A series of cold fronts will toy with Houston over the next week

Over the next week or so, southeast Texas is going to be visited or perhaps taunted by several cold fronts. We still have questions regarding the exact timing of most of them, but we can continue to point to some windows of when they’re most likely. Our first one arrives later today. Let’s break it down.

Today

Our first cold front is still off to the north, steadily heading this way. That won’t arrive until later, and ahead of it, look for a few showers or perhaps a thunderstorm through the day. Many places will probably stay dry, but in general, the odds of storms may increase a bit late this afternoon. More of the same temperature-wise, with 80s and fairly uncomfortable humidity.

The front should arrive in the northwest suburbs late this afternoon and in the immediate Houston area after 4-5 PM or so. Behind the front we’ll see temperatures drop off 5 or 10 degrees, and you’ll notice a fairly brisk breeze out of the north.

Weekend

Saturday morning will start off much cooler than we’ve had in recent days. Many places will start in the 50s, with 60s south and east of Houston.

For those looking for a more autumn feel, Saturday morning will provide low temperatures that fit the script a bit better. (NOAA forecast via Weather Bell)

Expect a good deal of cloud cover tomorrow morning. We should see increasing sunshine in the afternoon. High temperatures will top off in the mid-70s in most places. If clouds are a bit more stubborn, we may not get out of the upper-60s, however.

Onshore flow resumes later Saturday, and the humidity will slowly inch back up into Sunday. Morning lows on Sunday will be in the 60s in most places. With a mix of clouds and sun, we’ll probably make it to 80 degrees or a couple degrees warmer on Sunday afternoon. We’ll mention that a passing shower cannot be entirely ruled out Sunday, though it’s likely to be dry in most places.

Next week

Things turn very, very messy from a confidence in details perspective on Monday and Tuesday. Another cold front pushes into the Houston area, but it appears that this one is going to stall out right over the city, almost perfectly over US-59/I-69. This means clouds, perhaps some sun, and at least a chance of showers and storms. Temperatures later Monday and Tuesday may be rather variable across the area with the east side perhaps 10 to 15 degrees warmer than the west side of the region with high humidity south and east and lower humidity north and west. This can be seen when you look at forecast dewpoints from the European model.

Forecast dewpoints from the European model show the front, the boundary between more humid and less humid air straddling the Houston area from late Monday into early Wednesday. (Pivotal Weather)

Notice how the boundary between the more humid air (in purple and dark turquoise) and less humid air (in green) basically straddles Houston for most of Tuesday before shifting back west (meaning everyone warms up a bit) on Wednesday. Basically, this is a front that taunts us mostly.

After it pushes back west on Wednesday, look for a warm day. The front should finally get a shove through the entire area by Thursday or Friday. I don’t want to commit to a day just yet because modeling has handled fronts in the days 5 to 8 range quite poorly this autumn. But we still believe we’ll get a clean cold front passage late next week, hopefully setting up a nice daylight saving time weekend. More on that Monday!

In case you missed it, today is our fifth anniversary at Space City Weather! It’s a privilege to be part of this, and thanks to Eric for keeping me around these last five years. We have some fun things planned down the line, and as always we’ll be here when you need us.

36 thoughts on “A series of cold fronts will toy with Houston over the next week”

  2. Happy anniversary! We are so lucky to have Eric and Matt on our side interpreting our crazy Houston weather in a sane manner. Thank you and here’s to many more!

  4. Thank you. Your forecast presentations are easy to comprehend and rather humorous at times. Happy Birthday guys.

  8. Congratulations on five years. We’re glad Space City Weather is around. It’s an important part of Houston.

  10. Happy 5th birth-versary! You guys are amazing and continue to be my only source for weather each day. Congratulations on this milestone.

  12. Happy actual 5-year anniversary! SCW is my go-to every morning! No TV weather news hype for me – who needs that noise?

    Keep up the great work and know that you have a ton of loyal fans out here.

  13. Happy Anniversary! So glad to be able to read your engaging and informative post each day. Thanks for always letting us know what’s happening with the weather – even when it means extra hours for you.

  14. Happy Anniversary, Eric & Matt! You have been a Godsend, & I appreciate you so much! The first thing I do each morning when I get up is grab a mug of coffee & read your report. Can’t start my day without you!
    Wishing you many more years & looking forward to the fun things ahead & riding out our crazy weather with you! 👏🎉🥂👍🎉💝

  15. Happy 5th Anniversary and thank you for all you do! I start my mornings with Space City Weather every day!

  16. Happy Birthday! Newbie here, referred to site by our sons. Enjoy getting straight projections without hype. 2 11 13 overplay everything a lot!

  17. Congrats on your Anniversary!! We very much appreciate the hype free forecasting for our city.

  18. Really enjoy your daily weather reports and the how you personalize the commentary. Well done!!

  19. Happy Anniversary! I have counted on your forecasts and won’t go anywhere else for weather. I have shared your linked with others more than I can count and they agree, there’s no other forecasters who are more accurate. Thank you for your time and service!

  20. I’ll pile on with my “Happy Anniversary”…your growth certainly validates your achievement…btw, this 77-year old IT challenged guy doesn’t need an “App”…what and how you do this works fine…thanks!

  22. In our house we no longer ask, “how’s the weather?” For a couple of years now we’ve been saying, “Eric & Matt said…” Happy anniversary & thanks for all you do!

  23. Congratulations on your 5th business anniversary. The first five years are usually the hardest. I enjoy reading your weather report every day.

  24. Congratulations and thank you for all y’all do for Houston. By far the best local weather forecasts and information.

  25. Congratulations on 5 years of awesome weather reporting!!!! You two and your support crew are simply fantastic and I wish you many more successful years to come. Celebrate large because you certainly deserve to revel in your achievement.

  29. Hope you’re wrong on the north/south of 59 thing. It’s such a pain living on the SE side of town anymore. We get the storms and the evacuations, but not the cold fronts.

  31. Congratulations and happy 5th anniversary! You are my go-to for no hype weather information every day. Great job!

  35. Did any of you folks get those big wind gusts earlier this afternoon around 1:30 or so? Thanks to the big pecan crop we’re getting this year, it sounded like baseball size hail at our place near the north loop. Checked with my husband at work at his office off 290 and 529. They got the wind as well. We had a couple of claps of thunder, a little bit of rain and now it’s all bright and sunny. Gotta love Houston weather
    Always a drama Queen even over the minor fronts. Lol.

    • I was just finishing hitting balls on the range at Timber Creek Golf Course in Friendswood when winds arrived…had to lean a bit into the wind getting back to my can…not a bit of rain as it passed…

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