Rain and storms overnight give way to a decent Saturday afternoon and a windy Sunday

Summary: Dense fog this morning will give way to some clearing. Rain arrives tonight, heavy at times after midnight and early Saturday morning. Thunder and lightning are likely, and a couple storms could be strong to severe. After an inch or two of rain and some ponding, we’ll see much nicer weather Saturday afternoon, followed by a windy Sunday. Some cooler weather arrives early next week.

Also, we’re going through one of those phases like in December where we have had enough high clouds to occasionally allow for spectacular sunrises and sunsets.

You can always email us or message us photos on Instagram or Twitter or whatnot!

Today

We’ve got a generally nice, calm day ahead. There is some dense fog this morning, so through about 9 AM or so, you may need to contend with that. Tomball visibility is a quarter-mile as I write this, as is Conroe, Wharton, and Colorado County. So give yourself a minute or two extra getting out the door. Otherwise, we’ll see sun and clouds with highs in the low to mid-70s today and a bit of humidity. Clouds become a little more common later, and some showers may begin as early as sunset.

Tonight and Saturday

Look for rain to become a little more persistent or heavier after midnight tonight. Periods of rain and embedded thunderstorms will continue overnight into Saturday morning, and most of it will actually be done before Noon tomorrow. We may even see a return to sunshine tomorrow afternoon.

Anywhere from an inch or two should fall on average across the area overnight and Saturday morning. No serious flooding is expected, but watch for ponding on roads tomorrow morning. (Pivotal Weather)

In terms of rain totals, most will see 1 to 2 inches on average. The Matagorda Bay and Corpus Christi areas will probably see less than that. But this will be another healthy rainmaker for most of the region. We don’t expect much in the way of severe weather right now, but a storm or two could become strong to severe early Saturday. The main issue would be strong winds briefly in those storms. We’ll probably have a fair bit of lightning and thunder though.

Low temps tonight will dip into the low-60s, with highs tomorrow in the 70s. Overall, your morning plans will be dicey tomorrow, but the afternoon looks perfectly fine we think.

Sunday and Monday

Both Sunday and Monday should see a good deal of sunshine, though a few extra clouds may pepper the sky Monday. The big thing you’ll notice are winds and cooler temperatures. Highs will be in the 60s on Sunday and lower-60s Monday, with lows in the 40s and 50s. So we take a step back cooler here. But the wind will be whipping a bit on Sunday. Look for west to northwest winds of 15 to 25 mph and gusts to 30 mph or a bit stronger. Monday should be calmer, though there will be lingering wind over the water.

Tuesday morning will have a little chill in the air with 40s in most spots. (Pivotal Weather)

Rest of next week

After a cool start to the week, we’ll warm back up later next week with temps back into the 70s by Wednesday or Thursday. Our next chance at rain probably arrives next Thursday or Friday. It does appear that a generally wet pattern is expected heading into the second week of the forecast.

It is expected to be generally wetter than normal heading into mid-February, but it’s too soon to say exactly how that will play out. (NOAA)

Exactly what it means is TBD, as these are probabilistic maps, which say that the forecast leans above normal. But in general, it looks like next Friday or Saturday-ish will be our next decent chance at rain. We continue to get questions about mid-month cold chances. As of now, we don’t think anything significant will impact Texas, but we’ll keep watching.

Dewpoints starting to rise ahead of Saturday storm chances in Houston

Summary: After a few days of gorgeous weather Houston’s pattern has begun to change with a more southerly flow. By late Friday night this is likely to produce some showers and thunderstorms, which will likely peak in activity on Saturday morning. Then we should see sunny and cooler weather through the middle of next week.

I also want to thank everyone for their kind words about our sponsorship agreement with Reliant, and the slight tweaks in our site design. Essentially we’ve changed the font for headlines, and updated the header image at the top of the page. For those who don’t know, I essentially created Space City Weather on a Friday night in October 2015, in a few hours, ahead of some storms. So the (now dated) header image was rushed. I grabbed a NASA image of the Space Shuttle carrier aircraft flying over the Houston skyline, cropped it, added some text, and called it done. The new design looks more professional and updates the “space” iconography to the International Space Station. I loved the Shuttle, but it did retire 12 years ago. Our friends and neighbors are flying on the station at this very moment, so it embodies Space City.

A southerly flow is now firmly in place for the next couple of days. (Weather Bell)

Thursday

After some patchy fog lifts this morning we’re going to see a partly sunny day. Temperatures will again be mild, reaching about 70 degrees. As mentioned above, the winds will be from the south at 5 to 10 mph, and this will start to raise humidity levels a bit. But with dewpoints in the 50s it will still feel reasonably dry. Lows tonight will drop into the mid-50s.

Friday

Temperatures will again rise to around 70 degrees, or just above. Skies will be partly sunny. It will be a little more humid than Thursday, and a little more breezy. But still nice. While I can’t entirely rule out some light showers on Friday evening, I think the rain will hold off for the most part until after midnight. So any Friday evening activities you have look good to go at this point.

Saturday

An upper level disturbance, along with the next cold front, will begin affecting our weather early on Saturday. While we’re not fully in the realm of high resolution modeling yet, my sense is that we’ll see on-and off showers and thunderstorms overnight, with a line of storms pushing through some time on Saturday morning. After this line of storms we may see a few lingering showers into the afternoon hours.

How strong will the storms be? As there will be a fair amount of shear, I can see the potential for some damaging winds. The other concern is heavy rainfall. It still looks like most of the area will see 1 to 3 inches of rainfall, but the good news is that the storms are likely to be fairly progressive in moving from west to east. So I don’t see a whole lot of training. The potential for heavy rainfall is generally greater to the east of Houston.

Excessive rainfall chances for Saturday. (NOAA)

Drier air will start to filter into Houston on Saturday afternoon, so we should see at least some partly sunny skies later in the day. Temperatures will likely be in the upper 60s. Lows on Saturday night will drop to around 50 degrees in Houston, with cooler conditions for outlying areas.

Sunday

Sunday looks sunny and pleasant, with highs in the upper 60s—but there’s a catch. We’re going to see an additional push of cooler and drier air, and this will result in a windy day, with gusts up to about 30 mph from the north. These winds will persist overnight, when temperatures drop into the 40s, and Monday morning.

Next week

We’ll see sunny and cooler conditions, with nights in the 40s, through the middle of the week. After that daytime temperatures will warm into the low 70s, probably, into the weekend. Conditions look mild throughout, with a slight chance of rain returning by next Saturday or Sunday.

Reliant extends its sponsorship of Space City Weather for three years—here’s why that matters

Hi everyone. Matt and I are excited to announce a three-year extension of our long-running relationship with Reliant, which will extend their exclusive sponsorship through 2026. As some of you may recall, they came on board a few months before Hurricane Harvey in 2017, and we’ve never looked back. Houston is Reliant’s hometown, their president Elizabeth Killinger and their employees are avid SCW supporters, and they totally get what we’re about. (She and I filmed a video you should check out). This is great news for readers as well, because Reliant could not be a better partner to keep Space City Weather powered up for years to come.

Here’s why: 

Clean interface: Thanks to this sponsorship, we never have to run any intrusive advertising on this website. That means no autoplay video garbage. No pop-ups. No tracking. None of that nonsense. Instead, you’ll see tasteful branding on our pages and in our products, and the (very) occasional sponsor message that provides useful information on energy efficiency or new initiatives. Seriously, Reliant is an awesome, hands-off sponsor that lets us focus on what we do best.

No hype: Because of the nature of our agreement, we don’t feel pressured to chase clicks for the sake of chasing clicks. We are not getting paid for the traffic we generate. (Typically, online advertisers pay per impression on readers). This is why you sometimes see sensationalist content online. It sells. Anyway, we’re empowered to simply write what we think needs to be written, and nothing more. There will be some Mondays when we tell you to ignore the forecast for the rest of the week, and Reliant is fully supportive of that. 

Cool stuff: Thanks to our sponsorship, we’ve been able to do some pretty cool stuff. A recent example that comes to mind is hosting a Fall Day celebration the last two years. Reliant has entirely underwritten these events and organized them for us. We’ve also done some great giveaways, including four full air conditioning systems, Houston Astros tickets and jerseys and more. All of this is in partnership with Reliant and their team is behind it all. It brings an element of fun to the awesome community we’ve built here. 

Certainty: With a three-year agreement, we can continue to invest in Space City Weather, our app, and other initiatives. And we’re already making plans to do just that. We’re not going anywhere, and it’s great to have Reliant at our side.

So yeah, we’re pretty pumped to continue working with Reliant in the coming years.

A couple of more fine days before some rain showers Friday night and Saturday

Summary: The forecast remains largely the same, as we’ll see gradually warming and generally mild weather through Friday. Beginning Friday evening, and lasting into Saturday afternoon, there will be an elevated chance of rain showers and thunderstorms as the next front passes through. This front will bring us cooler and drier air through the middle of next week.

Also, be sure and check back later this morning for an important site announcement!

Texas temperatures range from the 20s in the Panhandle to 50s in the Valley this morning. (Weather Bell)

Wednesday

Today will bring more mostly sunny, pleasant, and fine conditions. Expect highs of around 70 degrees with light westerly winds. The winds of change will begin to blow, if only slightly, tonight as they shift to come from the south. This will herald the beginnings of an onshore flow, but temperatures will still drop to nearly 50 degrees overnight.

Thursday

Expect another nice day, with partly sunny skies and highs of around 70 degrees. The air will be a little bit more humid, but we’ll still be fairly dry. Winds will be a bit more pronounced from the south. Overnight lows will drop into the mid-50s.

Friday

Skies will be partly to mostly sunny, with highs in the mid-70s. I think rain chances will hold off during the daytime, and probably most of the evening as well. But some time on Friday night, perhaps after midnight, we’ll see showers and thunderstorms advance into the Houston metro area from the west.

Saturday

We’ll get a better handle on the details in the next day or two, but we can expect widespread showers through the morning hours and into the early afternoon. In terms of accumulations we’re looking at 1 to 3 inches, which is not a whole lot, but our grounds are still pretty wet from rains last week. Highs on Saturday should be about 70 degrees, with clearing skies likely during the afternoon hours. Lows will likely drop to around 50 degrees on Saturday night as humidity levels drop behind the front.

Pretty much all of East Texas will pick up 1 to 3 inches of rain from the front. (Weather Bell)

Sunday

This will be a colder and drier day with sunny skies. It does look windy, with gusts up to 30 mph from the north. Highs will top out in the 60s, with overnight lows dropping to around 50 degrees overnight.

Next week

Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday all look cooler with highs in the 60s and sunny skies. We should see the return of more clouds and warmer temperatures with highs in the 70s toward the end of next week. There’s no strong signal for rain after Saturday.