A strong front arrives Monday to return us into winter

A blustery front will blow into Houston on Monday, setting the stage for cold December weather this week. For now, we still expect milder conditions for Christmas week in Houston, with daytime highs possibly in the 70s by Christmas Day itself. There are obviously still nine days to go in the forecast, so details remain fuzzy.

Monday

Today is starting out warm and muggy, with patchy fog. Low temperatures at some locations in Houston on Monday did not fall below 70 degrees. But if you’re wondering whether this is September or December, Mother Nature will soon answer this question for you. A strong cold front will push through the region today, by mid-morning for areas northwest of Houston, around noon for downtown, and offshore by 4pm. We’ll see some light-to-moderate precipitation with the front, but accumulations probably will be less than one-quarter inch for most. Temperatures will drop 10 to 15 degrees, from the mid-70s, as the front passes, and the mercury will be in the 50s by this evening.

Wednesday morning’s low temperatures should be the coldest of the week. (Pivotal Weather)

Tuesday

Skies will clear out on Tuesday as drier air moves into Houston. We’ll feel the drier air as winds gust to 25mph or higher. With temperatures only climbing into the mid-50s, this will be a brisk day before likely the coldest night of the week on Tuesday night. Some parts of the region north and west of downtown are likely to see a light freeze early on Wednesday.

Wednesday

Sunny, with a high in the upper 50s. After a chilly start, this day will feel warmer than Tuesday because the brisk northerly winds will have subsided.

Thursday

Sunny, and warmer, with highs likely between 60 and 65 degrees. This has the look of being a splendid day before the onshore flow kicks in.

Friday

At some point toward the end of the week, a moderately strong front should move through Houston, but the timing and rainfall potential are uncertain. Right now, I’d lean toward light- to no rainfall, but don’t hold me to that. In any case, look for Friday to be warmer—upper 60s, perchance?—and more humid if the front does not arrive until later in the day.

Saturday and Sunday

Stop us if you’ve heard this before, but the upcoming weekend looks quite nice. Saturday, especially, looks sunny and humidity free with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s on Saturday night. Sunday probably will bring more of the same, but we could see the return of some humidity. In any case, our run of pretty amazing weekends seems likely to continue.

The European model shows a steady warm-up into Christmas week. (Weather Bell)

Christmas week

Have you finished your shopping? This year, I’m actually pretty close. Which is a good thing, because it probably won’t be beginning to feel a lot like Christmas next week. The most likely outcome is high temperatures in the upper 60s and 70s for most of next week, with warm nights rising into the 50s and then 60s. Another front will eventually move through to cool things down, but whether that happens on December 26, 27, or 28th is anyone’s guess. So, maybe hold off on the Christmas sweater gifts this year?

11 thoughts on “A strong front arrives Monday to return us into winter

  1. Blackhawks Fan

    I’m wondering if I will ever see proper Christmas weather again. The last three times I went up north it was in the 50s or 60s the whole time. I stayed here one year and it was in the mid 80s. This year I made the dumb decision to go to Georgia. Unfortunately, I don’t know anyone in Calgary or Fairbanks. Oh, well…

    1. Chuck

      Book a ticket to Fairbanks TODAY. You will find REALLY TRUE WINTER WEATHER on Dec 20:

      Friday Dec 20 temp forecast:
      “High” of MINUS 22 F Low of MINUS 30 F

      But the prospect of snow is iffy, given most of it falls as storms pass over the mountains (e.g. Denali) to the SW.

  2. Arianda

    I am confused…NWS says 20-30% chance “showers” for Friday, you are leaning to light/no rainfall, but WPC says Heavy Rain!

    I get we are still 5 days out, but these are big swings in “predictions” that can affect travel plans.

    So, how does this happen if everyone’s looking at the same data sets?

    1. Kim Patton

      Some people (these guys) are better at interpreting the data than others and NOTHING is certain when it comes to Houston weather. Get used to it.

  3. Susan K Williams

    Just an FYI….. I finally got my Space City Weather hoodie yesterday and I absolutely LOVE it!! It has the really soft insides and feels SO good when I wear it! And, it’s comfy and warm, and cozy, and well, it’s just darn cool is all!! I LOVE MY HOODIE!!!

  4. Jane

    Happy holidays to all! Cooler weather adds the perfect festive touch to our holidays. [If only it would stay longer] Personally, I have never been a fan of the warm-cold, cold-warm routine, but this is indeed Texas. Things change quickly. We gotta enjoy what we can.

    Now, about New Year’s Eve —- any idea what we should expect,,, weather wise?
    Thanks much.

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