Training showers possible today, and thunderstorms on Monday ahead of a cold front

In brief: I hope everyone is enjoying their weekend in Houston, and we’re sorry to interrupt. But I wanted to give readers a heads up about the intermittent rain chances our region will face over the next 36 hours or so. We’re watching the potential for some minor street flooding today, and strong thunderstorms Monday.

The pattern for the next two days will be unsettled due to an advancing front that is running into very warm air over the Gulf of Mexico with plenty of moisture at hand. For the most part, the rainfall today and Monday will not be too disruptive. However, the atmospheric conditions are such that we could see some inclement weather, including the possibility of some strong winds on Monday.

Sunday

As of 8:30 am this morning, there is a line of showers running almost due north from Alvin and Pearland to Kingwood and Cleveland. We expect to see this kind of training pattern pattern today whereby some locations pick up in excess of 1 or 2 inches of rainfall under these bands, and most of the rest of the area only sees light rain. It’s possible there could be some minor street flooding where these bands establish themselves. Most of our guidance indicates significantly less activity over night, so showers should be on the wane by this evening. Highs today will reach the lower 80s for most locations.

Severe weather outlook for Monday. (NOAA)

Monday

On Monday the front itself will push into Houston, and we should see a line of showers and thunderstorms ahead of it. The timing is still a bit uncertain, but I’d expect the line to coalesce to the west of Houston by around noon, and push through during the afternoon hours. It should reach the coast by around sunset give or take an hour or two. This line will be moving fast enough that I don’t expect any major flooding problems, but for some areas there will be a period when it passes when thunderstorms are a bit gnarly. There is also the potential for some damaging winds, but the chances for tornadoes and hail are quite low. The rains will end quickly behind the front as drier air filters in.

Next week

Skies will clear out by Monday night, and we’ll see ample sunshine through next weekend. A shot of colder air arrives on Wednesday, and we should see a couple of nights in the 40s, which will be our coldest weather of the season. Look for full details on all of this in our regular post on Monday morning.

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5 thoughts on “Training showers possible today, and thunderstorms on Monday ahead of a cold front”

  1. Training showers is a new term for me. Until my husband defined them as a line of showers, I thought you were being cute and saying they were in training for the big thunderstorms!

    Reply
  2. Shockingly, we got rain up here in Magnolia. Started at 3.20am for 30 minutes, then started again about 4.30am. Nice drenching, thankfully.
    .
    Went for our morning walk at 6.20am. It was 72°F and very humid, no rain.
    .
    Went to HEB at 10am – then driving back, had a medium rain for 30 minutes.

    Much needed rain … glad the rain clouds didn’t follow the “a line of rain on the northeast”.

    Reply

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