Houston’s forecast is neither trick nor treat, just boring

Well, if you like consistency, this forecast is for you. And if you want to see some truly fall-like weather, it is not. For the remainder of October, and at least the first few days of November, Houston will continue to see temperatures 2 to 5 degrees above normal.

Wednesday through Sunday

A stagnant pattern has settled over Houston, with high pressure to the west of the region, and easterly winds. This will lead to mostly sunny days, rain chances near zero and warmish temperatures for late October.

It's not just Houston. With high pressure over the western United States temperatures in some areas may be 25 degrees or more warmer than normal. (Weather Bell)
It’s not just Houston. With high pressure over the western United States temperatures in some areas may be 25 degrees or more warmer than normal. (Weather Bell)

For inland areas such as The Woodlands this means highs in the upper 80s, and lows around 60 degrees. For central Houston and areas closer to the coast it means highs in the mid-80s, with lows in the mid- to upper 60s. It’s certainly not unpleasant weather when compared to summer in Houston, but it’s also a bit depressing to look at the 10-day forecast and not see any hint of when our next real cold front will arrive. Also, as we noted on Tuesday, Houston is nearing drought conditions and the short-term forecast offers little relief.

Halloween

We could begin to see something of a pattern change by early next week as the atmosphere becomes a little more unstable. This may lead to some slight rain chances on Monday, and we’ll have to watch for the possibility of a slightly wet trick or treating evening. (Although I’d definitely lean against rain chances at this point). Temperatures likely will be in the mid- to upper-70s at trick-or-treating time.

Tuesday and beyond

The European models shows a more grey week, with the potential for rain, perhaps as much as an inch for some areas. If this forecast verifies we may see high temperatures around 80 degrees, with lows in the low 70s. As I said before, there really is no significant cold front in sight, which is depressing as we are now deep into fall.

Posted at 6:45am CT on Wednesday by Eric

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