Christmas Day will probably at least tie a record for high temperature

For nearly all of Houston, this will be our final morning in the 50s for the year 2021. And overall, the forecast remains much the same as we’ve been discussing for awhile. After emerging from this recent cold spell, Houston will spring back into very warm conditions for the remainder of 2021, with mostly sunny skies and rain chances near zero until the New Year. A strong front at that time seems likely.

Finally, before getting on with the forecast, please let me wish you and your families a very Merry Christmas and other seasons greetings during this holiday period. It really is our pleasure to have so many delightful readers.


Basically, high pressure will hold sway over our weather for much of the remainder of the year, drawing in a southerly flow and warming our temperatures, while tamping down rain chances. Highs today will reach the mid- to upper-70s beneath mostly sunny skies, and although it won’t exactly feel “dry” out, this should be the driest air left to us this year. Winds will be out of the south at about 10 mph today, with overnight lows dropping into the low 60s in Houston.

Forecast high temperatures for Christmas Day. (Weather Bell)


Christmas Eve will see highs around 80 degrees, with moderately gusty southerly winds, and mostly sunny skies. Overnight lows will drop into the upper 60s in Houston, with warmer conditions along the coast.

Christmas Day

The record high temperature for Christmas Day in Houston is 83 degrees, set in 2015. I think we have a good chance of matching or even beating the record high, and if we do it probably won’t be the last heat record we set for 2021. The good news is that skies should be mostly sunny. Lows on Saturday night will drop into the 60s.

Behold, 80s for as far as the eye can see. (Weather Bell)

Sunday and beyond

Really, next week will just bring more of the same. Expect highs around 80 degrees with low temperatures in the upper 60s to nearly 70 degrees. Humidity will be high, but not oppressively so. The only noticeable change is that our mostly sunny days this week may become more partly sunny next week. Rain chances remain virtually zero well into next week. While the timing of our next real cold front—we are supposed to be smack dab in the middle of winter after all—remains fuzzy, I’d pencil it in for around New Year’s Day.

15 thoughts on “Christmas Day will probably at least tie a record for high temperature”

  1. I didn’t realize Christmas was a summer holiday in the northern hemisphere.

    At least the natural gas bill was only $23 this month.

  2. Thank you so much for keeping us informed with no hype. Wishing y’all the best and merriest Christmas!

  3. This is gross. I couldn’t be less in the “spirit.”

    But have a good holiday regardless! Thanks for all you do.

  4. “Basically, high pressure will hold sway over our weather … drawing in a southerly flow and warming our temperatures, while tamping down rain chances.” Sounds like a summertime forecast! With the forecast set on (yawn) on repeat like this, you guys should go ahead and take a well-deserved vacation for the next week. You deserve it. Happy Holidays.

  5. Thank y’all for the good work, day in and day out. It seems the temperature forecasts right displease some folks every time (as if it were your fault or in your control), but I am resolved not to make a daily meal of it. My people fetched up in Tidewater Virginia in 1635 and were in East Texas by the days of the Republic: they had no air-conditioning, and at some point they stopped moaning about it daily. I shall emulate them, and simply thank you again for all you do and wish all y’all the blessings of the Feast, the happiest of Christmases, and the best for the New Year.

    • I’m glad you said this. It certainly convicted me of all my negativity about the hot Christmas this year. I complain to my husband about it so much that he just puts his hand up and walks away! I don’t make New Year’s resolutions but I am going to try not to mention it much and to be appreciative of the positive side of it. We are not stuck in the house because of snow storms and we’re not worried about our pipes freezing right now.
      Merry Christmas 👙

      • You both have excellent perspectives, Christmas happiness should not be centered on what the temperature will be.on a given day. I hope you both have a merry Christmas and great new year. My best to Space City Weather who does an amazing job.

  6. What terrible weather for Christmas, but I’m happy that you guys are here to tell us it’s gonna be terrible weather for Christmas. Hoping for better weather for January.

  7. Let’s stay positive and make lemonade out of these lemons. Put on a t-shirt, shorts, and enjoy the days off. Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays to all.

    As another poster said, Matt and Eric may as well put this forecast on auto-repeat and take a few days off, too.

    • They could almost do it during hurricane season as well. “There’s a storm in the Gulf that might hit us within the next week”.

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