Three hot days before some decent rain chances pop up in Houston

Good morning. Houston faces three rather hot days, with high temperatures in the upper 90s to 100 degrees, before a pattern change heading into the weekend. Friday and Saturday should bring fairly healthy rain chances, although showers will likely still be hit or miss for the region. Most of next week should bring typical August-like weather.

Tuesday

High pressure is starting to build back over the region, and will do so for the next three days. If you’ve been paying attention during June and July of this summer, you’ll understand what that means: sunny skies and hot temperatures. Highs today will range from the low 100s for areas well inland, to upper 90s in the city of Houston to the mid 90s right along the coast. Rain chances are probably about 10 to 20 percent, with the slightly better chances near the coast this afternoon. Winds will be slight, out of the south at 5 to 10 mph. Overnight lows will once again only fall to around 80 degrees.

High temperatures on Wednesday will definitely be steamy for the region. (Weather Bell)

Wednesday and Thursday

More of the same. Wednesday will probably be the hottest day of the week, but the difference will be negligible.

Friday and Saturday

The pattern changes toward the end of the week, as high pressure moves off, and the region opens up to an influx of tropical moisture. It looks like the bulk of this moisture will remain east of Houston, over the Beaumont and Port Arthur areas, but I still think we’ll see scattered, if not widespread showers. With partly sunny skies, look for highs to generally only reach the low 90s for much of the region.

Sunday

There probably will be a little more sunshine, and fewer rain showers, by Sunday. Look for highs in the mid-90s.

Next week probably will be a bit warm for August, but not excessively so. (Pivotal Weather)

Next week

As of now, next week appears likely to bring classic August-like weather to Houston, which is to say sunny skies, highs in the mid-90s, and a smattering of rain chances driven primarily by the afternoon sea breeze.

August may be the only “normal” month this summer

Welcome to August, everyone. With an average temperature of 88.1 degrees, this month beat out 1980 (87.5 degrees) as the warmest July in Houston’s recorded history, dating back to the year 1889. Of course, Houston also experienced the warmest June in history this year. So does that mean August will be torrid as well? This is far less certain, and the first week or ten days of the month should feel mostly like a typical August. We’ll even start the month with a nice chance of rain showers today. All of this may provide little comfort, of course, as August is typically the hottest and most unpleasant of the year for Houston, weather-wise.

Also, as of today, we’re one-third of the way through the Atlantic hurricane season. It has been a relatively quiet start in terms of overall activity—while there have been three named storms, they have all been weak, short-lived systems. Happily, the next week or so looks pretty quiet as well. Unfortunately, most of a season’s activity comes later in August, and September, so we cannot draw any conclusions yet about what lies ahead for the Atlantic Ocean, Gulf of Mexico, and Caribbean Sea. Matt will have more tomorrow in his tropics update.

The blue dots on the map above represent where three, brief-lived, tropical systems formed this year so far. (Wikipedia)

Monday

Today should bring scattered showers later this morning, and into the afternoon hours, as low pressure and a reasonably moist atmosphere support rainfall. Chances will probably be in the 30- to 50-percent range for locations south of Interstate 10, with slightly reduced chances further inland. Skies will be partly cloudy, with high temperatures likely topping out in the mid-90s. Winds should generally be light, out of the southeast, at 5 to 10 mph. Lows tonight may briefly drop below 80 degrees.

Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday

High pressure builds back into the region during the middle of the work week, and this should bring mostly sunny skies overhead. This will push high temperatures into the upper 90s, to possibly 100 degrees for inland areas. Rain chances will fall back to around 20 percent each day, with isolated to scattered showers developing along the sea breeze.

Wednesday probably will be the hottest day of this week. (Weather Bell)

Friday, Saturday, and Sunday

As high pressure backs off, our atmospheric conditions will become more favorable for rainfall heading into the weekend. Right now I’d peg rain chances at 50 percent for both Friday and Saturday, with perhaps lesser chances on Sunday. It’s still too early for a precise forecast, but certainly we could see a fair amount of showers and thunderstorms. Regardless, partly cloudy skies should help to limit high temperatures in the low- to mid-90s.

Highs should remain in the mid-90s to start next week.

Energy conservation, smart thermostats and a reminder from Reliant

Hi all. This is a sponsored post from Reliant, who asked that we share this timely information with readers about smart thermostats and energy conservation. Thanks, Eric.

Eric and Matt don’t believe in hype and at Reliant, neither do we. There has been a lot of misleading talk
in the media and online recently about smart thermostats and how energy companies use this
technology during moments when conservation is needed this summer. Requests for conservation are
not new. They are a valuable tool often used to balance supply and demand, especially during extreme
heat waves like the one we’ve been experiencing. That’s why Reliant wants to be a source of factual
information on this topic.

The main takeaway: Consumers are always in control of their thermostats

Here’s an explanation on the role smart thermostats play regarding energy conservation in Texas:

  • Reliant’s demand response programs reward customers for reducing their usage and conserving energy during periods of high electricity demand, which ultimately helps reduce the load on the Texas electricity grid and helps customers save money by consuming less. Electricity customers must sign up for and agree to participate in a demand response program.
  • At Reliant, our program is called Degrees of Difference and it rewards customers with a bill credit for the small changes they make to reduce their usage during designated events, which are communicated to customers in advance.
  • Here’s how it works: Customers with smart thermostats have the temperature automatically adjusted by no more than four degrees during these designated events, which last no more than four hours. However, customers always have ultimate control over the temperature in their homes and can override any adjustments.
  • A do-it-yourself version of this program is also available to Texans with manual thermostats who are interested in receiving bill credits for adjusting their usage.
  • Demand response programs are separate from the customer’s electricity plan and opting in or out is easy. Customers who no longer want to participate can unenroll online or by calling our call center without penalty, cancellation fees or having to cancel their existing electricity plan.
  • We’ve also reviewed other similar demand response programs across Texas and haven’t found ANY that don’t allow customers to adjust their temperature or penalize them for opting out.

With high temperatures continuing this week and beyond, we felt it necessary to be clear on how these
programs operate and remind Texans they are always in control of their energy usage.

Stay cool, SCW readers!

Sweltering again today, as July remains on track to be the warmest on record for Houston

Good morning. The month of July is now two-thirds over, and if the month ended today Houston’s average temperature of 88.6 degrees would rank as the warmest July on record by nearly a full degree. I’m now confident we’ll set this record for July.

Alas, there is not much good news I can offer today except this: We’re now reaching the historically warmest part of the summer—from about July 20 to August 20. Why is this good news? For the optimist in me, this means we can at least begin to dream of fall.

Wednesday’s high temperatures were sweltering across the entirety of the state of Texas. (Weather Bell)

Thursday

With high pressure more or less overhead we’re going to see another sweltering day, similar to Wednesday. Expect highs in the low 100s for inland locations, and upper 90s along the coast. Skies will be mostly sunny, with a less than 10 percent chance of rain. Winds will be out of the south at 5 to 10 mph.

Friday

As the high starts to back off slightly, a disturbance may approach the area from the east on Friday. This will have modest effect on temperatures, perhaps limiting highs to the upper 90s. It will also produce a 20 to 30 percent chance of rain from a passing shower. Good luck!

Saturday and Sunday

The weekend is going to be hot, with mostly sunny skies and highs in the upper 90s to 100 degrees for most of the area. Rain chances are probably in the 10 to 20 percent range for coastal areas, with lesser chances further inland.

Our moderation in temperatures will be slight next week, but should at least go in the right direction. (Weather Bell)

Next week

As we get deeper into next week I’m still anticipating a slight moderation in temperatures as the high pressure system slowly moves eastward. I expect much of the region to see highs in the mid- to upper-90s, with a slight 20 to 30 percent chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. It won’t be much relief, but it will beat what we’ve been experiencing.