During the last couple of days there’s been a fair amount of hype about the potential for a tropical depression, or storm, to develop in the Gulf of Mexico. As of this afternoon the National Hurricane Center predicts there is a 60 percent chance an area of low pressure near the Yucatan Peninsula does just that.
We have not focused on this system for two simple reasons. First of all, Houston has been dealing with its own super soaker for the last several days, quite apart from this tropical system. Secondly, regardless of whether it develops, this mess is moving toward Florida and will have little to no effect on Texas weather.
Overall I don’t see this system developing much, conditions just aren’t that favorable over the next few days. So there’s almost no chance it will present a major wind threat to Florida. However it could definitely be a rainmaker for the Sunshine State, perhaps on Monday and Tuesday of next week, bringing 5 to 7 inches of rain to some areas.
Of course parts of Houston have seen quite a bit more than that during the last couple of days, as heavy storms have moved through Texas in waves. But as Matt wrote this morning, I think we’re past the worst of it, even though very heavy thunderstorms will continue to plague parts of the Houston region today and Saturday. Accordingly a flash flood watch remains in effect through 7pm Saturday and we’ll of course keep you informed about any developing threats.
Posted by Eric Berger at 1:30pm CT on Friday