Eric Berger

In brief: Although there will be differences in humidity and nighttime lows, Houston will predominantly see high temperatures in the 70s for the next week or so. This period will include some absolutely gorgeous weather days, including Friday and Saturday of this week. We are watching for the possibility of some storms with a front next Tuesday.

Thursday

Houston is experiencing its warmest morning in weeks, with low temperatures generally only in the lower 60s across the metro area. However, a modest cool front is on our doorstep, and it will move into the region today. As a result we will see partly to mostly cloudy skies, although likely no rain showers. Highs today will be slightly cooler, in the mid-70s. Cooler and drier air pushes in this evening, allowing low temperatures tonight to fall to around 50 degrees in Houston.

Friday

This will be a truly splendid day, with high temperatures in the low 70s, light northerly winds, and fairly dry air. Like, it will be just about perfect. Friday night will be cool again, with lows in the lower 50s.

Saturday

Expect more sunshine on Saturday, with high temperatures a bit warmer, in the upper 70s for much of Houston, but possibly the lower 80s for a few inland areas. With a more southeasterly flow, lows on Saturday night will only drop into the mid-50s.

Sunday

Another day with mostly sunny skies. Highs will likely be a few degrees lower on Sunday, in the low- to mid-70s, with perhaps a few clouds arriving during the afternoon hours. There will be a slight chance of rain on Sunday night into Monday morning, but only a slight one. Beginning on Sunday we are also likely to see a more pronounced southerly wind, so conditions could be a bit gusty at times. Lows on Sunday night should remain in the 60s.

Next week

Monday and Tuesday of next week look to bring cloudier and more humid weather, with highs in the upper 70s to possibly lower 80. We’re starting to see some indications that a cool front next Tuesday or Tuesday night may bring with it a chance of storms as it rumbles through Houston. At this vantage point we don’t really have many details or any certainty, so we can’t say much more. But it is something we’ll keep an eye on as that’s the opening night of the Houston Livestock Show and Rodeo. After the front’s passage we’ll see high temperatures in the—you guessed it, 70s—and cooler nights.

In brief: Tuesday brought gorgeous weather into the region, and if you missed it fear not, there is more to come. We’re going to see continued mild conditions and sunny skies through much of the weekend as spring marches into Houston and hangs around for awhile.

Wednesday

There is less widespread fog this morning, but it is still present in some locations so take a little extra care on roadways. Beyond the fog, we’ll see sunny skies today with high temperatures likely in the mid- to upper-70s. Winds will come from the south at 5 to 10 mph with moderate humidity levels. So basically, really really nice outside. Lows tonight will fall to around 60 degrees in Houston, with slightly cooler conditions further inland.

Thursday

A modest front will sag into Houston beginning Thursday morning, and pushing into the city by around noon. This will be most noticeable with the increased cloud cover. Although I cannot rule out some light showers, I don’t think most of us will see any rain. Highs Thursday will be in the low- to mid-70s, with drier air arriving in time to push lows on Thursday night down to around 50 degrees in Houston.

Friday

This is going to be a splendid day, with high temperatures around 70 degrees, low humidity, light winds, and lots of sunshine. This could be a top-10 day in terms of weather this year in Houston. Friday night will again see lows near 50 degrees in Houston.

Saturday

For those who like conditions a little bit warmer, Saturday will also be excellent, with plenty of sunshine and highs in the upper 70s. Winds will again be light, but as they shift to come more from the offshore, Saturday night will be warmer, with lows only falling into the mid-50s or so.

Sunday

We’ll see some clouds on Sunday, which may help limit highs in the mid-70s. It will also feel a bit more humid out. Lows on Sunday night will only fall into lower 60s for most, so a bit of a warmer night.

Next week

Monday and Tuesday look warmer, with partly sunny skies and highs near 80 degrees. We’ll also flirt with some Houston-like humidity on Tuesday. However, a front arrives later on Tuesday or Tuesday night, and this should usher in some cooler weather for the rest of the week. The front may also deliver some showers, but the signal for this is not overly strong.

In brief: Houston will see spring-like weather for as far as the eye can see, with generally moderate temperatures and plenty of sunshine. The only blemish will be the potential for foggy mornings through Thursday before a weak front ushers some drier air into the region.

Tuesday

We are seeing widespread fog again this morning, and this pattern will repeat itself again on Wednesday morning, so be prepared. However as temperatures rise this morning, the fog will dissipate and we’ll be left with sunny, brilliant skies. High temperatures today will generally reach the lower 70s, with reasonably dry air. Winds will be light, from the southeast at 5 to 10 mph. It’s hard to beat this kind of weather, so if you can snatch a few moments outside this afternoon, you should. Lows tonight will drop into the low- to mid-50s, with fog developing again after midnight.

Wednesday

After the fog lifts on Wednesday we’ll see another mostly sunny day, with temperatures a bit warmer, in the upper 70s. Humidity will be a bit higher on Wednesday, but it won’t be unpleasant. Lows will be warmer, generally in the upper 50s. Fog development is likely again on Wednesday night before a cold front slides into the area on Thursday.

Thursday

The front’s arrival is likely to be a non-event aside from the development of some clouds on Thursday morning, possibly into the afternoon hours. While we cannot entirely exclude the possibility of a few light showers, I think the front’s arrival will be dry. Highs will be a bit cooler on Thursday, perhaps around 70 degrees. Lows on Friday night will likely fall to around 50 degrees in Houston, with cooler conditions for inland areas. With lower dewpoints, we should finally be rid of the fog for a bit.

Friday

We can expect another sunny, pleasant day with high temperatures in the vicinity of 70 degrees. Lows on Friday night will, again, fall to around 50 degrees, or a tick warmer.

Saturday

The first half of the weekend looks gorgeous. We can expect mostly sunny skies, and high temperatures generally in the low- to mid-70s. Some clouds will start to build during the afternoon and evening hours, and this will herald a slightly warmer night, in the mid- to upper-50s.

Sunday

This will likely be a partly to mostly cloudy day, with highs in the 70s. As the overall flow turns more southerly and the atmosphere more disturbed, we could see the possibility of a few light showers at some point on Sunday or Sunday night or Monday. But this is far from a slam dunk. Sunday night will be warmer, with lows possibly falling only to the lower 60s.

Next week

Our weather turns more humid on Monday and Tuesday, with high temperatures likely pushing up toward 80 degrees. Rain chances look to be modest, but non-zero. At some point, possibly on Wednesday, a front will push through to bring temperatures down. Even so, we are probably looking at nighttime lows around 50 degrees after the front, so it will likely be mildly chilly, rather than cold.

In brief: After a very cold period over the last 12 days, much milder weather is on the way for Houston. And with March just around the corner, I’m confident enough in the forecast to predict that the Houston metro area is done with freezes for the remainder of this winter and early spring.

February, a tale of two halves

The first 12 days of this month were incredibly warm in Houston, with several days of record high temperatures. Since then we have been mostly below normal for the region. So far this month, because of the blistering start to February, the average temperature is running about 2.5 degrees above normal.

It may have felt like spring had arrived at the beginning of the month, but if you’ll recall we warned you three weeks ago that winter was not yet over. And so it wasn’t. Well now, my friends, we can pretty confidently say that we’re not going to experience another cold spell like that again this season. From a climatological perspective winter does not end until March 1, but from a practical point of view, winter in Houston appears to be over.

Will it freeze again?

Probably not. In the Houston metro area, historically, there is about a 30 percent chance of a freeze after this point in the year. (It drops to 10 percent by March 18). However, because we can safely say there is not going to be a freeze at least over the next 10 days, I would say we are most likely done with freezes this season. So unless you live north of Conroe or in College Station, I’d feel pretty confident planting your gardens and setting tropical vegetation outside.

Monday

The moderate to dense fog we’re seeing this morning is one sign of warmer temperatures coming. Air temperatures and dewpoints this morning are virtually the same, in the upper-40s across the metro area. The fog will dissipate as temperatures rise, and we’re going toward highs in the upper 60s today. After the fog lifts we’ll see sunny skies, with light winds. Lows tonight will drop into the upper 40s again for most of Houston, with partly cloudy skies. We’ll likely see the development of some additional fog early on Tuesday morning.

Tuesday and Wednesday

These will be a pair of mostly sunny, pleasant days with high temperatures in the low 70s on Tuesday, and mid- to upper-70s on Wednesday. Both nights will see partly to mostly clear skies, with lows in the 50s.

Thursday and Friday

A weak front arrives to cool us down slightly for the end of the week. Although I think the frontal passage will be dry, I cannot guarantee it. Anyway, we should see partly sunny skies on Thursday in association with the front before sunny skies arrive on Friday. Highs will be around 70 degrees both days, and I expect slightly cooler nights in the upper 40s.

Saturday and Sunday

The weekend looks mild. There should be plenty of sunshine on Saturday, with highs in the low- to mid-70s, and a mild night in the 50s. (It should be nigh on perfect weather for Mardi Gras, so come see us in Galveston). By Sunday we’ll see an increasing chance of rain, but overall chances are probably less than 50 percent. We’ll see.

Next week

The first half of next week could be warmer as we slide into March, possibly with some highs reaching 80 degrees. A modest front likely cools us off by Wednesday or so, but again it may be the kind of thing where lows just drop back to around 50 degrees. We’ll see.