A quick update on next week’s storms

I hope you’re enjoying the beautiful weather today, which may only be marred by slight rain chances this evening. We’ll have another pleasant fall-like day on Sunday, with only a slight chance of scattered showers. The big concern remains the possibility of severe weather next week.

On Monday, as an upper-level low pressure system moves into the western part of the state, the upper Texas coast will see a warm, and muggy November day with highs near 80 degrees. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible, and we can’t rule out the possibility of severe thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening hours.

However, for Houston, the biggest threat appears to come on Tuesday. That’s when a strong squall line is forecast to move through, sometime during the daytime hours. These showers will likely be heavy, but widespread flooding doesn’t seem likely because the storm system should make steady eastward progress. The ample moisture and heat will combine with the upper level low to produce conditions that will favor development of severe thunderstorms, and possibly tornadoes.

I don’t want to oversell this. It’s not end-of-days stuff. And most areas probably will only get 1 to 3 inches of rain. But between the possibilities for damaging winds, hail and tornadoes, Tuesday is going to bring some pretty nasty weather to at least parts of the Houston area.

Fortunately it now appears that this mess will clear out of the Houston area overnight on Tuesday, and beginning Wednesday through the end of next week should deliver pleasant, fall-like weather.

Posted at 9:45 a.m. Saturday