Official weekend forecast: Who the heck knows

Sorry I’m late this morning with an update, but there was a surprise announcement this morning from Blue Origin, Jeff Bezos’ rocket company. They’ve successfully landed a rocket booster in West Texas and that’s a huge deal.

Anyway, on to the weather. After lows in the 40s this morning Houston is warming quickly and we’ll get into the low 70s today under partly to mostly sunny skies. Should be a great day.

WEDNESDAY and THANKSGIVING

We’ll continue to see warming conditions for the middle of this week as the onshore flow resumes and humidity levels rise. Highs on Wednesday and Thursday will likely climb to nearly 80 degrees. Rain will also be possible later on Thanksgiving, especially during the afternoon and evening hours, although I’d expect light rain at most.

NOAA rain accumulation forecast for Thanksgiving Day. (Weather Bell)

NOAA rain accumulation forecast for Thanksgiving Day. (Weather Bell)

FRIDAY and THE WEEKEND

My official forecast for the weekend is: Who the heck knows.

That’s because the forecast models are continuing to struggle with the timing of a cool front, and how far south it moves. The slow-moving system is likely to generate rain showers, so there’s the possibility of light to moderate rain from Friday through Sunday, but I don’t expect accumulations of above 1 to 2 inches for most areas. Expect higher amounts inland than along the coast. As for predicting when it will rain? Hah. Who the heck knows.

Temperatures are also highly dependent on the front. We could be anywhere from the low 60s on Saturday to the mid-70s, and lows could be relatively cool, in the 50s, or pretty muggy in the upper 60s.

I’m hoping for the former because I’ve got to knock out a 16 mile run on Sunday morning, and I’d rather not sweat like an omnivorous domesticated hoofed mammal with sparse bristly hair and a flat snout.

Posted at 9:50 a.m. CT

19 thoughts on “Official weekend forecast: Who the heck knows

  1. Nida

    Good luck with your run, and thanks for the honest forecasting! And thank you also for the tidbit about the rocket booster 🙂

  2. Lea Ann Coffey

    Hope that the weather behaves for your Sunday endeavor…

    Looking forward to mild weather for the big holiday – keep it under 80, my friend. 😉

  3. Mike

    Good luck with the run. I did a 20-miler this past Sunday, and the chilly weather was a major help in getting through that. I’m not sure I would have been able to handle it this coming weekend.

  4. Ed Mullery

    So for the Cougars’ game at 11 AM Friday, sounds like a poncho might be in order? Appreciate any updates as Friday nears.

    1. Eric

      I will of course continue updating, and I expect the forecast will become clearer by tomorrow. But yes, a poncho might be in order.

  5. Scott

    What I would like to know is when we might expect a real Arctic like cold front ? It will be Xmas season soon so it’s time to see one coming down. Please Eric make it happen.

    1. Eric

      For November that’s about as Arctic as it gets in Houston. I don’t think we’re going to get that cold again for the next couple of weeks.

    1. zed

      I hear you, Powergirl. Mine is a week from Thursday in the wind tunnel of office buildings just off Post Oak north of the Galleria. Like we are reminded, dress for the weather for ’tis almost the season … windy or not, chilly or not, rainy or not. Non-glare sheet protectors in a binder with large rubber bands to hold it open…

  6. Mike

    As a fellow runner, I’m sure you’ve appreciated the cooler temps as of late. It’d been a rough fall for running prior to this week. The cooler/drier the better!

  7. MK

    Just wanted to say thank you. It’s icing on the cake to get exciting space news along with a detailed, trustworthy, and humorous weather forecast. Thank you Eric, & good luck on Sunday!

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