forecast for one of the most anticipated holidays of the year: Thanksgiving. For more than a week we’ve been waffling a bit on what to expect, but we’ve finally got a bit a clarity. Hence a weekend post to tell you what we know so you can prepare accordingly.

Weather leading up to the holiday

Today and especially Monday will be hot, very hot by late November standards. With temperatures in the mid to possibly upper-80s on Monday, we’re likely to break some records. A modest front arrives on Monday night to cool us down for Tuesday, but by Wednesday we’ll be trending warmer again with an onshore flow. Although our temperatures will be swinging around, we don’t expect much if any precipitation. So pre-Thanksgiving travel across Texas should be fine.

Thanksgiving itself

A stronger front is coming on Thursday to Houston—flying in like a gaggle of turkeys, so to speak. If you live well inland, say in a place like Katy or The Woodlands, the front may already be moving in by sunrise. Or it may be a few hours later. So expect windy conditions, with gusts up to perhaps 25 mph from the north or northwest. Temperatures will be in the 60s, and likely remaining there throughout the day.

If you live in central Houston, or closer to the coast, it’s quite possible the front will lag a bit. So the morning may be warm and muggy, with temperatures in the 70s, before the front arrives during the middle of the day some time. But again, the story will be the same, with fairly robust northerly winds bringing in some drier air pretty quickly. This should be the kind of front you notice as it moves in. Lows on Thursday night should drop into the 40s, with continued breezy conditions, so keep that in mind if you’re going to be out late or up early Friday to go shopping.

Holiday weekend

The rest of the weekend looks to see partly cloudy skies, with highs generally in the 60s, and lows in the 40s. So it should feel like the holiday season. Rain chances look fairly low until early next week. We’ll have a full forecast for you on Monday morning.

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