Hi everyone! Just checking in on a Sunday to provide a heads up about the slightly faster timing of a robust cold front that is racing through Texas. It should pass through Houston and will be offshore a little after sunset. Temperatures with the front are trending a bit colder, and you’ll want to be prepared for that to start the week.

Timing

The front is already pushing into the far northwestern corner of the Houston metro area, having reached College Station at 10:30 am this morning. It should reach the central part of Houston, including downtown, between 4 and 6 pm today, and push off the coast by around 8 or 9 pm tonight. Temperatures will drop by around 15 degrees with the frontal passage, and should continue falling in its wake. Winds will be gusty with the front, and then should pick up during the overnight hours, bringing more colder and drier air to the region. Mostly light showers will be possible as the front comes through.

Monday will be rather cold!

Wake-up temperatures for most of the area, away from the coast, are likely to be in the upper 40s. It is entirely possible that areas inland of Interstate 10 will not even reach 50 degrees on Monday, and when you combine that with winds gusting at 20 to 25 mph out of the north it is going to feel really brisk outside. Like, seriously, bundle up those kids for school please. Skies will be mostly cloudy, and a chance of light rain will persist throughout the daytime and evening hours. Lows on Monday night will drop into the mid-40s for most of the area, with the coast being slightly warmer.

Halloween

After a mostly cloudy start, we should see rain chances ending and skies clearing throughout the day on Tuesday. This will allow highs to reach into the mid-50s, but we’re going to continue to see breezy conditions with 20 or 25 mph gusts from the north. Temperatures will likely be about 50 degrees during the trick-or-treating hours, with overnight lows in the low 40s.

Rest of the week

Cold conditions will stick around through Thursday, and Wednesday night should be the coldest of the week. Much of the Houston region is likely to drop into the upper 30s on Wednesday night as we see ideal cooling conditions with clear skies and light winds. A light freeze will be possible for areas at the northern periphery of the metro area. After this we’ll see a warming trend heading into the weekend.

We’ll have a full forecast update for you on Monday morning.

All is quiet across the area this morning, but yesterday definitely saw some heavy rain north and west of Houston, as a relatively persistent area of rainfall setup shop. This dumped as much as 3 to 6 inches over a fairly wide area northwest of Houston.

Much of the area at least saw some rain yesterday. We should at least see some more rain today, perhaps in those same areas.

Today

Look for another day of sporadic showers and thunderstorms across the area. Again, the best odds favor areas north and west of Houston for the most rain today, but rain could fall south and east as well, much like we saw on Thursday. It will remain warm and humid with highs well into the 80s.

Weekend

Both Saturday and Sunday will continue to provide warm and humid weather for the area. We’ll see lows in the 70s and highs in the mid-80s on both days. Showers will be possible, but I think the coverage and intensity will ramp down some from what we saw yesterday and what we will see today.

Monday

Alright, the latest the timing on Monday’s cold front brings it through Houston just after midnight, which will lead to plunging temperatures well before sunrise on Monday. In the afternoon, we will struggle to get past the upper-50s with a gusty north wind ramping up. If you have loose Halloween decorations, it’s probably a good idea to try to secure them as best as possible on Sunday afternoon. Anyway, there will be showers or some thunderstorms with the front as it pushes in, and clouds, light rain, and drizzle may persist for awhile through the day.

Tuesday

Look for lows in the 40s on Tuesday morning. Expect a breezy to windy day, especially near the coast, where winds of 20 to 30 mph or stronger are likely. We will see a good bit of cloud cover lingering on Tuesday, and that may keep temperatures in the 40s for much of the morning before some afternoon clearing allows us to warm into the 50s. For Houston, our coolest Halloween afternoon occurred in 1925 when we only hit 47 degrees. More recently, back in 2019 we only mustered 57 degrees, the 4th coolest on record. We may fall just short of that on Tuesday. The record low for Halloween is safe at 29 degrees back in 1993. For evening festivities, look for temperatures nudging back into the upper-40s or near 50 degrees with continued breezy conditions. Bundle up, kids!

Rest of next week

The rest of the week looks great. Expect sunshine Wednesday through Friday with temperatures slowly nudging back warmer. We should be in the upper-50s to near 60 on Wednesday, mid-60s on Thursday, and low-70s on Friday with morning lows in the 40s or upper-30s all three days. Sublime autumn weather in my opinion! We will probably hear about frost advisories at some point well to the north of Houston, particularly between Lufkin, Madisonville, and College Station. Even an isolated sheltered location or two up that way has a chance at a light freeze also. But this is highly unlikely in the Houston metro.

Good morning. Houston faces four more warm days before take out first deep dive into much cooler weather. How cold? Well, most of the Houston region will likely dip into the low- to mid-40s at some point next week, and a few outlying areas might actually see the upper 30s. So yes, it’s going to be sweater weather. Halloween, as well, looks breezy and cool with temperatures of perhaps 50 degrees by the time kids start knocking on doors.

Thursday

The story for today is rainfall, or at least its potential. An upper-level disturbance will produce a mass of showers and thunderstorms to the northwest of Houston that will slowly sag down toward the area today. These storms should reach the College Station area by around noon, and push into the central Houston area later this afternoon and evening. It’s worth noting that, as they push into Houston, the showers will be losing their oomph. So if you live inland of Highway 59/Interstate 69, you have a pretty good chance of picking up 0.5 to 1.5 inch of rain between now and Friday morning, with higher isolated totals beneath heavier showers. Areas further to the southeast, particularly closer to the coast, should see substantially less rain.

Otherwise, expect partly sunny skies today, with highs in the mid-80s. Winds will be out of the south at about 10 mph, and gusts up to 20 mph. Rain chances should end late this evening, and almost certainly before midnight. Lows tonight will drop only into the mid-70s.

Friday

This will be another warm, humid day with highs in the mid-80s. We’ll again see a mix of sunshine and clouds. Rain chances will not be as high as Thursday, but we’re still going to see at least a smattering of showers, if not more. I’d peg rain chances at about 40 percent, with lesser accumulations than Thursday.

Saturday and Sunday

The weekend should see continued warm and humid weather, with two days of partly to mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid-80s. Both days will have a low chance of rain, perhaps 20 percent. All eyes, meteorologically at least, will be on the forthcoming front. But at this point it probably won’t reach the Houston metro area until late Sunday evening, perhaps crossing through downtown around midnight, give or take a few hours. We’ll likely see some showers will the front, and drier and cooler air almost immediately after its passage.

Next week

High temperatures on Monday are likely to be in the 50s, area-wide, so bundle those kids up as they head off to school. Add on to this mostly cloudy skies and blustery northerly winds, with the possibility of some scattered showers, and it’s going to feel downright chilly. Lows Monday night will drop into the upper-40s, probably.

So what about Halloween? I think it will be another partly to mostly cloudy day with highs in the 50s—perhaps even in the low 50s. There may be a few lingering showers, but I think skies will dry up before it is time to trick-or-treat. It’s possible that a reinforcing front drives low temperatures into the lower 40s by Wednesday or Thursday morning, but the forecast is starting to get fuzzy by then. We should start to warm up heading into next weekend.

Good morning. Houston will remain in a warm pattern through most of the weekend before a robust cold front arrives on Sunday evening or early Monday to cool us down significantly. There will also be some rain chances throughout the period—before, during, and after the front. My sense is that most of this rain should be gone by the time of Halloween, but the current forecast looks pretty cold for trick-or-treating, with temperatures likely in the 50s.

Wednesday

Another warm day is on tap for the Houston region today, with highs in the mid-80s and southeasterly winds at 10 to 15 mph with higher gusts. Skies will be partly to mostly sunny with the warm flow. Some rain showers will be possible today, but they should be fairly scattered, and most likely closer to the coast and south of Interstate 10. Slight rain chances will continue overnight, with lows only dropping into the mid-70s.

Thursday

This day will see a mix of clouds and sunshine, with highs in the mid-80s. By late morning or early afternoon, a broken line of showers and thunderstorms should start to sag through areas such as College Station, and then down into the Houston area. The upper-level disturbance driving these storms is not super potent, and my sense is that most areas will see 0.25 to 0.75 inch of rain, with the potential for a few areas to see 1 inch or more. The best chance for higher accumulations will be the western half of the metro area.

Friday

Expect partly sunny skies with highs in the mid-80s. A chance of rain will linger, perhaps 30 percent.

Saturday and Sunday

The first half of the weekend will be warm and humid, with highs in the mid-80s and mostly sunny skies. Rain chances on Saturday are low, but not non-existent. Sunday is a bit more interesting as it looks like the front may come to the region a little bit faster. For now, I think most of the area will still see a fairly warm and humid day, with highs in the mid-80s. Rain chances will depend on the timing of the front, as I think there is a pretty good likelihood that showers accompany the frontal passage.

Next week

Who is ready for some cold weather?

By Monday morning we should see much drier and chillier Canadian air flowing into the Houston region. Highs will depend on cloud cover, but Monday through Wednesday of next week may top out in the upper 50s, with overnight lows in the 40s. This is positively winter-like for Houston, especially with blustery northerly winds on Monday.

As for Halloween, right now I think we’ll see clearing conditions, but temperatures during the trick-or-treating hour are likely to be in the mid-50s, probably. So be prepared. Temperatures should gradually warm during the second half of next week.