If you want to feel like it’s Christmas outside, soak up this weekend’s weather

In brief: Houston will experience three more days of cooler weather before a warmer pattern sets in, and likely will prevail for nearly all of the remainder of 2024. We’re still anticipating mild conditions on Christmas Day, with the possibility of some showers on Christmas Eve.

You’ve got to go all the way down to the Rio Grande Valley to find mild conditions this morning. (Weather Bell)

Baby, it’s cold outside

For a lot of people, myself included, holiday weather should feel chilly outside. Well, as you’ll see in the forecast below, Christmas Day in Houston is not going to feel like the holidays in the sense that it will not be cold. Conditions will feel rather mild, instead. However we do have some decidedly chilly weather in store for now through Sunday, so if that’s your thing, make plans for some outdoor activities, sweaters, and hot cocoa over the next few days. Speaking of holiday activities outside, a reminder that our longtime partner, Reliant, is known for lighting up the holidays and is bringing you several family fun experiences to check out!

Reliant worked with their friends at Houston Botanic Garden to offer Space City Weather readers a discount code on Radiant Nature tickets. I reviewed my experience at Radiant Nature with my family here, which was quite a delight. For $2 off up to two tickets, use code “RNSCW.” Click here for tickets through the remainder of 2024. Click here for tickets in January and February of 2025.

Additionally, Galaxy Lights, presented by Reliant at Space Center Houston runs through January 5 and with Reliant’s sponsorship of Space City Weather, you can get $5 off your tickets if you use code: GLSCW24!

Friday

Temperatures have generally fallen into the upper 40s this morning, with light winds from the north. Today will be pleasant, with high temperatures reaching the upper 60s this afternoon and plenty of sunshine. We’ll see an uptick in winds this afternoon as a reinforcing cold front arrives from the north, so if you notice some gusts that’s what’s coming in. The front will bring drier air in, and this will help temperatures drop to about 40 degrees in Houston tonight. Conditions will be even colder for far inland areas, so if you’re going to be out and about on Saturday morning bring a jacket.

Saturday

A cold and sunny day. High temperatures may struggle to climb beyond the upper 50s for some locations, but with light winds and sunshine it should not feel all that cold. Saturday night will be chilly again, with lows in the lower 40s in Houston—so a bit warmer than Friday night. But not much.

Sunday

Another sunny day. However, with high pressure departing to the east we’ll start to see winds coming more from the southeast. So daytime temperatures will probably reach the upper 60s, and then Sunday night will be warmer, in the 50s. Some clouds may start to float in as well.

Current forecast for high temperatures on Christmas Day. (Weather Bell)

Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday

The period leading toward Christmas Day will bring a warming trend, with highs generally in the lower 70s. With a slightly more unsettled pattern we should see some decent rain chances on Christmas Eve and the night before the holiday. However at this point Christmas Day will probably see partly sunny skies and only a low-end chance for some scattered showers. Anyway, it won’t be too hot, and it won’t be too cold.

The last week of the year should be much warmer than normal. (Pivotal Weather)

Rest of next week

The final week of the year looks to be fairly warm for late December. Generally we probably can expect highs in the 70s and lows in the 50s to about 60 degrees. Some decent rain chances will be in the cards, but I don’t anticipate anything that might bring flooding or that kind of thing. Some sort of front probably will come pushing through right before the end of the year, but whether that’s New Year’s Eve or New Year’s Day or something else is hard to say.

Have a great weekend, everyone.

A crisp end of the week in Houston before a Christmas week warm-up

In brief: Cool air is settling back into the Houston area this morning, and a secondary push of it arrives Friday night. Look for increasing sunshine today, then plenty of sunshine through Sunday. Clouds and some scattered rain chances do come back next week, including potentially for Christmas Eve and Day. Temperatures will also surge back into the 70s.

Today & Friday

We’re starting off the morning on a cool, crisp note across the Houston area.

Temperatures are mostly in the 40s this morning with some isolated pockets of 50s, especially south and east and 30s to the west or north. (NOAA)

There are a couple pockets of low clouds that need to scour out this morning, but the trend today will be toward increasing sunshine with highs into the 60s in most spots.

Tomorrow looks pretty similar overall. Sunshine should dominate the picture, with highs generally in the 60s and lows generally in the 30s to low-40s. A light freeze cannot be entirely ruled out way north of the city, probably up toward Crockett or Madisonville by Saturday morning. But no freezing temps are expected in the city or suburbs as it stands right now.

Saturday morning lows will be in the 30s and 40s everywhere with a slight chance of a light freeze north of Huntsville and into the Piney Woods. (Pivotal Weather)

Saturday and Sunday

A weak secondary push of cold air arrives Friday night to extend the cool weather into the weekend. Our coolest day will probably be Saturday, also conveniently the Winter Solstice (at 3:21 AM for those of you looking to close out a fun Friday night on a celebratory note). Look for highs in the 50s, maybe low-60s south of Houston. Sunday should be a few ticks warmer with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s. Both days look sun-filled.

Monday

Onshore flows kicks back in next week, and we’ll probably see a few more clouds on Monday in addition to some sun. We’ll ramp high temperatures back up close to 70 in the afternoon with lows in the 40s and 50s.

Christmas Eve

Timing-wise, the next storm system to impact the state is a bit suboptimal, moving in on Christmas Eve. The good news is that we do not expect a ton of rain and storms, but unfortunately there will be at least some rain and storms around on Christmas Eve that could play a role with any events on Tuesday. We move temps up to the low to mid-70s.

The NWS National Blend of Models suggests that after the colder weather this weekend, we won’t see cold air again for, well, for a while. (Weather Bell)

Christmas Day and beyond

Well, Christmas Day looks fairly similar to Christmas Eve right now with warm temps and some scattered rain chances. Morning lows should be in the 50s to near 60 on Christmas, with daytime highs ramping up into the mid-70s. We could get a weak cool front on Thursday with a chance of more numerous showers and storms and a slight cooldown for Friday. Then we should warm back up with at least a non-zero chance for an 80 again somewhere in our area next weekend or so. Our next meaningful front is at least showing on the models around New Years Day, but obviously that’s still 12 days out so don’t bank on that just yet.

Thick fog returns as muggy conditions continue ahead of a cold front this afternoon

In brief: Houston’s fling with warm, muggy, and at-times foggy weather will end today with the passage of a cold front this afternoon. This will usher in several days of sunny, cooler weather with ample dry air. A warming trend returns next week, but the overall outlook for Christmas Day is mild, with rain chances near zero.

Sea fog

Conditions are ideal this morning for the development of dense fog, and we are seeing just that with light winds and saturated air. Visibility in some locations is as low as one-quarter of a mile, and it is making driving hazardous and slower than normal. And hey, driving in Houston at rush hour is already pretty slow and hazardous, you know? The fog should dissipate by a couple of hours after sunrise, and with drier air moving in this afternoon it will no longer be a concern for awhile.

One look at pre-sunrise temperatures this morning, and it’s not difficult to find the front. (Weather Bell)

Wednesday

After the fog clears this morning skies should be partly to mostly sunny, and highs will likely reach at least the lower 70s today with plenty of humidity. The front should push into northwestern regions by around noon today, as a broken line of showers (with perhaps a few thunderstorms). This line will progress rapidly toward the coast, and likely be offshore by the mid- to late-afternoon hours. Gusty northerly winds will follow, quickly dropping dewpoints. Temperatures will fall to around 60 degrees by sunset, and most of Houston will bottom out in the upper 40s by early Thursday.

Thursday and Friday

These will be a pair of fine, clear days with high temperatures in the low- to mid-60s. Winds will generally be light, from the north. Thursday night will again see lows in the upper 40s, but Friday night into Saturday morning will be chillier due to a reinforcing front. Expect some inland areas to reach the mid- to upper-30s.

Low temperatures on Saturday morning will be rather cold. (Weather Bell)

Saturday

This will be the coldest day of the forecast period, with high temperatures in the upper 50s to perhaps 60 degrees, with plenty of sunshine. Lows Saturday night will drop to the low 40s in Houston.

Sunday

Another sunny day, with highs in the low 60s probably, and a bit warmer conditions Sunday night.

Next week

Most of next week looks warmer, with highs generally in the 70s, lows in the upper 50s, and modestly humid air. The models continue to suggest that some rain will be possible later next week, but for now it very likely will hold off for Christmas Day.

Winter returns to Houston on Wednesday night, but the week of Christmas should be mild

In brief: The overall pattern remains the same, with a little more than one day of muggy and warm weather ahead of a cold front that will usher in much more seasonable weather. This front will bring cooler conditions for the rest of the week, and into early next week. However we’ll see a warming trend by Christmas Day next week, when conditions look to be fairly mild.

Tuesday

We’re starting out this morning with fairly widespread fog due to temperatures nearly matching dewpoints, and calm winds. It may persist for an hour or two after sunrise. After that, if you liked Monday’s weather, you’re in luck. Today will be similar, with high temperatures in the upper 70s to 80 degrees, and partly sunny skies. We’ll see a few isolated showers this afternoon, with the barest chance of a thunderstorm. Lows tonight will drop into the mid-60s, with partly cloudy skies. Expect the possibility of some fog again tonight and on Wednesday morning.

HRRR model forecast for 2 pm CT on Wednesday shows the potential for a broken line of showers moving into Houston ahead of the front. (Weather Bell)

Wednesday

Houston will experience the same muggy pattern on Wednesday ahead of a cold front. The timing of the front is a bit uncertain still, but I expect a broken line of showers to advance into Houston from the northwest, perhaps reaching areas such as Katy and the Woodlands around noon-ish, and the coast during the late afternoon hours. Although the showers look to be hit or miss, the region will experience some fairly stiff northwesterly winds almost immediately with the front’s passage. Expect gusts up to 25 mph or so as drier air blows in. Temperatures should drop into the 50s after sunset, and most of the region away from the coast should drop into the upper 40s overnight as skies clear.

Thursday and Friday

These will be a pair of mostly sunny days with high temperatures generally in the mid-60s, and mostly light northerly winds. Thursday night should drop into the upper 40s, but Friday night looks colder with an additional surge of cooler air. Most of the region should drop to around 40 degrees, with some inland areas hitting the upper 30s.

Saturday morning looks to be the coldest of the week.

Saturday and Sunday

Mostly sunny and cooler weather continues through the weekend. High temperatures on Saturday will top out at about 60 degrees, with another cold night, followed by mid-60s on Sunday, and a slightly warmer night. We have zero weather concerns about weather during the final weekend before Christmas.

The period from Christmas Day through New Years looks warm for all. (Pivotal Weather)

Next week

We continue to expect to see a warming trend beginning next week, which will probably last at least through Christmas Day. There remains some uncertainty in the details, but my best guess for weather by next Wednesday is lows in the upper 50s, highs in the 70s, modest humidity, and partly sunny skies. It’s way too early to have any confidence in whether it will rain or not on the holiday, but it remains a possibility.