Matt Lanza

Thanksgiving’s rains were very impressive. In fact, for Hobby Airport it was a new Thanksgiving record, with 1.53″ of rain, breaking last year’s 0.59″ (set on Nov 25 last year) for wettest Thanksgiving since records began in 1930. But it was areas just east of Hobby Airport that really took home the stuffing.

A narrow band between about Friendswood through just west of Mont Belvieu saw anywhere from 3 to 7 inches of rainfall, with the bullseye right over Deer Park. In addition, you may have heard about the tornado warning in Brazoria County. Thus far no confirmed tornado reports have been noted, but things definitely got dicey for a few minutes yesterday afternoon. The severe threat is not zero today, but it’s relatively low and confined to areas well south of Houston.

Housekeeping/Fundraiser

I just want to open today with a little housekeeping. First, with active weather back in the area for the first time in awhile, we encourage you to download our app for your iPhone or Android device. Likewise, if you or someone you know prefers weather updates in Spanish, Maria Sotolongo does exactly that for you at our companion site Tiempo Ciudad Espacial! Maria truly does outstanding work, so please check it out and share it with any of your friends or family like weather updates written in Spanish. Maria also curates our Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter feeds for TCE, so you can follow those as well.

Related to that, our annual fundraiser is down to the wire now! There are just a few days left for you to truly help make a difference for our site. Your contributions directly help fund our work, app improvements, and tricks up our sleeve for the future. You can click here to buy items to rep the site. And if you don’t wish to purchase merchandise and just want make a contribution, click here and check the box that says “I’d like to make a donation only.” We are grateful for any and all support. Thank you!

Today

Onto the weather. A little housekeeping here too: A Flood Watch remains in effect until tomorrow morning, and Eric and I will maintain our Stage 1 Flood Alert until then as well. We continue to expect primarily street flooding to be the issue with further rains, but we also do want to monitor the area around Armand Bayou through the Clear Creek watershed given yesterday’s exceptional rains there.

The frustrating reality today is that we do not expect a washout, but there will be a chance of rain and scattered showers or downpours around virtually all day. The morning looks mostly fine, but rain showers will become more frequent this afternoon and evening. The bottom line today: Have an umbrella and a backup plan in case you’re chased indoors for a time. Temperatures look relatively stable, in the 50s and 60s, gradually warming through the day.

Later today through Saturday morning

It’s encouraging that we have a little bit of a break today because we are likely to get smacked with another round of heavy rain and storms this evening into Saturday morning. Expect periods of showers and storms to become more numerous from late afternoon and evening, culminating in what should be a pretty solid line of storms toward sunrise on Saturday. Some strong storms with gusty winds are possible in addition to heavy rainfall.

We expect roughly 1 to 3 inches of additional rainfall between now and tomorrow morning, most of which will fall in roughly a 6 hour window overnight or early Saturday. Isolated higher amounts are absolutely possible. The heaviest rain seems likely to fall near where the heaviest rain fell on Thanksgiving Day, which is to say in Houston and points south and east. Street flooding will again be possible tonight and early Saturday.

Temperatures will remain stable, in the 60s.

Rest of Saturday

If you have outdoor plans Saturday, you have a mixed bag. The morning will be dicey due to lingering showers and storms, but the afternoon looks great. Rain should end from west to east between about 7 and 10 AM on Saturday. Skies should begin to clear and temperatures will bounce around a bit within the 60s with lower humidity. We should cool a bit toward the 50s by late afternoon.

Sunday and beyond

Sunday will live up to its name with sunshine. Morning lows will start in the 40s to near 50 and warm by afternoon well into the 60s. We will essentially repeat this on Monday.

For Tuesday, clouds and temperatures will increase. We have an outside shot at 80 degrees Tuesday afternoon with enough sunshine. Our last 80 degree day was on November 11th. A few showers will be possible. Humidity will also surge higher. Our next front should arrive Wednesday into Thursday knocking us back into the 40s for lows. Another fairly quick warm up seems likely for next weekend, but additional shots of cool to cold air may not be far behind. A little something for everyone.

Eric will have an update later this afternoon to set us up for tonight’s storminess.

Good afternoon. Round one of rainfall this morning was mostly uneventful, with the notable exception of the Deer Park area, which received over 4 inches of rain, much of which fell in an hour or so.

Armand Bayou is the one bayou worth watching closest as we head into this evening. It is running near bankfull after the earlier rains, and we could see some portions of the bayou come out of banks with round 2 in a couple hours. Please stay vigilant in that area.

We remain in a Stage 1 Flood Alert, as Eric has noted, and the NWS has just issued a Flood Watch for the entire metro area through Saturday in anticipation of several more rounds of rainfall.

That next round is on the way as of 1:30 PM.

This cluster of rain will produce thunder, lightning, some gusty winds, and very heavy downpours. Additional rains of 1 to 3 inches are possible as this band passes through between now and 4 or 5 PM this evening. Please use caution if you have to travel between now and then, and if you can postpone travel a couple hours to avoid the worst of the rain, that may be prudent. Street flooding is likely in spots, hence our stage 1 alert. And as noted above, we’ll be monitoring the Armand Bayou watershed in particular for any worse issues. We are hopeful that the heaviest of this rain will pass north of the harder hit areas in Deer Park this morning.

The good news is that things do settle down a bit tonight. Additional scattered showers and storms are likely once this wave passes through, and those will continue through about Midnight, but the intensity and coverage should be less than this afternoon. Overnight looks quiet with just some scattered showers possible.

Additional showers and storms are likely tomorrow and especially in the first half of Saturday. We’ll update on those once we get today’s platter digested.

A reminder: We offer our posts in Spanish at Tiempo Ciudad Espacial! If you yourself prefer reading in Spanish or have friends and family that would enjoy our site more in Spanish, please spread the word! As always, a thank you to Maria Sotolongo for always being on top of things for that site.

Fundraiser

As I sit here writing this on Thanksgiving Day, I am reminded of how thankful I am for our readers. We know you feel likewise about us, and for your trust, support, and loyalty, we are grateful! If you would like to support us in our annual fundraiser, it will continue through this weekend. You can click here to buy items. And if you don’t wish to purchase merchandise and just want make a contribution, click here and check the box that says “I’d like to make a donation only.”

Eric or myself will have another update tonight if necessary, and certainly by tomorrow morning. Thank you, and have a safe Thanksgiving.

Yesterday didn’t disappoint from a forecast perspective. It pretty much went as expected. Rain totals ranged from around a half-inch to inch in Houston to around an inch and a half near the coast.

Your mileage may vary this morning, but the sun is out in force in my backyard, and it looks like many of us are enjoying a pleasant, albeit chilly morning! We will cling to this for a few hours before things begin to change. Again.

Fundraiser

We’re under 10 days left in our annual fundraiser, your one opportunity to directly support the site each year! The response has been amazing so far, and we are grateful to you all. You can click here to buy items. And if you don’t wish to purchase merchandise and just want make a contribution, click here and check the box that says “I’d like to make a donation only.” Thank you all so much!

Today and Monday

With many areas seeing sunshine this morning, it seems like it will be a nice front half of the day. As we go into the afternoon, clouds will begin to increase again. We are already seeing that creep into portions of Fort Bend, Wharton, and Brazoria Counties. Showers may begin to break out later today southwest of Houston. We should manage 50 to 55 or so this afternoon before temperatures are capped by increasing clouds. Areas southwest of Houston where clouds are already rolling in may not get above 50 degrees.

Rain will break out everywhere tonight. Periods of rain will be with us into much of Monday. The highest totals from this round may be north of Houston. That said, this rain looks as if it will be a little more sporadic in nature, so it may be truly “periods” of rain.

Rain showers should begin to taper off Monday evening and Tuesday morning.

Monday looks a lot like Saturday temperature-wise, with mid to upper-40s for most places at best.

Tuesday into the weekend

I think we’re beginning to get some decent clarity on this upcoming week. There are still questions about details regarding Thanksgiving itself, but our confidence is increasing for Wednesday and Friday.

Tuesday: Clouds, some sun, a shower possible. Morning lows 40s, daytime highs near 60.

Wednesday: Clouds, some sun, a passing shower possible. Morning lows upper-40s to near 50, daytime highs low or mid-60s.

Travel: We do not see any meaningful travel issues on Wednesday in Texas, Oklahoma, or Louisiana. Most major airport hubs look fine as well. Atlanta, Chicago, New York, DC, LA all look to be without major issues.

Thanksgiving Day: Clouds with a period of showers and storms possible. Exactly when & where is still TBD. Clearing late. Morning lows 50s, daytime highs upper-60s to near 70 degrees.

Friday: Sunny! Breezy to windy, however. Morning lows 40s, daytime highs around 60 degrees.

Eric will have a full update on things for you Monday. Go Texans!

Good Saturday morning to you! You don’t need to be an expert on meteorology to look at the below radar image from 7:45 Saturday morning to know it’s probably going to be raining for awhile.

Rain will be with us all day today. We should see the rain become more intermittent or taper off after sunset tonight, but it may not clear out a ton before Sunday morning.

It’s in the 40s in most places in and around Houston this morning. Temperatures should refrain from budging much today, so expect the chill to remain.

In addition to the rain and the chill, it will be breezy today. Inland areas will experience 15 to 25 mph wind gusts today. Areas along the Gulf or bays may even see some 30 to 40 mph wind gusts. Coastal locations have wind advisories, gale warnings (offshore), and small craft advisories (bays) all posted for today and tonight.

All in all, just a Southeast Texas winter type day today.

Sunday & Monday

Any lingering light rain or showers should taper off before sunrise Sunday. If we are lucky, we’ll be able to sneak in a few hours of sunshine tomorrow before clouds thicken back up. Showers could begin to break out again south and west of Houston by mid-afternoon. Those will overspread the area Sunday night and Monday before tapering off Monday night. Some of this rain could be just a little heavier at times than what we see today. Temperatures will be in the low-50s on Sunday, 40s Sunday night, and probably struggling to get to 50 on Monday.

The farther north of Houston you are, the more likely you end up closer to a half-inch of rain. The farther south of Houston, the closer to an inch or more between today’s rain and Monday’s rain.

Tuesday through Friday

Some good news today: It appears that rain chances may be a little lower on Thursday. They certainly won’t be zero, and it seems likely that we see at least a period of rain at some point Wednesday night through Thursday. But it may be in a narrow window. Here is our updated thinking today:

Tuesday: Clouds, some sun, a shower possible. Morning lows 40s, daytime highs near 60.

Wednesday: Clouds, some sun, a passing shower possible. Morning lows upper-40s to near 50, daytime highs low-60s. (A note that travel conditions on Wednesday look decent across most of Texas and Louisiana)

Thanksgiving Day: Clouds with a period of showers and storms possible. Clearing late. Morning lows 50s, daytime highs upper-60s to near 70 degrees.

Friday: Sunny! Breezy to windy, however. Morning lows 40s, daytime highs around 60 degrees.

Fundraiser

Another thank you to all who have contributed to our annual fundraiser! It continues. You can click here to buy items. And if you don’t wish to purchase merchandise and just want make a contribution, click here and check the box that says “I’d like to make a donation only.” We are grateful for your support. Thank you!