At least some welcome rain this weekend

Rain has come at a premium in recent weeks, with only about a half inch officially at Bush Airport over the last 30 days. This weekend will likely see us add to that, but probably not in too big a fashion.

Today

No issues today. Yes, there may be a couple showers around this afternoon, especially east of I-45, but none should be particularly significant. So if you have outdoor plans today, it would be good to have an umbrella handy, just in case you briefly need it. Odds are you won’t have to open it though. Temperatures will likely top off around where they did yesterday, the upper-80s to low-90s. Galveston has yet to drop below 80° this morning and is likely to set or tie both another record high and record warm minimum temperature today.

Saturday and Sunday

If you have outdoor plans this weekend, I think the best advice is to just have an umbrella. You’ll probably need it at some point, but not most of the time.

Both Saturday and Sunday afternoons will likely have some rain and storms in the area. I think the better chance of widespread storms is Saturday overnight into Sunday afternoon. Most folks should see at least some rain, but only a few areas will see heavy rain. Average rain totals this weekend should be around 0.5″, but a few places will likely see one or two inches of rain and others less than 0.5″.

Total rainfall through Sunday evening should be manageable. The best chance for widespread rain is late Saturday night through Sunday afternoon. (Weather Bell)

 

High temperatures should max out a couple degrees cooler than yesterday and today, with mid to upper 80s (perhaps near 90° Saturday with enough sun). Overnight lows will be in the mid to upper 70s. You may notice slightly more comfortable weather later Sunday, but it won’t be anything to get too excited about.

(Space City Weather is sponsored this month by Jetco Delivery)

Next Week

Still more questions than answers about next week’s weather, but we’re growing a little more confident on the timing of things. Expect the remains of this weekend’s front to hang up nearby, acting as a focus for more showers & storms. Monday and Tuesday look to be the unsettled days, with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms possible both days. The exact details and whether we have a heavy rain or localized flooding threat is highly uncertain right now. Given recent dryness, we’re probably fine, but we’ll watch it for sure. Check back in Monday morning for the latest.

After storms Tuesday, a cold front *should* be able to make a clean cut through the region. Assuming that happens, we’ll clear out Wednesday. The middle and latter parts of next week could be stunning for late May: Highs in the 80s, lows in the 60s or even upper-50s, and ample sunshine with comfortable humidity levels.

Model forecast dewpoints by Wednesday evening are in the 50s across Southeast Texas. That’s incredibly comfortable for late May. (StormVista Weather Models)

 

I don’t want to get anyone’s hopes too high just yet, but these situations have performed this spring. So I think we have a good chance at perhaps a couple more amazing late spring days. Why not, right? We’ll keep you posted.

Posted at 6:35 AM Friday by Matt

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