Hi everyone—just a quick Labor Day morning update here.
We’ve got some good news and some bad news, and we’ll start with the latter. If you’ll recall last week, we were 50-50 on whether a fairly robust cool front would push through the region. Alas, we’re now pretty confident it won’t make it. Summer, such as it is in Houston, will continue for awhile longer, albeit with highs mostly in the low 90s rather than the mid- or upper 90s.
The good news is that although we’re on the cusp of two more named storms forming in the Atlantic tropics, continuing this hurricane season’s record pace, we see no threats to the Gulf of Mexico over the next several days at least. This week is the historical peak of hurricane season, and for Texas the threat should be ebbing in about three or four weeks.
As for our weather this week, Labor Day will see a fair amount of sunshine and highs warming into the mid-90s. With slightly weaker high pressure over the region, some slow-moving showers and thunderstorms could produce 1 or more inches of rainfall today, but things will again be hit or miss. Tuesday should be similar.
The latter half of the week will be influenced by a cold front dropping into Texas and approaching our region. However, with the front likely stalling out around the Interstate 35 corridor, we only expect very slight effects locally. For now we’ll go with highs in the low 90s, and with lows dropping into the mid-70s, and a smattering of rain chances.
We’ll be back tomorrow with a full update!
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Boooo!!!!!
I’ll take heat over hurricane any day!! Thank you again for all you do!
Sadly, I predicted the cold front was a hoax last week when all the major news outlets in town started hyping it up. It’s just too early in September for that kind of thing. Yet, all of their computer models were in alignment that Houston was getting a “cool” front. Initially it was passing through on Monday. Two days later, they predicted Tuesday. Two more days, they predicted Wednesday. Highs each day started in the low to mid 80’s, and as time passed, are now back into the low 90’s. As of today, it’s basically an “Ooops! We were just kidding all along, sorry you fell for it. Keep sweating, Houston!”. I love this town, but as soon as I retire, I’m outta here for someplace that doesn’t have summers that last 6 months (or more).
Enjoy whatever natural calamity you replace heat humidity and hurricanes with
True … there is no perfect place to live, but I’ve lived in H-town my entire life, and you might say I’m just ready to experience something different than heat and humidity all the time.
I can’t “Boo!” hard enough on the news of the front. However, getting to peak of storm season is a “Yea!” Let’s hope the backside of the peak is uneventful for us.
Yeah, the first cool front is usually in the last ten days of the month. Dammit.
Cecily,
Last ten days of which month?!
Exactly. Just 10 more days until the first cold front
January perhaps? I believe cols fronts when I feel ’em. Lol.
I used to play in a golf tourney that was the last Saturday of September. It was usually cool. Like sweater on the practice green cool.
Thanks Eric for taking time this morning with this concise update…always comforting knowing you all are still on watch!
Thanks for the update Eric. As always, so grateful for your work.
But you promised.
Poop. Well, by the third week of this month we should be past the peak of hurricane season for Houston, when the action moves to the western Caribbean and eastern Gulf. I’ve been trying to get a standby generator for months, but units have been back ordered for a long time, so basically I am still not prepared for this season.
What aspect of this hurricane season is record pace? ACE is trending well below ‘05 and ‘08.
In terms of number of storms. 2020 is on pace to go into the Greek alphabet a full month sooner than ’05.
You’re correct though. So far, 2020 can’t hold 2005’s socks in terms of ACE points (strength of storms & duration)
Too bad about the front. We are in the Colorado mts. now and scheduled to return Wednesday all the while hoping for cooler weather back home. As it is, they are forecasting 9-15 inches of snow late tonight and tomorrow.
That was admirably upbeat delivery of bad news. A for effort but you’re not fooling anyone!
Yeah, saw the writing on the wall last week, as I said then, if the uncertainty of the front actually making it through the area isn’t decreasing as the days go by it’s a safe bet it isn’t happening. Oh well, here’s hoping we’re not sitting in the 90s through the end of October, though I won’t be surprised by it either. I’m old enough to remember when September was pretty reliable for our first taste of fall weather, pretty much written it off as an extension of August the last few years.
Appreciate the update. Being this is the peak of hurricane season I welcome any forecast that includes a quiet Gulf. Real cold fronts will be here soon enough.
Regarding the comments of Chris & Patrick; Lake Charles has had enough ACE for several seasons. We were only 140 miles from a disaster that would take years to recover, if then. Remember that at Thanksgiving.
So very true. Just keep on praying we can still be grateful come Thanksgiving. We’re not out of the woods just yet, just getting to the backside of the season’s peak time.
True. Ask the poor citizens of SW La if this season is worst than 2005. This season has not (yet) had the number of intense storms the 05 had.
You’re right, we were THAT close to being obliterated. The residents of Sulphur, Lake Charles, Holly Beach, Hackberry are not worrying about ACE statistics. They’re putting the shambles of their lives back together if possible.
Did you hear the howl of anguish coming from Spring Valley? That was me. Followed by muttered curse words.
Based on my comments last Friday, the front failure is clearly my fault. I apologize.
Well, phooey! Typical September.
Its raining and thundering hard in the Galleria area right now.