Pleasant weather this week, but strong storms possible after that

From now on, for the convenience of mobile users, I’m going to begin each post with a brief summary: Houston will have several pleasant fall days before a slight chance of rain returns on Sunday. Strong storms are possible on Monday and Tuesday ahead of significant front.

TODAY-SATURDAY

After 0.1 to 0.5 inches of rain fell across most of the Houston area on Wednesday night showers are moving out of the area, and being replaced by much drier air. Highs climbed into the mid-80s for much of Houston on Wednesday, and temperatures for now through Saturday will feel much cooler, in the upper 60s to about 70 degrees. Nighttime temperatures will also feel great, in the low 50s. Expect partly sunny days.

Saturday should be the nicest weekend day in several weeks.

SUNDAY

After a cool start in the low 50s, we’ll begin to see a more southerly flow later on Sunday which should increase humidity levels and will bring a chance of rain back into the area. I don’t have a great handle on conditions for Sunday, but my guess is that most areas won’t see significant rain. Highs likely will be around 70 degrees.

MONDAY-TUESDAY

This is when the forecast gets more interesting. At this time a very potent upper-level low pressure system should move into Texas, bringing lift and unstable air. The system can be seen prominently in this map of the mid-levels of the atmosphere on Tuesday.

Map showing pressure heights in the mid-level of the atmosphere on Tuesday evening. (Weather Bell)
Map showing pressure heights in the mid-level of the atmosphere on Tuesday evening. (Weather Bell)

 

What exactly this means for Houston on Monday and Tuesday isn’t yet clear. But there’s the potential for several inches of rain, severe thunderstorms and possibly even isolated tornadoes. Over the next couple of days the details of this forecast should come into better focus, but for now it’s just safe to say parts of Texas, including Houston, will face the threat of severe weather early next week.

Stay tuned.

Posted at 7:30 a.m. Thursday

7 thoughts on “Pleasant weather this week, but strong storms possible after that”

  1. You must mean for the convenience of people with short attention spans because I read this every morning on my phone with no probs. Your posts are concise and to the point anyway.

    Thanks so much for taking the time to write these. I don’t even check my WC app anymore.

  3. Now the question is whether to turn my sprinklers back on. It’s not hot, the yard should be fine until Monday or Tuesday. The fall flowers, on the other hand…

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