Eric Berger

It’s a very warm morning for early November across the Houston area, with low temperatures ranging from 68 degrees north of Houston all the way up to 76 degrees down in Galveston, which likely will tie a record for a warm low temperature. We’ll continue to see these kinds of conditions, along with scattered storms, for a couple of more days before this warmth finally breaks.

Today and Thursday

The pattern remains more or less the same. With moisture streaming in off the Gulf of Mexico, expect to see more cloudy days, with scattered rain showers. Some areas of Houston, especially west of the city, saw brief, heavy storms on Tuesday, and that pattern should continue for the next couple of days. Meanwhile, high temperatures will reach about 80 degrees where there are heavy clouds, and could climb all the way into the mid-80s for areas that see a bit of sunshine. Overnight lows will remain anomalously warm.

Friday

A cool front will push into Houston late on Thursday or early Friday, but the cooler and drier air will lag somewhat. As I noted yesterday, we’re going to have to wait until Friday evening to really see dewpoints begin to fall and the air to dry out. So expect one more day with highs of around 80 degrees. Rain chances will be near zero.

See full post

Happy Halloween! Before jumping into the forecast let’s take a look at what a trick of a month this has been for Houston and much of the southern United States. The following graphic shows the ranking of the average temperature this October compared to more than 100 years of temperature records for this month. Hint: It was warm.

The Houston area has had some sites with the second warmest temperatures, but Dallas, Lubbock, Brownsville, and many other sites are on pace for their warmest Octobers on record. It looks like we’ll have one more warm-ish week before the pattern really does change for good into more fall-like weather.

Today

Houston is under a dense fog advisory until about 10 am CT. With high pressure overhead, today will be another warm, mostly sunny day with high temperatures in the mid- to upper-80s, and overnight lows falling only to around 70 degrees. It won’t be chilly this evening during trick-or-treating, but it won’t be particularly unpleasant, either. Rain chances will be near zero.

Tuesday through Thursday

As high pressure moves off moisture levels will increase over Houston. This will accomplish several things—we’ll see more clouds, which should limit high temperatures to the low 80s, and after an extremely dry October we might see some rain showers to start off November.

See full post