See lightning over Houston in an incredible new way

Back in November, meteorologists were euphoric as a satellite named GOES-R (now GOES-16) was launched into orbit. “GOES” stands for “Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite.” For meteorologists, it represents the future of weather observation from space. The satellite is now sending back imagery and data in an experimental, non-operational capacity. GOES-16 will be declared operational and unleashed for use in forecasting and observations later this year.

There’s a lot to love in GOES-16. We’ll have higher resolution imagery from a satellite than we’ve ever had in North America. In fact, at times, the satellite will be capable of sending back pictures every 30 seconds. By comparison, that’s more frequent than what a land-based Doppler radar typically scans. It will have 16 bands of imagery compared to five bands on the current GOES fleet. These satellites will give us more to look at, more to study, and more high quality data that will be ingested in weather models to help with short and medium range forecasts. It will also have the ability to see lightning.

Geostationary Lightning Mapper

The geostationary lightning mapper, or GLM, attached to GOES-16 can detect changes in a scene that indicate there’s lightning present. It’s the first such operational lightning mapper in orbit. The GLM will give us a capability to see and study lightning in a brand new way. It will also allow us to build up a historical database of lightning across much of the Western Hemisphere, including the tropics and deep oceans, where we lack a lot of good observational data. Best of all, it will allow for some really cool visualizations of storms.

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After Sunday’s heavy rains, more storms possible Tuesday in Houston

Obviously, the big story this weekend was heavier than anticipated rainfall on Sunday. Our Friday forecast for the weekend was not particularly good. We missed on the potential for heavy rainfall and storms on Sunday, when some areas of southern Harris County recorded as much as 6 inches of rain. While there were no major flooding events as a result of the rain, and most of the region received 1.5 inches of rain or less, it is nonetheless regretful. It also serves as a reminder of the challenges of predicting heavy rainfall along the Gulf of Mexico.

Rain accumulation from early Sunday through early Monday. (NOAA)

Monday

It’s another very warm morning for early spring, with low temperatures only falling to around 70 degrees for most of the Houston area. After Sunday’s widespread showers, moisture levels remain fairly high over the region, but there’s not the same forcing to really drive the development of rain. As a result I think we’ll see some scattered rain showers later this morning and afternoon, but nothing too widespread. Highs will be around 80.

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Mixed reviews for Houston’s weekend weather

Good morning, and happy Go Texan Day, y’all! Today looks great, but this weekend should get mixed reviews, as we’ll be dealing with some rain chances dampening things a bit. On to the details.

Today & Saturday morning

Today will be a fine day. We are starting off a bit chilly this morning, with a lot of 40s on the board north and west of Houston.

Another cool start this morning, with plenty of 40s and low 50s in the area. (NOAA/NWS)

 

It looks mostly sunny and dry this morning and afternoon. We’ll have some high clouds skirting through from time to time, but overall it looks to be a nice day. Temperatures should get up to near 70 degrees with a modest breeze.

It should be a quiet evening, though it won’t be quite as cool as this morning or Thursday morning. Temperatures should start Saturday about five to ten degrees warmer than those days. Clouds will begin to increase tonight as well, leading to a mostly cloudy, but likely quiet Saturday morning. It *should* be good weather for the Downtown Rodeo Parade or the Rodeo Run. We can’t entirely rule out a sprinkle or some light rain, but steadier rain should hold off until after Noon.

Saturday’s rain *should* hold off until after the Rodeo Run and Downtown Parade.

 

You’ll still want to keep tabs on the forecast before you head out in the morning, just to be safe.

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After two splendid days, rain returns to Houston this weekend

A sense of normalcy has returned to Houston this morning, as temperatures have fallen into the upper 40s across most of the region. This will be but a fairly brief respite, however, from the warmer weather of late. Also, we’ll probably see rain this weekend.

Today and Friday

In the wake of Wednesday’s cold front, pleasant weather will predominate for Houston, with highs in the upper 60s to 70 degrees, and cooler nights. How cool? Temperatures tonight could fall into the low- to mid-40s for many inland areas, and this will bring a real chill into the air. Friday night will be warmer, with the onshore flow starting to resume, but I still expect lows to fall to around 50 degrees for most areas. Skies will be partly to mostly sunny, with winds around 10 to 15 mph.

Saturday and Sunday

As the onshore flow resumes, rain chances will return to the metro area this weekend. The temperature forecast, at least, seems fairly clear. Both days will see highs from the upper 60s to low 70s, dependent somewhat on cloud cover, and lows probably down to around 60 degrees. The difficult part of the forecast comes in determining rainfall, which will depend upon the evolution of a low pressure system moving up into the region from south Texas on Saturday. The forecast models just don’t have a good handle on this yet.

Estimated rainfall totals for Houston for this coming weekend. (Weather Bell)

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