Good morning, Houston. Our forecast is nearly perfect.

Good morning, everyone. I suspect many people are groggy after following the elections last night. We promise there will be no politics here, only the best possible forecasting. And as we saw last night with pre-election polls, forecasting the future is difficult. Kindly remember that the next time a major rain storm threatens the Houston area, and then busts.

Today

Regardless of how you feel—relieved, giddy or terrified—Houston’s forecast will help. We’re going to have one more moderately humid morning as drier air works its way into Houston. A few very isolated areas of light rain are possible this morning as that happens, but most people won’t see any rain. With mostly cloudy skies today highs should only climb into the mid-70s.

Cooler air is coming to Houston today, but it's lagging behind the front this morning. (Weather Bell)
Cooler air is coming to Houston today, but it’s lagging behind the front this morning. (Weather Bell)

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November-like weather coming to Houston for this weekend

Good morning. We’re going to see another day or so of moderate temperatures with fairly humid air before really dry, fall-like weather arrives in Houston. Then it’s going to be beautiful, November-like weather for awhile.

Election Day

A large upper-level disturbance moved into Texas on Monday night from Mexico, but the bulk of the storm activity related to this system this morning has developed over central parts of the state, and for the most part I expect any significant rains today to remain west and southwest of the Houston metro area. High temperatures should be in the mid-70s under mostly cloudy skies. Bottom line: Weather should not disrupt voting activity in Houston at all.

Wednesday

A cool front will move through Houston sometime tonight, and this will bring some drier air into the region, which will help cool down our nights and eventually make for some really fantastic weather. Highs on Wednesday should be in the mid-70s under mostly cloudy skies, with lows falling into the upper 50s for northern parts of the metro area, and the lower 60s for coastal regions.

Temperatures will be near normal for most of the week, but by Sunday they could fall 4 to 6 degrees below normal. (Weather Bell)
Temperatures will be near normal for most of the week, but by Sunday they could fall 4 to 6 degrees below normal. (Weather Bell)

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Much needed rain arrives, cooler weather ahead—Oh my!

A solid mass of showers and embedded thunderstorms moved through the Houston area on Sunday evening and during the overnight hours, dropping 1 to 3 inches. Although the storms produced some brief street flooding, our dry soils mostly welcomed the rain. Here’s a graphic showing accumulations across the region:

Estimated rainfall accumulations from Sunday through Monday morning. (NOAA)
Estimated rainfall accumulations from Sunday through Monday morning. (NOAA)

As these storms have pushed off to the east they have left a broad area of sinking air in their wake, which should limit the formation of additional rain showers at least this morning.

Today

The primary question today is whether an additional round of storms will move through Houston. While there is an area of disturbed weather over northern Mexico that will drift north today, I’m not convinced will see another bout of showers due to this sinking air left behind from the Sunday night system. In any case, if it does rain, we probably won’t see additional showers until later this afternoon or evening. Highs should be in the upper 70s under cloudy skies.

Tuesday and Wednesday

Houston won’t experience a classic cold front this week, but fairly persistent winds from the northeast at the surface should eventually bring some drier and cooler weather into the region. Highs on Tuesday and Wednesday should settle into the mid-70s, and overnight lows should fall back into the low 60s for most areas except the immediate coast. With more moist air above the surface we can’t rule out a few showers and thunderstorms developing, but I’m not expecting any well organized storm systems.

Your eyes do not deceive you, those are highs for Thursday. (National Weather Service)
Your eyes do not deceive you, those are highs for Thursday. (National Weather Service)

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November’s site sponsor: Innovo IT Solutions

A new month means a new sponsor for Space City Weather, and I’m pleased to announce that Innovo IT Solutions has returned to support the site in November.

Innovo IT Solutions
Innovo IT Solutions

Thanks to their generous support we can provide all of our weather content for free, and without advertisement, for the entire month of November. Here’s a little bit more about their business:

Innovo IT Solutions, LLC is a rapidly growing consulting firm providing professional technology services and Microsoft technology solutions. One of our main strategic objectives has always been to work closely with our customers and become a trusted advisor and a premiere supplier of highly specialized solutions and resources. We work collaboratively with our clients, enables them to leverage technological innovation and achieve maximum results by successful use of people and technology. Innovo’s engagement model includes offshore, off-site and on-site. To meet our client’s needs we have setup a dedicated offshore teams in Philippines and India and have a local technical manager to manage our relationship with our clients.

The advantage of the sponsorship model is that we are under no pressure to generate web traffic for the sake of web traffic—so there’s no hype, no click bait and no nonsense. All we’ll do is continue to make the best possible forecasts we can make. Thank you for considering them for all your IT needs. By doing so, you’ll be supporting this site!