Houston faces a narrow window for severe weather this afternoon

Hi everyone. I hope everyone is enjoying this gray and windy day. We’ve seen scattered showers and a few thunderstorms through the morning and early afternoon hours, but nothing too serious.

Our main focus of concern is the development of storms this afternoon along a warm front draped just to the west of Houston. Additional daytime heating, and the approach of a cold front from the northwest, should create a line of storms that will move rapidly from west to east across the area. The National Weather Service has issued a tornado watch for the entire metro area due to the potential for some supercells to develop.

HRRR model forecast for a line of storms as of 4 pm CT on Monday. For illustration purposes only. (Weather Bell)

This line of storms should reach areas such as Katy and The Woodlands around 3 to 4 pm CT, pushing into central Houston including downtown and Sugar Land between 4 and 6 pm, and reach the coast shortly after sunset. As the front passes we’re going to see strong, and potentially damaging winds. There is the possibility for a tornado or two to develop, and also perhaps some hail.

I want to be clear: The overall conditions in the atmosphere are not super-supportive for severe weather. But the potential ingredients are there for some severe thunderstorms to come together, albeit briefly, this afternoon. Please be weather-aware if you are out and about. Some additional light to moderate rain will be possible tonight after the front passes. It will be a windy and chilly night, with temperatures quickly dropping into the 40s after midnight.

16 thoughts on “Houston faces a narrow window for severe weather this afternoon”

  7. Would be interesting if the power went off at Reliant tonight. Everyone watch TV across the country would think “ERCOT!”.

  8. What are the expected wind speeds overnight? There have been significant gusts in the fulshear area today (upper 40mph)

  10. The winds have been punishing, and they have a cyclonic menace to them as they switch direction rapidly. I grow weary even sitting at home hearing the howling the roaring and the breaking branches.

  11. Pretty sure it was in the 40s with the windchill here in Conroe at 4 because waiting at the bus stop was miserable. 😂

  13. The last storm cell at ~9:30p brought lots of hail the size of dip n dots ice cream in the Montrose neighborhood.

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