Today will be one of the very nicest days of the year. And after that? Well…

In brief: Monday will yield an absolutely splendid day of weather in Houston. Like, it will be one of the top 10 nicest days of the year. Tuesday will also see a modicum of drier air before a warmer, southerly flow takes ahold. The weekend will see highs in the upper 80s with strong southerly winds, but rain chances will probably hold off until at least next Monday.

Monday

Do you like dry air, mild temperatures, clear skies, and light winds? Because today checks all of those boxes. After a pleasantly cool start in the 50s, temperatures will reach the lower- to mid-70s this afternoon with light winds. Skies should be mostly sunny, albeit with a few clouds this afternoon. With dewpoints in the 40s, the air will feel plenty dry.

In my humble opinion, this is just about the finest weather one could have—but such things never last. Those light northeast winds will shift to come from the southeast later today, and while we won’t feel the influence of that right away, it will set into motion a prolonged period of a southerly flow, and set the stage for a much warmer pattern later this week. Lows will still get into the mid-50s tonight in Houston, with cooler conditions inland.

Tuesday

This will be a bit of a transition day, as humid air begins to replace dry air, but the swap is not yet complete. Skies will be mostly sunny, with highs near 80 degrees. Winds will be from the south at 5 to 10 mph. With the influence of the southerly flow, lows on Tuesday night will be considerably warmer, in the mid- to upper-60s.

Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday

This will be a trio of modestly warm days, with highs in the low- to mid-80s. We’ll see a mix of sunshine and clouds each day, although each successive day should see more cloud cover and less clear sky. Nights will drop to around 70 degrees, give or take, with decent amount of humidity. Winds will consistently blow from the south, increasing in velocity toward the end of the week when we may see sustained winds of 20 mph, with gusts of 30 mph.

Saturday and Sunday

Those winds will persist into the weekend. We’ll see this deepening southerly flow over the region due to a potent low pressure system over the central United States. This gives us a fair amount of confidence in the forecast for this weekend, and it’s a warm and windy one. If you’re participating in the Texas Bike MS 150 (Saturday and Sunday) or IRONMAN Texas event (Saturday), you can expect temperatures in the upper-80s, generally. Skies should be partly sunny. Both days will see strong south-southeasterly winds, blowing at perhaps 20 mph, with gusts up to 30 mph—so generally a pretty amazing tail wind for bike riders. Rain chances also look low, to non-existent through most of the weekend.

Next week

By Monday we may begin to see something of a pattern change, with slightly better rain chances entering the forecast. While I can’t rule out some kind of front working its way into Houston, right now the most likely scenario is continued warm weather in the upper 80s for much of next week.