It has been a wet week for southeast Texas, from Houston over to Beaumont, with much of the area receiving 5 to 15 inches of rainfall. Although these rains have at times been a nuisance, they’ve generally been good for the area as we head into mid-July. Now, during the hottest part of the year, we start out with wet soils and a diminished chance of a drought developing. This is a good thing.
Atmospheric moisture levels are a bit lower, but there’s still enough around that we’re likely to see some scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon—and embedded within these we may well see some brief, heavier downpours. However, skies should be mostly sunny for the most part, with highs in the low 90s for Houston.
Wednesday and Thursday
The story remains more or less the same, with mostly sunny skies for most of the day, and highs in the low- to mid-90s. At the same time, we still can’t rule out the possibility of some showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon hours as high pressure won’t come to dominate our weather just yet.
Friday, Saturday, and Sunday
The weekend forecast remains a bit uncertain. Lacking a particularly strong signal, I think the best bet is to expect the possibility of some scattered showers on each day, with the best chances (maybe 40 percent) on Saturday afternoon. None of these storms look to be particularly long-lived, but if you’ve got plans this weekend be aware they may get disrupted by a brief shower. Otherwise, expect partly to mostly sunny skies, with highs in the low- to mid-90s.
At some point in the next five to seven days we’re going to see high pressure move into the region, and accordingly most of next week looks drier (in terms of rainfall), with highs in the mid- to (eek) possibly upper 90s.