Matt Lanza

Good morning from Dayton, Ohio, as this Rutgers alum heads back to Houston to recover from what was a gutting First Four loss to Notre Dame. Pain. I will be solidly behind both Texas Southern and UH for the men’s tournament this year, so good luck to them and to everyone filling out brackets. So I hope you’ll accept my apologies if today’s post has any typos (or was initially missing a title).

Thursday & Thursday night

Today should start off nice, outside of some low clouds and patchy fog in spots. We will warm well into the 70s this afternoon, with intervals of clouds and sunshine. You’ll also notice a steady south or southeast wind today, gusting to 20 mph or better at times. Rain chances aren’t too high through mid-afternoon. But there will likely be a few minor showers that develop after that time and into the evening. Not everyone will see rain (many actually will not), and the highest odds for anything heavier or steadier are likely east of I-45 this evening.

For those of you heading to see Chris Stapleton tonight at the Houston Livestock Show & Rodeo, expect at least a few showers around as you head into the show, with temperatures in the lower 70s. It may not be raining at NRG Stadium itself, but there will be at least a smattering of showers nearby. As you exit, there could still be some showers around, possibly even a rumble of thunder. Temperatures won’t have budged much in that time, still likely holding around 70 degrees.

The cold front itself is expected to hit the Brazos Valley after 2 to 3 AM or so, the Houston area before sunrise, and the coast right around sunrise. It should arrive without too much fanfare in terms of storms. There will be a slight increase in winds and a change in direction, as well as a drop off of about 10 to 15 degrees, with lows in the 50s by Friday morning.

Friday

Since the front clears most of the region by daybreak, look for a blustery day Friday with increasing sunshine. This front isn’t especially strong, so we should still manage to find 70 degrees on Friday afternoon. Northwest winds will gust over 20 mph at times.

Weekend

We’re still on track for almost “chamber of commerce” weather this weekend: Sunshine, low humidity, 40s in the morning, 70s in the afternoons, with Sunday being slightly warmer than Saturday. Enjoy!

Monday

It continues to look as if Monday will be a day to watch for thunderstorms and potential severe weather. We continue to be highlighted on the Storm Prediction Center’s day 5 outlook, and they’ve actually increased the odds of severe storms north of Houston (basically for areas north of Hwy 105).

Models seem to be in good agreement today on elevated storm chances in our area Monday. This will come via much warmer, more humid air and a potent storm system passing to our north and dragging a cold front this way. You’ll notice a much warmer morning Monday (lows likely in the 60s instead of the 40s) and temps pushing into the 70s Monday afternoon. It will also be quite breezy on Monday, with southerly winds gusting over 20 to 25 mph at times.

The severe weather threat is murkier but it’s quite clearly in place on Monday. Exactly what that will look like, it’s a bit too early to say. In general, the farther north of I-10 you go, the greater the odds of severe storms, as outlined by the map above. But that does not necessarily mean Houston is off the hook here. Not everyone will see severe weather on Monday. There are still a fair amount of questions, and we’ll tackle this a little more tomorrow.

Later next week

The cold front itself should push through Houston by late Tuesday night or Wednesday. Before that, a trough well out ahead of the front will deliver a second round of storms Tuesday morning, some again possibly strong to severe. I think most of the area will at least see rain from that. We should then clear out Tuesday afternoon. I would not be shocked to see an actually decent day on Tuesday after the storms, depending on the exact timing. We should push back into the 70s and potentially make a run for 80 degrees.

The front itself will not come with much, as the atmosphere should be pretty well worked over by that time. It will set up a very nice middle and end of the week with sunshine expected Wednesday through Friday, along with cooler, mostly pleasant temperatures.

A beautiful Tuesday will give way to a beautiful Wednesday, as we continue to space our fronts apart just enough to enjoy some fair weather in between. There will be another front to come on Friday, followed up by a stronger, more impressive front early next week, which will give us additional opportunities for some needed rainfall in the area.

Today

Not much to say about today’s weather. It will be sunny, pleasant, and calm. Look for light winds, low humidity, and highs well into the 70s and at least a slight chance for 80 in a few spots.

Khalid is Wednesday evening’s performer at the Houston Livestock Show & Rodeo, and the weather should be lovely. Look for mid-70s on arrival and mid-60s or a bit cooler when you depart. No issues are expected, so enjoy!

Thursday & Friday

Onshore flow will begin developing this evening into tomorrow morning ahead of our next front. Look for a mostly fine Thursday with sun, clouds, a southerly breeze, and a slight chance for some isolated showers or sprinkles by mid-afternoon. The highest odds of windshield wiper type rain may be south and west of Houston on Thursday. Look for highs well into the 70s to near 80 again tomorrow afternoon.

With southerly winds and increasing humidity, we’ll stay mild Thursday night, and lows should not drop much below the mid-60s through midnight. The front approaches overnight and should kick through before sunrise on Friday. It will bring scattered showers and a chance of thunderstorms.

The front really is not expected to get its act together until it has passed east of our area, meaning rainfall (as you can see above) should be generally a tenth to a quarter-inch or less. A few spots could see higher amounts though. The timing of the front should allow for rapid clearing on Friday morning leading to a breezy but pleasant Friday afternoon. Look for highs around 70 with a fresh north or northwest breeze, gusting much like yesterday to 20 or 25 mph in most cases.

Weekend

The weekend continues to look great, with mainly sunshine, highs in the 70s and lows in the 40s to around 50 degrees. Any weekend plans to close out a spring break week should be just fine.

Next week

We will repeat the front scenario early next week, except this one looks like it’s going to pack some punch. It’s much too early to get into specifics, but we are already outlooked for the potential of severe weather on Monday, something that usually doesn’t happen around here.

As is often the case in spring in southeast Texas, we will probably have to deal with some degree of “capping” in the atmosphere, which may initially limit how much storm coverage we see on Monday. In fact, if you want to really read between the lines, you’ll notice that the SPC map above has the risk area drawn away from the coast. But it’s too soon to say with any certainty if that will be the case. Generally, the higher odds of severe storms on Monday would be as you progress farther north. We’ll almost certainly see storms with the cold front itself on Tuesday, however, and it’s possible those could be strong to severe as well. Either way, it appears we’re in for something, but Monday will be the day to watch more closely initially. We’ll keep you posted as we get closer.

Once the front is through, look for very nice weather to follow once again for Wednesday, Thursday, and even possibly Friday.

Well, we did not see any real severe weather in the Houston area last night, though there were a few hail reports north of our area. Some folks ended up doing well with rainfall, with over an inch in far western Montgomery County and northern Waller County, as well as near Santa Fe to the south.

With the front through, we’re on to some very, very nice weather for the middle of the week.

Today

Most folks will see sunshine for most of the day today. The exception to this may be north and east of about Kingwood, where some partial cloud cover could nudge in for a time on the backside of a departing storm in the upper atmosphere. Those of us staying sunny all day will likely see high temperatures into the lower or middle 70s, while those with clouds may end up a couple degrees cooler. You’ll definitely notice a bit of a breeze today.

While not too strong, it will be a prevalent north wind gusting at times to 20 mph inland and 25 mph or so over the water and at the coast.

No doubt, it will be a sweet escape for those you heading to see Gwen Stefani tonight at the Houston Livestock Show & Rodeo. No weather issues of note, and it will be pleasant. Look for about 70 degrees as you arrive, cooling into the low 60s by the time you’re heading home.

Wednesday

Stunning. Sunshine, light winds, and temperatures warming from the 40s to around 50 in the morning to the mid-70s in the afternoon.

Thursday & Friday

After a gorgeous Wednesday, Thursday will mark our transition day. Look for a nice start to the day, with generally some 50s. But I would expect to see clouds filling in through the day, a bit of a gusty onshore breeze developing, and even a few light showers around. Despite that, look for highs to near 80 degrees in much of the area.

Humidity will gradually increase through the day as well. Our next front on Friday morning looks as if it will lack some of the punch that we got from last night’s front. Still, a few heavier showers or even a thunderstorm will be possible before about 9 AM Friday as the front crosses our area. We should then open up to sunshine and a breezy north wind again. Look for temperatures in the upper-50s to around 60 on Friday morning, easily warming to near 70 or a bit better with Friday afternoon’s sunshine.

Weekend

We’re still a few days away, but it really looks like we’re going to hit the jackpot this weekend. Expect sunshine and just a few clouds at times. Morning lows will be in the 40s and 50s and daytime highs will generally be in the 70s, slightly warmer on Sunday than Saturday. Fingers crossed this holds.

Preview of next week

It appears that we’re primed for another cold front, probably on Tuesday. This one is showing some signals in the models of being a bit more robust. We’re still several days out, but the expectation would be shower/isolated strong storm chances and increasing humidity Monday, a period of potentially heavier storms on Tuesday, and then a pleasant midweek. We’ll keep you posted.

Good morning! I’ve got you covered this week, so Eric can enjoy some time with his family.

Well, if you could look past the cold, it sure was a nice weekend. Certainly Sunday was pleasant. We officially registered a freeze in Houston with lows of 32° at Bush Airport on both Saturday and Sunday mornings. Here’s a fun fact about that: This is the latest into the “winter” that Houston has officially registered a freeze since March 15, 1999! Our last freeze in 2021 occurred on February 20th. We got to March 6th in 2019. So this was some impressive cold for this late in the season. That should be it for freeze risk in most of the area this winter. Over the next 2 weeks, there’s nothing too impressive looking, though I don’t think we’re done with cool weather just yet. This week will feature a little of late winter and some definite signs of spring as well.

Today

We have another cold front on the way late today. This one won’t have nearly as much cold air with it, but it will have some oomph behind it, which should lead to at least some scattered showers and storms. The timing right now appears to focused in the evening hours, although there are already a few showers around this morning. Although the downpours or storms should be very hit or miss, have an umbrella at the ready today. We will probably see a more solid line of showers and storms with the front itself overnight. Those storms could be noisy for a short time.

While the storms today will be fairly isolated ahead of the front, any of them will be capable of becoming strong to severe with gusty winds and/or hail this afternoon or evening. Most people won’t see severe weather, but a few places may.

Outside of showers, look for clouds, some sun, and high temperatures in the 70s today. Winds will also be up a bit today, out of the south at 15 mph or so, gusty along the coast.

Besides a chance of storms, Sam Hunt is on the menu tonight at the Houston Livestock Show & Rodeo. The good news is that any rain probably won’t last long, call it maybe an hour at most. But the bad news is that there is definitely a chance of some lightning in the area during the entirety of the evening. Most of that may occur either while you’re inside for the show or after you’ve arrived back home. Certainly the main line of storms with the front is expected after Midnight. Either way, prepare for at least a chance of showers or storms, and expect generally mild weather with 70s leading up to showtime and upper 60s after. If the front is faster and it rains more, you could see upper-50s or low-60s, so maybe a hoodie would be a reasonable accessory to have on hand for when you exit.

Tuesday and Wednesday

I think tomorrow may start a bit sluggish with some clouds around, especially north of I-10. Look for temps in the 50s on Tuesday morning. Those clouds to the north may keep temperatures from getting much past the low to mid-60s tomorrow, particularly if they linger into afternoon. But areas south of Houston, with fewer clouds should warm to near 70 degrees or a bit better on Tuesday afternoon. It will be a bit breezy tomorrow, with north or northwest winds gusting over 20 mph.

Wednesday looks spectacular. It will start a little cooler, with 40s or low-50s in the morning followed by sunshine and highs in the mid-70s at least on Wednesday afternoon.

Thursday and Friday

Onshore flow resumes on Thursday, which will kick up some humidity, clouds, and slight shower chances. Look for 50s in the morning, warming close to 80 degrees by afternoon. Pencil in the next front on Friday afternoon, with a chance of showers and storms. Morning lows Friday will only be in the 60s, warming into the 70s ahead of the afternoon front. More on this tomorrow.

Weekend outlook

Both weekend days look outstanding right now. Expect sunshine both Saturday and Sunday, with generally light to moderate winds. Morning lows will be in the 40s and 50s. Afternoon highs should be in the 70s.

Look for a warm up early next week, perhaps followed by another front on Tuesday or Wednesday.