While the details may change somewhat; hot and mostly rain-free weather will stay with us for quite a while

Good morning. I would love nothing more than to report some positive news about the Houston weather this morning. To say that temperatures are going to drop back into the low 90s next week, with a decent amount of cloud cover. Or to say that our region is finally going to get a good soaking from some much needed, steady rains. But I can say none of those things. For the next week or 10 days, unfortunately, it looks as though our weather is just going to get hotter, and anyone getting some rain will feel like they hit the lottery.

Houston will remain under the influence of high pressure this weekend and into next week. (Weather Bell)

Thursday and Friday

High temperatures today and Friday will reach the mid- to upper-90s for much of the region, with mostly sunny skies. And if you’re thinking that sounds bad, well, this is actually our cooler stretch of weather before things really start to heat up this weekend. Winds will be light, out of the southeast. As for our rain chances, they’re going to be low. If you live north of Interstate 10, they’re about 10 percent or less. The highest rain chances will be south of Interstate 10, and particularly to the southwest in places like Fort Bend County. These may be about 20 or 25 percent. Again, if you receive any meaningful precipitation today or tomorrow, count yourself very lucky.

Saturday and Sunday

Houston will lie on the southern edge of a high pressure system anchored over the Central United States this weekend, but we’re going to feel its effects enough that we’ll see sunny skies and highs near 100 degrees this weekend. Rain chances are probably 10 percent, or less.

Wet bulb globe temperatures may well reach extreme levels again next week. (Weather Bell)

Next week

If you’re wondering whether there’s any relief in the forecast during the first half of next week, the answer is no. It’s going to be very hot, and at a minimum I would expect heat advisories from the National Weather Service, if not outright excessive heat warnings. It’s possible that rain chances rebound somewhat toward the second half of next week, but given the persistence of our heat and lack of precipitation, it’s hard to bet on that changing without a much stronger signal in the forecast models.

31 thoughts on “While the details may change somewhat; hot and mostly rain-free weather will stay with us for quite a while”

  1. Eric is laying it down for us. This summer is a lost cause. What you’ve seen is what you will continue to get.

  2. the August heat doldrums sighing times

    least fav part of a Houston summer ♨️

    only it’s been that way since mid June :: wishing we’ll catch a break but I’m doubtful 🌠

  3. It’s just one of those summers that really really sucks. Where the words “pattern change” just aren’t part of the forecast. Should probably just plan on waiting till the fronts start arriving in Sep/Oct, and cross your fingers that they aren’t dry fronts.

  4. But is it not this pattern while hot and dry that keeps tropical activity at bay from us? Double edge sword as we need the rain but not the potential hurricane from those warm waters.

    • The death ridge as it’s derisively called does keep the Canes away. It also acts as a force field for anything. Disturbance, cold front, etc. Catch 22 indeed.

  5. The August slog is about to begin but I cling to the hope and promise of Fall Day. May the odds be always in your favor, fellow tributes.

  6. As long as Space City and the NWS give us a 20% chance of rain most days with POSSIBLY higher at the end of next week, then I can hang in there. Last summer the rains were great in August 2022 and August was actually a cooler month than July 2022. I know each summer is different but we can only hope. As far as hurricanes are concerned, a scary September is the last thing we need after a summer like this. So local sea breeze fronts and early cool fronts are better rain makers than hurricanes to break the heat and the creeping drought.

  7. Through the gloom and doom I am here to provide you with a daily dose of hope. On August 17th, 1992 during the Republican National Convention in the Astrodome a rare cold front passed through and provided us with some wonderful fall like weather. At Hobby the low was a splendid 64.8 and the high was only 84.9 under clear skies. Technically meeting the definition of Fall Day.

    • I remember that – I actually put on a sweatshirt in August to walk my dogs. I wish it would happen again!

  8. SCW team – is there any way to incorporate a five or seven day forecast imagery to the bottom or the post? Dare I say mimic modern news forecasters, but just something graphically to provide the high, low, rain changes, wind, etc. in a graphic form. Does not replace the words, just in-addition to. Think about pulling it from your app.

    • It’s a good suggestion, thank you. One potential issue with this is that the forecast varies widely for Galveston versus The Woodlands, and so forth. Therefore while we can localize a forecast in the app, it is much more difficult to do so on the website.

  9. There are few places in the US where one can sell a house in Houston and buy one without a hefty mortgage.

  10. Dry weather is great, no need to mow the lawn every three days. And not rusting everything.

    • until the foundation begins to sink… and people will blame it on the trees and cut them off and then the homes will sink even more and AC bills will rise even more…

  11. Here in about 5 months, everyone will probably be complaining about the rain and cold temperatures. Lol

  12. Fingers crossed the Ghost show at the Woodlands on September 2nd doesn’t kill me from the sun or a ‘cane. 🙁

  13. My wife’s family is from Indiana and she is visiting up there now and enjoying being outside. Her parents were saying how they don’t really get winter up there anymore like they used to. They said they get a few snows a year now and it melts quickly and doesn’t linger. Indeed, I’ve been up there for several Thanksgivings and Christmases and there has never been more than flurries.

    I used to say that Southern summers are horrible but at least I don’t have to shovel humidity. But if the winters are mildish and the summers are pleasant, I might consider moving north.

    One thing is for sure: the climate is changing (for whatever reason), and formerly inhospitable areas due to the cold are becoming much more enticing.

    • Yes, I have been seriously looking at other parts of the country to see how they faring now and what future expectations are as the climate heats up. I want to leave at some point. For me (and my plants), this is untenable. I don’t want to get old in this kind of heat and lack of rain. I like rainy days a couple of times a week or so. Also, I burn easily, all kinds of bugs seem worse in the last few years, and I would like to go for walks outside.

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