Three more warm days until fall returns to Houston

Houston faces three more warm days before a cool front knocks us out of this warm weather pattern and into much more fall-like conditions for most of next week. The forecast for Thanksgiving remains about as clear as gravy.

Thursday and Friday

We’ll see some possibly foggy mornings each day, and then warm days with highs of around 80 degrees. We can’t rule out some scattered, light rain on Thursday afternoon, but chances of this are pretty small. Nights will be muggy, with lows only falling into the upper 60s. On Friday southerly winds could be fairly gusty across the area.

Saturday

A cold front is coming on Saturday, but the day will start out warm, and highs will probably reach about 80 degrees for most of the area. I’d peg the front’s arrival at sometime in the afternoon for most of the city, with it perhaps moving off the coast around sunset. Some scattered showers are possible with the front’s passage, but any accumulations should be slight. A northerly wind will bring immediately cooler and drier air into the region and overnight lows should fall to around 50 degrees.

Sunday and Monday

Cool, dry, sunny and lovely fall days with highs in the 60s. Overnight lows will depend on your proximity to the coast, with 40s well inland, and upper 50s closer to the water.

Tuesday and beyond

The forecast models are still struggling with how to handle weather in the Houston area next week—particularly with the timing of a front and precipitation that will proceed it. I think highs will get back into the low 70s by Tuesday or so, and rain chances will begin to tick upward. What happens after that will depend upon the evolution of the next front. For Thanksgiving, therefore, we still have to give a range of high temperatures, which most likely will fall between 55 degrees and 75 degrees. Right now I’m leaning toward a high in the 60s, with rain on Wednesday before a front moves through and dries things out for Thanksgiving itself. But the timing of all this makes the forecast tricky. Sorry! I know a lot of you have big plans riding on the Turkey Day forecast.

Weather Ready

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