Severe thunderstorms incoming to the Houston area on Tuesday afternoon

In brief: A line of severe storms is likely to affect much of the greater Houston area this afternoon. Please be weather aware as you venture out between now and about 5 pm CT.

As of noon, a strong line of thunderstorms has developed near College Station and Huntsville, and it should move steadily southward this afternoon. The time of most concern for the Houston metro area will be from 1 pm to 5 pm, as the system pushes into central parts of the city and down to the coast. Not all of Houston will see severe weather, but a good portion of the metro area is likely to be affected.

Houston-area radar as of 12:13 pm CT. (RadarScope)

Please note that, as of this time, we are not expecting the derecho-like weather that Houston experienced about 10 days ago. However, there is the potential for severe thunderstorms, and that includes the usual threats.

In terms of rainfall, I expect that much of the area will receive 1 to 3 inches, but as these storms move into Houston they could slow somewhat due to interaction with the Gulf of Mexico seabreeze. In this case we could see some higher isolated totals of 4 or more inches of rainfall. As for hail, I think a high-end size would be ping pong ball-sized hail. Straight-line winds could reach up to 60 mph. It is also possible that we see some isolated tornadoes.

The worst of this mess should push through by the late afternoon or early evening hours. As a result of this storm system, my expectation is for quieter weather tonight.

Matt and I will be tracking these storms closely, and if there are changes in the forecast we will update the site.

53 thoughts on “Severe thunderstorms incoming to the Houston area on Tuesday afternoon”

  1. You mention we should not expect derecho-like weather but there will be straight-line winds. What is the difference between the two?

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    • My understanding is the storm has to be a certain size to be called derecho. Straight-line winds can happen with any regular thunderstorm, but a derecho is usually a long squall line stretching across a big area. They did a post about here last week, I think.

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  2. Appreciate the update as it seems this will be moving through several hours earlier than most had thought.

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  3. Oh its here now!! rain, thunder lightning, huge wind and the power just went out!! Its here Now!

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  4. I should have read your morning post because this storm took me completely by surprise. This morning, the National Weather Service had rain coming at around midnight. Accuweather said chance of storms after 7PM. You had it right. (Oh, our power just went out. Great.)

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  5. Bad winds, heavy rain, and small hail in The Woodlands. Our pool started overflowing within 20 min. The sky turned from day to night, but its calming down now.

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  6. Was there another follow-up post after this?? I saw the app notification on my phone but no matter how many times I hit refresh, this was the latest post. Same thru my web browser. Maybe it was redacted temporarily to fix a mistake?

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    • same here, trying to look for the update but I don’t see it
      said 60-80 mph winds after 4pm, something along those lines

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      • Yes, I’m here trying to find the weather alert I saw, I don’t think it was a full post, but I don’t know how to find the list of weather alerts.

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  7. This seems to be the occurrence now with any storm. To expect hail, strong winds etc.. any thoughts to that?

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    • I mean… that’s been normal for the 30+ years I’ve lived in Houston. It’s just part of the weather here.

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  8. It is 1:45 PM, we are seeing “normal size hail in Clear Lake City. I took a 20 second video but have no apparent way to post it.

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  9. Not like derecho my ass. A huge tree fell on my house and my fence is also taken out in the last 30 minutes now huge hail destroying the car. We do not need this after last week. I’m so tired of this. Houstonians need a break

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    • The term “derecho” has less to do with the magnitude of the winds and more to do with duration and directionality.

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    • I’m sorry about your tree, house & car, Caitlin. I hope your family is safe.

      We had bad roof damage during the May 2 early morning storm. Got it fixed. It held during the derecho. Today there was a loud crack & pop, and there goes the roof again.

      We definitely need a break.

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    • Sorry to hear of your issues. It’s exactly why we’re moving. We’ve absolutely had it with this crap. In the last storm, 2 trees fell. One took out our fence, the other was mere inches from smashing through our kitchen. We have problems with damage every time it rains. Not to mention the extended power outage during this heat. My insurance rates have skyrocketed. Enough is enough. We are out of here. Work transfer has already been approved. House is being listed soon. I’ve never been more excited to move in my life.

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  10. Can we not just have normal rain in Houston anymore? I’m so exhausted with every storm having damaging wind with power outages and hail. I’m a native Houstonian and this is not normal.

    Thanks for the updates today! Loved the noon one!

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    • Agreed. I don’t usually like to criticize them but I have to say that that was an absurd claim for them to make in mid May.

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      • I think that highlights just how hard it is to predict Houston weather. I’m grateful to SCW for trying and being transparent about it.

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        • Luckily here in Cypress, all we got was a nice little thunderstorm. Some people did lose power, but I think it’s mostly been restored. I also lost another large tree limb but it’s off my water oak so go figure. A little breeze will knock limbs off that tree.

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    • Yep!

      “And after some residual showers tomorrow, that’s it for spring storm season in Houston.” -May 16

      To be fair, yesterday felt like the hottest bowels of summer.

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  11. Pea and marble sized hail on the Ship Channel – just ended. We were told to get away from the windows and head to the hall.

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  12. Sun is coming out in the URBAN CORE. I guess the pattern is: get really high dew points followed by deluge and wind the next day.

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  13. I was hoping for some more ‘off scale high’ violent weather as it had been too quiet for the last week…….

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  14. Got 1.5 inches of rain in my backyard from these storms. Some gusty winds and alot of lightning but nothing to crazy. I am so glad these storms happened because the rain cooled air provided desperate relief from that horrible crap we we have been dealing with. It dropped to 69 degrees in my backyard. It feels so much better outside now. 👍👍

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  15. Not only is the weather getting wacky, but the ability to predict it is getting wacky as well.

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