As Beryl’s mosquito bounty victimizes Houston, we watch for more damp weather this morning and beyond

In brief: Additional rain is likely over the coming days, including a round of widespread moderate to heavy rain this morning, after some parts of the area saw as much as 2 to 3 inches yesterday. The most widespread activity will probably occur next week. Also today, we discuss the mosquito misery in the wake of Hurricane Beryl.

We had some gnarly thunderstorms in some parts of the area on Wednesday afternoon. I just happened to be driving from Pearland back to Houston as the storm over the southwest side of the city exploded.

Rain totals were most confined to three areas yesterday: Pasadena and southeast Houston, Bellaire and West U, and on the Brazoria/Fort Bend County line. (RadarScope)

While the power outages were not prolific, it certainly caused street flooding. The three bullseyes yesterday were on the Fort Bend/Brazoria County line, in the Bellaire/West U area, and just south of the Ship Channel in Pasadena and Deer Park. This is what can happen on days like this, so just be prepared if storms strike that they could produce quick street flooding in addition to prolific lightning and some hail.

Today

A line of heavy, but non-severe storms is moving into the northern fringes of our area this morning. Expect this to push southward through mid-morning, which will disrupt your morning commute. Give yourself a couple extra minutes this morning to deal with this.

Radar loop ending at 6:40 AM showing heavy, but non-severe storms pushing into the area. (RadarScope)

Rain rates are generally around or below an inch an hour, winds are around 30 to 35 mph or so as it moves in, and lightning will accompany the storms. Some of this could weaken as it drops into Houston proper. But there is some pretty healthy activity on the western side of this cluster, particularly heading into Waller County and perhaps back toward Sealy and Columbus. Additional storms could fire with daytime heating after that for the afternoon but those will be a bit trickier to pinpoint. Once everything moves through, we should be able to sneak back into the low-90s for highs.

Friday through Sunday

Much like yesterday, all three days will feature at least isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms each morning into afternoon. Some folks will see downpours capable of producing a quick 1 to 3 inches of rain and street flooding, while others will see little. Most places should get at least some rain at some point between tomorrow and Sunday though. Look for highs around 90 or so all three days.

Monday through Wednesday

A slightly more vigorous upper level weather pattern arrives next week, and with a cold front in name only sitting near us, it should all act together to produce numerous showers and thunderstorms across the region. Rain could be locally heavy and storms could be locally strong. Again, we are not currently highlighted for any severe weather risks, but as is often the case in summer, we could see a “pulse” of strong to locally severe storms each afternoon somewhere in the area. Usually in those cases, storms become severe and drop back below severe limits all within an hour or so.

Another 2 to 5 inches, including this morning’s rain will be likely through next week across most of the area. Some places may see more than this. (Pivotal Weather)

Today it appears that through next Thursday morning, most folks will see 2 to 5 inches of additional rain. Clearly after some places saw 1 to 3 inches in an hour yesterday, it’s plausible that someone will see more than 4 or 5 inches more through next week. But it’s impossible to pinpoint who and when. So for now, assume your lawns will receive a healthy watering, and you’ll have to dodge hefty downpours at times.

Mosquito madness

Speaking of that. A number of you have commented regarding the plague of mosquitoes we have seen that started about a week after Beryl hit. I can confirm myself that these are not your typical mosquitoes; these suckers are the size of Volkswagens and mean business. I had my assumptions, but I reached out to the Harris County Public Health Department to inquire how Beryl played a role. Dr. Max Vigilant, Director of the Mosquito & Vector Control Division gave me some answers. Here were my questions and Dr. Vigilant’s complete answers.

Q:  Is it our imagination, or have we seen an uptick in mosquitoes in the wake of Hurricane Beryl?
A: Yes, there was an increase in the number of “floodwater mosquitoes” after Beryl. These mosquitoes lay their eggs in soil, mud, grass, wooded areas, etc. Their eggs can stay dry. Once impacted by water, they will hatch. These mosquitoes prey on heavy rains, floods, and weather events.

Q: Why do you think we started noticing it about 6 days after the storm?
A: We noticed it several days after the storm because that is when they start hatching. As I mentioned, the eggs can withstand drying for a long time. As soon as water touches them, they hatch. Within 5 to 7 days, they will become adults. A typical cycle can take up to 10 days.

Why are you the way that you are?

Q: Do we expect this to level off?
A: Yes, it will be just like it did after the Derecho event in May. As temperatures rise and sunshine is present, many water bodies will dry up. This will reduce the number of floodwater mosquitoes as their habitat will dry off. We must remember that they will lay eggs in the moist areas and await the next rain event.

Q: What can people do to try to make their properties less hospitable to them?
A: People must clean up their surroundings and remember to “Tip, Toss, Take Action.”

  • Tip over open containers that hold water, especially after the rain.
  • Toss out those water-collecting containers they don’t need or don’t use.
  • Take Action by protecting yourself from mosquito bites. (Use an EPA-approved insect repellant, wear long sleeves and long pants when working outdoors, and clear out drains.)

Now that residents are cleaning up, they should store the debris, old fencing, etc., where they cannot collect or hinder water flow.

Thanks to Dr. Vigilant and Harris County Public Health for answering this for us! As a note: With a rainy pattern continuing over the next week, do as much as you can with respect to tipping and tossing above!

A very uncomfortable Wednesday in Houston, but rain chances begin to get going again

In brief: Houston begins a slow transition back to a wetter weather pattern today, with higher rain chances tomorrow and Friday. No severe weather is expected at this time, but we cannot completely rule it out. It will remain fairly hot and humid, but “less hot” weather and even better rain chances may arrive early next week.

Hot weather will continue today, but shower chances begin to increase, and those chances will stay with us into next week. As we try to get back to a sense of normalcy after Hurricane Beryl, Eric and I just want to highlight and thank our partners at Reliant for their continued support of our site, as well as the community. Reliant and NRG just announced a $2 million contribution for near-term and longer-term Hurricane Beryl relief and assistance, including charitable contributions, customer assistance, and more. We thank them for that and their continued support and partnership with Space City Weather!

Today

Conditions have been fairly dormant in the rain department the last couple days. That will begin to change today. We already have some showers offshore this morning, as well as near the coast in Galveston and Chambers Counties. Look for additional scattered showers and storms to pop up with daytime heating today. It will still be plenty hot and humid, so expect highs in the mid-90s.

Heat risk today will be in the “major” category across pockets of the area, which is to say it will be important for anyone still without power to find a place to stay cool. (NOAA NWS)

The added moisture will actually make today feel more uncomfortable than recent days as well. We still have about 50,000 customers without power in the area, so it will be another difficult day for those folks. We would strongly encourage continuing to check on those without power and ensure they have a cool place to go. The combination of heat and humidity will probably make today feel the worst that it has since Beryl.

Thursday and Friday

Both days will carry a pretty healthy chance of showers and thunderstorms. Storms will drop in from the north tomorrow afternoon and evening. Additional scattered storms will be with us Friday. While we are not currently highlighted in any severe weather risks for tomorrow or Friday these types of north to south moving storms can occasionally deliver a rogue severe storm or two. As I mused in the comments to someone yesterday, my five year old and I look at radar each evening (his doing, not mine!), and I’m always struck by how many random storms in the South can become severe in summertime. My point being: We aren’t highlighting severe weather risk the next few days, but it’s entirely possible we see something isolated stick out from the overall mess of showers and storms.

Highs will be in the mid-90s ahead of Thursday’s storms and near 90 on Friday with lows in the 70s.

Weekend

Both days will feature sun and clouds. We’ll probably see morning showers or storms near the coast spreading inland each late morning or afternoon. Not everyone will see rain, but many of us will, though hopefully it doesn’t totally ruin outdoor plans. Highs will be near 90 with lows in the 70s.

Monday and Tuesday

Rain chances increase again here as a more vigorous upper level system moves closer. This should lead to numerous to widespread showers and thunderstorms Monday and/or Tuesday with highs in the 80s.

Rain totals over the next 7 days look to be about 1 to 3 inches on average. Higher amounts are possible, and the highest totals look to be near Beaumont, Lake Charles, and the immediate coast. (Pivotal Weather)

Lows will remain in the 70s, as a high humidity air mass remains in control despite the cooler daytimes.

Rain chances should slowly settle down and temps slowly increase again by next weekend. All told, we’re probably looking at a widespread 1 to 3 inches of rainfall through next week with higher totals near the coast and lesser totals west and southwest of Houston.

If anyone wanted a repeat of last summer in Houston, you will have to look elsewhere

In brief: We’ll have one more pretty quiet day before rain chances begin to increase. This will lead to cooler weather and healthy, daily chances of rain beginning this weekend and continuing into much of next week. It won’t feel terrible for midsummer.

We managed 94 degrees at Bush yesterday and 93 at Hobby as fairly typical mid-summer weather continues. We’ve got one more day of it, and then the rumblings of change begin.

Today

Copy and paste yesterday’s weather for the most part.

Wednesday

Look for the day to start as a repeat of Monday and Tuesday, but by afternoon, shower chances will begin to increase. Scattered showers and storms are likely. Call it about a 30 to 40 percent chance or so. I might say that the highest chances will be south and east of Houston tomorrow. We’ll check in on this obviously tomorrow morning. Highs should peak in the low to mid 90s with lows in the 70s.

Thursday

We will have an additional 40 to 50 percent chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Prior to that, expect a mix of sun and clouds with highs in the low-90s. Lows will be in the mid-70s.

Friday

Here’s where I’d begin to expect scattered to more numerous showers and thunderstorms and some locally heavy rain. Temperatures may struggle to get to 90 on Friday, depending on the exact coverage and timing of storms.

The weather pattern about 20,000 feet up in the atmosphere between Saturday and Wednesday shows a pretty stout “dip” in the jet stream, or trough (in blue) carving out over the Plains and Texas, cooling temps and boosting rain chances. (Tropical Tidbits)

Weekend

Both Saturday and Sunday should see scattered showers and thunderstorms each afternoon. All of this will be caused by a cool front that should stall out, or really kind of wash out in our area. The location of the stall will help determine the exact focal point of storminess into the weekend, but most areas should see at least some rain between Thursday and Sunday and some areas will see several rounds of it as well.

Next week

It’s too soon to get super specific, but we will be seeing numerous shower and storm chances next week, at least through midweek before perhaps easing up some toward next weekend. We will probably have multiple days with highs failing to reach 90 degrees due to cloud cover and rain. Despite this, there will be little relief from the humidity which should remain high. So nighttime lows will continue to remain in the 70s. But the periodic rain and storms and the overall cooler air mass should help lead daytimes to feel not terrible for late July.

Total rainfall through next Tuesday morning should average 1 to 2 inches in much of the area. Lesser totals are possible west and north of about Katy. (Pivotal Weather)

We may also get a round or two of Saharan dust next week, and any rain can aid in minimizing those air quality impacts a bit too.

For those still powerless in Houston, uncomfortable weather to start the week, with changes on the horizon

In brief: Typical summer weather will be with us to start the week, but rain chances increase Wednesday afternoon and especially Thursday and Friday as a change in the pattern over Texas leads to potentially cooler temperatures and wetter weather.

Good morning, and we hope the situation has improved for you this weekend. I know there are still hundreds of thousands without power, a situation that remains frustrating and disappointing all around. We have had some modest fortune with the weather the last few days, with officially 90 on Saturday and 93 on Sunday. Last year this weekend was 99 and 98 degrees respectively. I’m certainly not trying to lessen the real complaints of extreme discomfort so many have endured, but we are lucky this isn’t even worse.

As we attempt to recover some degree of normalcy this week, the weather will stay pretty normal for July as well, but that may begin to change late week — and not in the hotter direction either.

Today and Tuesday

Today and tomorrow will essentially be cut from the same cloth: Look for sun, clouds, and the requisite 20 percent chance of afternoon thunderstorms as the sea breeze nudges inland. It will probably be a touch hotter today and tomorrow than we saw this weekend, with low to mid-90s. Heat will be on the higher side, and for those of you still without power and for the line workers trying to get you back, it will be important to take it as easy as possible, stay hydrated, and catch a break in some AC whenever possible. Here is a list of Houston area cooling centers and shelters if you need locations.

The intensity of the heat the next few days will be considered “high,” peaking probably on Wednesday before a notable drop late week. (Weather Bell)

Wednesday

Rain chances will probably nudge up closer to 40 or 50 percent on Wednesday afternoon. As high pressure amplifies over the Four Corners region, we end up on the “downstream” side of that, where disturbances can swing through and help enhance our rain chances a bit. Highs will be in the 90s with higher humidity. Low temps continue in the upper-70s.

Thursday and beyond

The trickiest parts of the forecast come late this week. A rather aggressive trough in the upper atmosphere for July and potential cool front will likely start to infringe on Southeast Texas. For us that means much higher rain chances and perhaps somewhat cooler temperatures. For now, expect highs near 90 or in the low-90s. But rain chances will bump up to around 50 to 60 percent. Some of the rain could be locally heavy late week.

The Houston area is in a marginal (level 1 of 4) risk of excessive rainfall for Friday. (NOAA WPC)

We’ll keep track of this through the week to see how it all evolves, but have the umbrella very handy Thursday and Friday.

Beyond that, the odds of below average temperatures actually go up a good bit for next weekend and a decent chunk of next week too. Now, below average temperatures in late July in Houston aren’t open the windows and air out the joint stuff. However, this will be welcome I think after our recent bout of heat and minimal electricity.

The 6 to 10 day temperature outlook shows pretty healthy odds of below average temperatures in Texas, with any real legitimate heat confined to the interior West. (NOAA CPC)

We will take what we can get. This will likely also come with continued daily rain chances. Last summer this is not.

Tropics

A quick note on the tropics only to say breathe easy and that it looks quiet for the next 7 to 10 days. We’ll have some additional color at The Eyewall on this later today.